Detroit Lions at Atlanta Falcons prediction
Win probabilities, projected score and this season's numbers, by SportHoot.
Detroit Lions visit Atlanta Falcons on Sun, Dec 6, 06:00 PM UTC. The model's forecast is below, with both teams' season side by side.
The probabilities are model estimates and change as new information arrives.
Detroit Lions at Atlanta Falcons prediction
NFL ·
Detroit Lions 58% to win
- Atlanta Falcons win41%
- Detroit Lions win58%
A tie is under 1%.
Projected score: Atlanta Falcons 24.2, Detroit Lions 26.7
Forecast updated 3 Nov, 11:01 UTC · These are model estimates, not certainties: either team can win.
Game preview
Detroit Lions have the edge at 58%, but Atlanta Falcons are at 41%, so this is far from one-sided. The projected score is Atlanta Falcons 24.2, Detroit Lions 26.7. Over 45.5 total points is at 63%. Every figure is an estimate, not a certainty: injuries, weather and team news can still change the picture.
Atlanta Falcons and Detroit Lions this season
2026 season so far; long-run rates since 2000.
| Stat | Atlanta Falcons | Detroit Lions |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 3-5 | 5-2 |
| Points scored per game | 21.4 | 29.0 |
| Points allowed per game | 23.6 | 25.7 |
| Games won since 2000 | 214 of 443 | 174 of 435 |
| Games over 45.5 points since 2000 | 200 of 443 | 230 of 435 |
| Scored over 20.5 since 2000 | 249 of 443 | 223 of 435 |
Total points and team points
The model's estimates for this game's point lines.
| Line | Estimate |
|---|---|
| Over 30.5 total points | 92% |
| Over 42.5 total points | 72% |
| Over 45.5 total points | 63% |
| Over 48.5 total points | 53% |
| Over 50.5 total points | 46% |
| Atlanta Falcons over 14.5 points | 83% |
| Atlanta Falcons over 20.5 points | 62% |
| Atlanta Falcons over 24.5 points | 46% |
| Atlanta Falcons over 27.5 points | 34% |
| Atlanta Falcons over 30.5 points | 23% |
| Detroit Lions over 14.5 points | 89% |
| Detroit Lions over 20.5 points | 71% |
| Detroit Lions over 24.5 points | 55% |
| Detroit Lions over 27.5 points | 43% |
| Detroit Lions over 30.5 points | 31% |
Questions
Who is favoured, Detroit Lions or Atlanta Falcons?
The model gives Detroit Lions a 58% chance of winning and Atlanta Falcons 41%. These are estimates, not certainties.
What is the projected score for Detroit Lions at Atlanta Falcons?
The model projects Atlanta Falcons 24.2, Detroit Lions 26.7.
How is this prediction made?
It is a model estimate from predictapp, built from both teams' games this season and in past seasons. This one was made 3 Nov, 11:01 UTC and is updated as new information arrives.
Is this a tip?
No. It is an estimate of how likely each result is, not advice to bet. What you do with it is your decision.
Have Atlanta Falcons and Detroit Lions played this season?
Not yet this season.
NFL and team names are used for identification only and are trademarks of their respective owners. SportHoot is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by the NFL or any team. Forecasts are model estimates for information only. 18+.