La Liga: predictions, standings and stats
The numbers behind La Liga
Every table on this page is a past result over the dates shown, not a prediction.
La Liga standings
Season 2026/2027
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GF:GA | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 46 | 12 | 46:12 | 30 | WonWonWonLostWon |
| 2 | Atlético de Madrid | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 22:8 | 28 | WonWonWonWonWon |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 10 | 28:10 | 27 | LostWonWonWonWon |
| 4 | Real Betis | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 15 | 18:15 | 23 | DrewWonLostDrewWon |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 20:20 | 19 | WonWonWonWonLost |
| 6 | Sevilla | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 19 | 17:19 | 17 | LostDrewLostWonLost |
| 7 | Athletic Club | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 14:10 | 15 | DrewDrewLostWonWon |
| 8 | Villarreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 15:15 | 12 | WonLostDrewWonLost |
| 9 | Celta de Vigo | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 10:10 | 12 | WonDrewWonDrewLost |
| 10 | Deportivo Alavés | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 15:17 | 12 | DrewLostLostDrewLost |
| 11 | Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 20 | 15:20 | 12 | WonDrewDrewLostWon |
| 12 | Getafe | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 8:16 | 12 | WonLostDrewLostWon |
| 12 | Osasuna | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 10:20 | 11 | LostDrewLostWonLost |
| 13 | Deportivo A Coruña | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 13:13 | 11 | LostDrewLostDrewLost |
| 14 | Espanyol | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 14 | 13:14 | 11 | LostDrewLostLostWon |
| 16 | Racing Santander | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 29 | 15:29 | 11 | LostDrewLostWonLost |
| 17 | Elche | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 14:18 | 10 | WonDrewDrewWonLost |
| 18 | Levante | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 21 | 16:21 | 10 | DrewDrewWonLostLost |
| 19 | Valencia | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 8:17 | 9 | LostDrewDrewLostWon |
| 20 | Málaga | 11 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 8:21 | 5 | LostDrewLostDrewLost |
La Liga next matches
La Liga results: every club ranked by matches won
| Barcelona | 80%45 of 56 | 4%2 of 56 | 16%9 of 56 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 67%36 of 54 | 9%5 of 54 | 24%13 of 54 |
| Atlético de Madrid | 58%35 of 60 | 13%8 of 60 | 28%17 of 60 |
| Real Betis | 53%29 of 55 | 25%14 of 55 | 22%12 of 55 |
| Real Sociedad | 42%20 of 48 | 29%14 of 48 | 29%14 of 48 |
| Villarreal | 41%20 of 49 | 16%8 of 49 | 43%21 of 49 |
| Celta de Vigo | 38%21 of 55 | 27%15 of 55 | 35%19 of 55 |
| Sevilla | 37%15 of 41 | 20%8 of 41 | 44%18 of 41 |
| Rayo Vallecano | 37%19 of 52 | 33%17 of 52 | 31%16 of 52 |
| Deportivo A Coruña | 36%5 of 14 | 36%5 of 14 | 29%4 of 14 |
| Valencia | 36%15 of 42 | 26%11 of 42 | 38%16 of 42 |
| Athletic Club | 33%16 of 48 | 23%11 of 48 | 44%21 of 48 |
| Getafe | 33%15 of 45 | 20%9 of 45 | 47%21 of 45 |
| Racing Santander | 33%5 of 15 | 20%3 of 15 | 47%7 of 15 |
| Deportivo Alavés | 33%14 of 43 | 23%10 of 43 | 44%19 of 43 |
| Osasuna | 31%13 of 42 | 29%12 of 42 | 40%17 of 42 |
| Levante | 29%12 of 41 | 24%10 of 41 | 46%19 of 41 |
| Elche | 26%11 of 43 | 30%13 of 43 | 44%19 of 43 |
| Espanyol | 24%10 of 41 | 24%10 of 41 | 51%21 of 41 |
| Málaga | 8%1 of 13 | 38%5 of 13 | 54%7 of 13 |
Each club's matches in all competitions, Nov 2, 2025 to Nov 2, 2026.
Today's matches and what it means: Match result (1X2), Draw, Double chance
La Liga goals: every club ranked by matches over 2.5
Over 2.5 Goals in La Liga
La Liga over 2.5 goals rate across 3,148 fixtures: 47.05%. Average goals per match: 2.58. Fewer than half of La Liga matches produce 3 or more goals, making it one of the more under-friendly environments among top European leagues. The model captures this through La Liga-specific league priors.
| Barcelona | 75%42 of 56 | 93%52 of 56 | 50%28 of 56 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Santander | 67%10 of 15 | 93%14 of 15 | 40%6 of 15 |
| Real Madrid | 67%36 of 54 | 87%47 of 54 | 35%19 of 54 |
| Villarreal | 65%32 of 49 | 84%41 of 49 | 43%21 of 49 |
| Real Sociedad | 65%31 of 48 | 83%40 of 48 | 46%22 of 48 |
| Elche | 63%27 of 43 | 79%34 of 43 | 44%19 of 43 |
| Atlético de Madrid | 62%37 of 60 | 78%47 of 60 | 35%21 of 60 |
| Deportivo Alavés | 56%24 of 43 | 77%33 of 43 | 26%11 of 43 |
| Osasuna | 55%23 of 42 | 76%32 of 42 | 36%15 of 42 |
| Real Betis | 55%30 of 55 | 82%45 of 55 | 31%17 of 55 |
| Celta de Vigo | 53%29 of 55 | 73%40 of 55 | 22%12 of 55 |
| Espanyol | 51%21 of 41 | 78%32 of 41 | 20%8 of 41 |
| Sevilla | 51%21 of 41 | 76%31 of 41 | 29%12 of 41 |
| Athletic Club | 50%24 of 48 | 75%36 of 48 | 27%13 of 48 |
| Rayo Vallecano | 48%25 of 52 | 79%41 of 52 | 19%10 of 52 |
| Málaga | 46%6 of 13 | 85%11 of 13 | 23%3 of 13 |
| Levante | 44%18 of 41 | 78%32 of 41 | 29%12 of 41 |
| Valencia | 38%16 of 42 | 71%30 of 42 | 24%10 of 42 |
| Getafe | 33%15 of 45 | 60%27 of 45 | 20%9 of 45 |
| Deportivo A Coruña | 29%4 of 14 | 71%10 of 14 | 21%3 of 14 |
Each club's matches in all competitions, Nov 2, 2025 to Nov 2, 2026.
Today's matches and what it means: Over 2.5 goals, Over 1.5 goals, Under 2.5 goals, Over 3.5 goals
La Liga both teams to score: every club ranked
BTTS in La Liga
La Liga BTTS rate across 3,148 fixtures: 51.78%. Average goals per match: 2.58. Just over half of La Liga matches produce a BTTS result. Tactical discipline at the top of the table suppresses the rate compared to the Bundesliga or MLS.
| Real Sociedad | 75%36 of 48 |
|---|---|
| Elche | 70%30 of 43 |
| Villarreal | 65%32 of 49 |
| Real Madrid | 65%35 of 54 |
| Deportivo Alavés | 63%27 of 43 |
| Real Betis | 62%34 of 55 |
| Málaga | 62%8 of 13 |
| Espanyol | 61%25 of 41 |
| Racing Santander | 60%9 of 15 |
| Barcelona | 59%33 of 56 |
| Deportivo A Coruña | 57%8 of 14 |
| Osasuna | 57%24 of 42 |
| Sevilla | 56%23 of 41 |
| Rayo Vallecano | 56%29 of 52 |
| Valencia | 55%23 of 42 |
| Atlético de Madrid | 53%32 of 60 |
| Celta de Vigo | 53%29 of 55 |
| Athletic Club | 50%24 of 48 |
| Levante | 49%20 of 41 |
| Getafe | 38%17 of 45 |
Each club's matches in all competitions, Nov 2, 2025 to Nov 2, 2026.
Today's matches and what it means: Both teams to score
La Liga clean sheets: every club ranked
Clean Sheet Predictions in La Liga
La Liga clean sheet rate: 27.86% per team per fixture across 3,148 matches, or 0.56 clean sheets per match. La Liga produces more clean sheets than the Premier League or Bundesliga, consistent with its lower average goal count of 2.564 per match.
| Atlético de Madrid | 35%21 of 60 |
|---|---|
| Celta de Vigo | 35%19 of 55 |
| Barcelona | 34%19 of 56 |
| Real Betis | 31%17 of 55 |
| Valencia | 29%12 of 42 |
| Rayo Vallecano | 27%14 of 52 |
| Real Madrid | 26%14 of 54 |
| Athletic Club | 25%12 of 48 |
| Getafe | 24%11 of 45 |
| Levante | 24%10 of 41 |
| Espanyol | 22%9 of 41 |
| Deportivo A Coruña | 21%3 of 14 |
| Osasuna | 21%9 of 42 |
| Deportivo Alavés | 21%9 of 43 |
| Elche | 21%9 of 43 |
| Sevilla | 20%8 of 41 |
| Málaga | 15%2 of 13 |
| Real Sociedad | 15%7 of 48 |
| Villarreal | 12%6 of 49 |
| Racing Santander | 7%1 of 15 |
Each club's matches in all competitions, Nov 2, 2025 to Nov 2, 2026.
Today's matches and what it means: Clean sheet
La Liga in numbers
Counted across 3,148 La Liga matches.
- Both teams score
- 52%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 47%
- A team keeps a clean sheet
- 28%
- Matches end in a draw
- 27%
- Home wins
- 45%
- Goals per match
- 2.58
Every La Liga club
Questions about La Liga
How are the La Liga forecasts made?
Each forecast is a model estimate built from calibrated probabilities and pre-match context: the expected goal difference (RWI), recent results, squad value and recent meetings. Every probability is tied to one fixture and the time it was produced.
Do the forecasts include draws in La Liga?
Yes. A draw is a real outcome in La Liga, so the full split always shows it. On a tight match you will see the draw sitting high, because that is what the numbers say.
What is the RWI?
RWI is the expected goal difference signal behind the soccer forecasts. It combines each team's attacking and defensive strength, the lineups, and how the league scores.
Is this a tipster? Do you give picks?
No. SportHoot publishes probabilities and statistics and explains what they mean. A probability is an estimate, not a promise, and you make your own decisions.
How do the forecasts compare to bookmakers?
The forecasting model was tested against bookmaker prices across several seasons and lands close to them overall. One deliberate difference is draws: the model shows a draw as the likeliest outcome more often than bookmakers do, because draws happen in about one match in four.
Is SportHoot affiliated with La Liga?
No. SportHoot is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by La Liga or any league named on the site. All league names are trademarks of their respective owners.
Why do you keep losing La Liga bets you were sure about?
You did your homework and backed the favorite. But 27% of La Liga matches end level and only 47% clear 2.5 goals, so the game you read as a comfortable win slips into a tight draw. You could not tell if it was a bad read or just luck. I spent years stuck right there.
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