Serie A: predictions, standings and stats
The numbers behind Serie A
Every table on this page is a past result over the dates shown, not a prediction.
Serie A standings
Season 2026/2027
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GF:GA | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lazio | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 8 | 24:8 | 28 | WonWonWonWonWon |
| 2 | Inter Milan | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 13 | 26:13 | 25 | WonWonWonWonLost |
| 3 | Roma | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 28 | 10 | 28:10 | 24 | DrewWonDrewWonWon |
| 4 | Como | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 18:8 | 23 | DrewWonWonWonWon |
| 5 | AC Milan | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 12 | 21:12 | 21 | DrewWonWonLostWon |
| 6 | Frosinone | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 14 | 24:14 | 20 | LostWonDrewWonWon |
| 7 | Juventus | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 13:10 | 17 | DrewLostWonLostWon |
| 8 | Napoli | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 17:13 | 14 | WonLostDrewWonLost |
| 9 | Bologna | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 14:13 | 14 | WonLostWonWonWon |
| 10 | Torino | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 14:16 | 13 | WonWonWonLostLost |
| 11 | Genoa | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 10:14 | 13 | WonLostWonWonWon |
| 12 | Cagliari | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 9:15 | 13 | DrewLostLostLostLost |
| 12 | Atalanta | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 17 | 16:17 | 11 | LostWonLostDrewDrew |
| 14 | Lecce | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 11:21 | 9 | LostWonLostLostLost |
| 15 | Sassuolo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 14:22 | 8 | LostDrewLostLostLost |
| 16 | Monza | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 24 | 17:24 | 7 | LostWonLostLostLost |
| 18 | Fiorentina | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 11:21 | 5 | DrewLostLostLostDrew |
| 19 | Udinese | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 11:23 | 5 | LostLostLostDrewLost |
| 19 | Parma | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 5:15 | 5 | WonLostLostLostDrew |
| 20 | Venezia | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 20 | 6:20 | 3 | LostWonLostLostLost |
Serie A next matches
Serie A results: every club ranked by matches won
| Inter Milan | 65%31 of 48 | 15%7 of 48 | 21%10 of 48 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Como | 61%25 of 41 | 20%8 of 41 | 20%8 of 41 |
| Frosinone | 60%6 of 10 | 20%2 of 10 | 20%2 of 10 |
| Roma | 57%28 of 49 | 22%11 of 49 | 20%10 of 49 |
| AC Milan | 52%22 of 42 | 24%10 of 42 | 24%10 of 42 |
| Juventus | 52%25 of 48 | 29%14 of 48 | 19%9 of 48 |
| Lazio | 51%20 of 39 | 26%10 of 39 | 23%9 of 39 |
| Napoli | 48%22 of 46 | 22%10 of 46 | 30%14 of 46 |
| Atalanta | 44%22 of 50 | 20%10 of 50 | 36%18 of 50 |
| Bologna | 42%21 of 50 | 22%11 of 50 | 36%18 of 50 |
| Genoa | 36%14 of 39 | 23%9 of 39 | 41%16 of 39 |
| Cagliari | 33%13 of 39 | 21%8 of 39 | 46%18 of 39 |
| Torino | 33%13 of 39 | 18%7 of 39 | 49%19 of 39 |
| Sassuolo | 32%12 of 38 | 21%8 of 38 | 47%18 of 38 |
| Fiorentina | 31%15 of 48 | 27%13 of 48 | 42%20 of 48 |
| Lecce | 31%12 of 39 | 13%5 of 39 | 56%22 of 39 |
| Parma | 29%11 of 38 | 26%10 of 38 | 45%17 of 38 |
| Udinese | 29%11 of 38 | 18%7 of 38 | 53%20 of 38 |
| Monza | 20%2 of 10 | 10%1 of 10 | 70%7 of 10 |
| Venezia | 10%1 of 10 | 0%0 of 10 | 90%9 of 10 |
Each club's matches in all competitions, Nov 2, 2025 to Nov 2, 2026.
Today's matches and what it means: Match result (1X2), Draw, Double chance
Serie A goals: every club ranked by matches over 2.5
Over 2.5 Goals in Serie A
Serie A over 2.5 goals rate across 3,139 fixtures: 52.28%. Average goals per match: 2.74. Just over half of Serie A matches produce 3 or more goals. Despite its defensive reputation, the over 2.5 line is nearly neutral here, not the strongly under-leaning market it was a decade ago.
| Monza | 90%9 of 10 | 100%10 of 10 | 70%7 of 10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Torino | 67%26 of 39 | 85%33 of 39 | 28%11 of 39 |
| Sassuolo | 63%24 of 38 | 84%32 of 38 | 26%10 of 38 |
| Fiorentina | 60%29 of 48 | 77%37 of 48 | 23%11 of 48 |
| Frosinone | 60%6 of 10 | 90%9 of 10 | 40%4 of 10 |
| Inter Milan | 58%28 of 48 | 83%40 of 48 | 40%19 of 48 |
| Como | 56%23 of 41 | 76%31 of 41 | 34%14 of 41 |
| Atalanta | 52%26 of 50 | 74%37 of 50 | 30%15 of 50 |
| Cagliari | 51%20 of 39 | 69%27 of 39 | 21%8 of 39 |
| Genoa | 51%20 of 39 | 79%31 of 39 | 18%7 of 39 |
| Bologna | 50%25 of 50 | 74%37 of 50 | 30%15 of 50 |
| Napoli | 50%23 of 46 | 74%34 of 46 | 28%13 of 46 |
| Roma | 49%24 of 49 | 84%41 of 49 | 33%16 of 49 |
| AC Milan | 48%20 of 42 | 74%31 of 42 | 26%11 of 42 |
| Udinese | 47%18 of 38 | 68%26 of 38 | 21%8 of 38 |
| Lecce | 44%17 of 39 | 69%27 of 39 | 13%5 of 39 |
| Juventus | 42%20 of 48 | 81%39 of 48 | 25%12 of 48 |
| Lazio | 41%16 of 39 | 74%29 of 39 | 18%7 of 39 |
| Parma | 37%14 of 38 | 63%24 of 38 | 16%6 of 38 |
| Venezia | 30%3 of 10 | 70%7 of 10 | 30%3 of 10 |
Each club's matches in all competitions, Nov 2, 2025 to Nov 2, 2026.
Today's matches and what it means: Over 2.5 goals, Over 1.5 goals, Under 2.5 goals, Over 3.5 goals
Serie A both teams to score: every club ranked
BTTS in Serie A
Serie A BTTS rate across 3,139 fixtures: 54.16%. Average goals per match: 2.74. Despite its reputation for defensive football, over half of Serie A matches produce BTTS results. The model uses Serie A-specific priors to account for its lower scoring environment relative to the Bundesliga.
| Monza | 90%9 of 10 |
|---|---|
| Sassuolo | 63%24 of 38 |
| Torino | 59%23 of 39 |
| Fiorentina | 58%28 of 48 |
| Inter Milan | 54%26 of 48 |
| Genoa | 54%21 of 39 |
| Atalanta | 52%26 of 50 |
| Bologna | 52%26 of 50 |
| Frosinone | 50%5 of 10 |
| Como | 49%20 of 41 |
| Napoli | 48%22 of 46 |
| AC Milan | 48%20 of 42 |
| Cagliari | 46%18 of 39 |
| Roma | 45%22 of 49 |
| Parma | 42%16 of 38 |
| Udinese | 42%16 of 38 |
| Juventus | 42%20 of 48 |
| Lazio | 41%16 of 39 |
| Lecce | 36%14 of 39 |
| Venezia | 30%3 of 10 |
Each club's matches in all competitions, Nov 2, 2025 to Nov 2, 2026.
Today's matches and what it means: Both teams to score
Serie A clean sheets: every club ranked
Clean Sheet Predictions in Serie A
Serie A clean sheet rate: 26.30% per team per fixture across 3,139 matches, or 0.53 clean sheets per match. Nearly identical to the Premier League despite Serie A's defensive reputation. The model uses Serie A-specific priors to calibrate defensive weakness ratings to this environment.
| Juventus | 48%23 of 48 |
|---|---|
| Roma | 45%22 of 49 |
| Como | 44%18 of 41 |
| Inter Milan | 40%19 of 48 |
| Lazio | 36%14 of 39 |
| AC Milan | 36%15 of 42 |
| Napoli | 35%16 of 46 |
| Atalanta | 32%16 of 50 |
| Frosinone | 30%3 of 10 |
| Parma | 29%11 of 38 |
| Udinese | 26%10 of 38 |
| Bologna | 26%13 of 50 |
| Cagliari | 26%10 of 39 |
| Genoa | 23%9 of 39 |
| Lecce | 23%9 of 39 |
| Torino | 23%9 of 39 |
| Fiorentina | 19%9 of 48 |
| Sassuolo | 13%5 of 38 |
| Monza | 10%1 of 10 |
| Venezia | 10%1 of 10 |
Each club's matches in all competitions, Nov 2, 2025 to Nov 2, 2026.
Today's matches and what it means: Clean sheet
Serie A in numbers
Counted across 3,139 Serie A matches.
- Both teams score
- 54%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 52%
- A team keeps a clean sheet
- 26%
- Matches end in a draw
- 26%
- Home wins
- 41%
- Goals per match
- 2.74
Every Serie A club
Questions about Serie A
How are the Serie A forecasts made?
Each forecast is a model estimate built from calibrated probabilities and pre-match context: the expected goal difference (RWI), recent results, squad value and recent meetings. Every probability is tied to one fixture and the time it was produced.
Do the forecasts include draws in Serie A?
Yes. A draw is a real outcome in Serie A, so the full split always shows it. On a tight match you will see the draw sitting high, because that is what the numbers say.
What is the RWI?
RWI is the expected goal difference signal behind the soccer forecasts. It combines each team's attacking and defensive strength, the lineups, and how the league scores.
Is this a tipster? Do you give picks?
No. SportHoot publishes probabilities and statistics and explains what they mean. A probability is an estimate, not a promise, and you make your own decisions.
How do the forecasts compare to bookmakers?
The forecasting model was tested against bookmaker prices across several seasons and lands close to them overall. One deliberate difference is draws: the model shows a draw as the likeliest outcome more often than bookmakers do, because draws happen in about one match in four.
Is SportHoot affiliated with Serie A?
No. SportHoot is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by Serie A or any league named on the site. All league names are trademarks of their respective owners.
Why do you keep losing Serie A bets you were sure about?
You did your homework and backed the favorite. But 27% of Serie A matches end level and only 52% clear 2.5 goals, so the game you read as a comfortable win slips into a tight draw. You could not tell if it was a bad read or just luck. I spent years stuck right there.
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