Detroit Lions: predictions, props and stats
The numbers behind the Lions
The Lions are 5-2 through week 8, scoring 29.0 points a game and allowing 25.7.
Every table on this page is a result from games already played, not a prediction.
Next game
Results and scoring
This season, through week 8
5-2, with 29.0 points scored and 25.7 allowed a game.
| Wk | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | vsVikings | 19-15 | Won |
| 7 | vsPackers | 20-17 | Won |
| 5 | @Cardinals | 45-21 | Won |
| 4 | @Panthers | 26-32 | Lost |
| 3 | vsJets | 31-24 | Won |
| 2 | @Bills | 31-41 | Lost |
| 1 | vsSaints | 31-30 OT | Won |
| Stat | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored a game | 29.0 | 22.1 |
| Points allowed a game | 25.7 | 24.9 |
| Average margin | +3.3 | -2.8 |
| Went to overtime | 14%1 of 7 | 5%22 of 435 |
Lions against the spread
Since 2000 the Lions have won by more than 3.5 points in 126 of 435 games, with an average margin of -2.8.
| Line | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Won by 8 or more (covers -7.5) | 14%1 of 7 | 19%82 of 435 |
| Won by 4 or more (covers -3.5) | 43%3 of 7 | 29%126 of 435 |
| Won, or lost by 3 or fewer (covers +3.5) | 71%5 of 7 | 53%229 of 435 |
| Won, or lost by 7 or fewer (covers +7.5) | 86%6 of 7 | 69%300 of 435 |
Game totals in Lions games
Since 2000, Lions games have gone over 45.5 points in 230 of 435.
| Line | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 30.5 points | 100%7 of 7 | 87%379 of 435 |
| Over 42.5 points | 71%5 of 7 | 62%269 of 435 |
| Over 45.5 points | 71%5 of 7 | 53%230 of 435 |
| Over 48.5 points | 71%5 of 7 | 46%202 of 435 |
| Over 50.5 points | 71%5 of 7 | 40%173 of 435 |
Lions wins, home and away
Since 2000 the Lions have won 174 of 435 games: 103 of 217 at home and 71 of 218 away.
| Stat | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 71%5 of 7 | 40%174 of 435 |
| At home | 100%4 of 4 | 47%103 of 217 |
| Away | 33%1 of 3 | 33%71 of 218 |
Lions points against team totals
Since 2000 the Lions have scored more than 20.5 points in 223 of 435 games.
| Line | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored over 14.5 | 100%7 of 7 | 74%324 of 435 |
| Scored over 20.5 | 71%5 of 7 | 51%223 of 435 |
| Scored over 24.5 | 71%5 of 7 | 35%154 of 435 |
| Scored over 27.5 | 57%4 of 7 | 27%117 of 435 |
| Scored over 30.5 | 57%4 of 7 | 22%96 of 435 |
Lions passing
This season, through week 8
| Player | G | Cmp | Att | Yds | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Goff | 7 | 168 | 248 | 1964 | 15 | 1 |
Lions rushing
This season, through week 8
| Jahmyr Gibbs | RB | 7 | 158 | 773 | 8 | 84% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sione Vaki | RB | 7 | 27 | 121 | 0 | 12% |
| Jared Goff | QB | 7 | 10 | 20 | 1 | 3% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | WR | 7 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 1% |
| Sam LaPorta | TE | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0% |
Lions receiving
This season, through week 8
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | WR | 76 | 53 | 571 | 5 | 32% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahmyr Gibbs | RB | 44 | 34 | 276 | 2 | 19% |
| Sam LaPorta | TE | 44 | 31 | 367 | 3 | 17% |
| Jameson Williams | WR | 44 | 27 | 437 | 5 | 18% |
| Isaac TeSlaa | WR | 21 | 10 | 197 | 0 | 9% |
| Brock Wright | TE | 6 | 5 | 31 | 0 | 3% |
| Sione Vaki | RB | 6 | 5 | 57 | 0 | 2% |
| Tyler Conklin | TE | 2 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 1% |
Who scores for the Lions
This season, through week 8
| Jahmyr Gibbs | RB | 8 | 2 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | WR | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| Jameson Williams | WR | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| Sam LaPorta | TE | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Jared Goff | QB | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Lions fantasy points
This season, through week 8
| Jahmyr Gibbs | RB | 7 | 194.9 | 27.8 | 25.4 | 23.0 | 41.4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Goff | QB | 7 | 142.6 | 20.4 | 20.4 | 20.4 | 29.8 |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | WR | 7 | 141.0 | 20.1 | 16.4 | 12.6 | 35.2 |
| Jameson Williams | WR | 7 | 100.7 | 14.4 | 12.5 | 10.5 | 26.1 |
| Sam LaPorta | TE | 7 | 85.9 | 12.3 | 10.1 | 7.8 | 22.4 |
| Isaac TeSlaa | WR | 6 | 29.7 | 5.0 | 4.1 | 3.3 | 13.5 |
| Sione Vaki | RB | 7 | 22.8 | 3.3 | 2.9 | 2.5 | 8.0 |
| Brock Wright | TE | 6 | 8.1 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 2.7 |
| Tyler Conklin | TE | 5 | 3.1 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.7 |
| Jackson Meeks | WR | 4 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1.8 |
What the Lions defense allows
A game, over its last 24 games. Rank 1 is the defense that allows the most.
How close the model's projections have been
Tested on games the model had not seen: what it projected next to what happened, for players projected for a real role. The last column is how often the result landed inside the projected 80% range.
| Market | This season | Player games | Projected | Actual | Inside the 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving yards, WR | 2021 to 2025 | 4,979 | 55.8 | 55.3 | 79.2% |
| Rushing yards, RB | 2021 to 2025 | 3,656 | 52.7 | 54.1 | 81.2% |
| Passing yards, QB | 2022 to 2025 | 2,173 | 221.1 | 223.7 | 81.2% |
| Receiving yards, TE | 2021 to 2025 | 1,179 | 47.6 | 46.7 | 82.1% |
Questions about the Lions
How often do Lions games go over 45.5 points?
In 230 of 435 games since 2000 (53%). Every total from 30.5 to 50.5 is counted in the total section of this page.
How often do the Lions win at home?
They have won 103 of 217 home games since 2000 (47%), and 71 of 218 away.
How often do the Lions score more than 20.5 points?
In 223 of 435 games since 2000 (51%).
Are the numbers on this page predictions?
No. They are results from games already played, and each section says which games it counts.
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