Kansas City Chiefs at Atlanta Falcons prediction
Win probabilities, projected score and this season's numbers, by SportHoot.
Kansas City Chiefs visit Atlanta Falcons on Sun, Nov 15, 06:00 PM UTC. The model's forecast is below, with both teams' season side by side.
The probabilities are model estimates and change as new information arrives.
Kansas City Chiefs at Atlanta Falcons prediction
NFL ·
Kansas City Chiefs 60% to win
- Atlanta Falcons win40%
- Kansas City Chiefs win60%
A tie is under 1%.
Projected score: Atlanta Falcons 22.6, Kansas City Chiefs 25.6
Forecast updated 2 Nov, 11:01 UTC · These are model estimates, not certainties: either team can win.
Game preview
Kansas City Chiefs have the edge at 60%, but Atlanta Falcons are at 40%, so this is far from one-sided. The projected score is Atlanta Falcons 22.6, Kansas City Chiefs 25.6. Over 45.5 total points is at 56%. Every figure is an estimate, not a certainty: injuries, weather and team news can still change the picture.
Atlanta Falcons and Kansas City Chiefs this season
2026 season so far; long-run rates since 2000.
| Stat | Atlanta Falcons | Kansas City Chiefs |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 3-5 | 5-2 |
| Points scored per game | 21.4 | 23.9 |
| Points allowed per game | 23.6 | 18.7 |
| Games won since 2000 | 214 of 443 | 261 of 457 |
| Games over 45.5 points since 2000 | 200 of 443 | 212 of 457 |
| Scored over 20.5 since 2000 | 249 of 443 | 280 of 457 |
Total points and team points
The model's estimates for this game's point lines.
| Line | Estimate |
|---|---|
| Over 30.5 total points | 90% |
| Over 42.5 total points | 66% |
| Over 45.5 total points | 56% |
| Over 48.5 total points | 46% |
| Over 50.5 total points | 40% |
| Atlanta Falcons over 14.5 points | 78% |
| Atlanta Falcons over 20.5 points | 56% |
| Atlanta Falcons over 24.5 points | 39% |
| Atlanta Falcons over 27.5 points | 28% |
| Atlanta Falcons over 30.5 points | 19% |
| Kansas City Chiefs over 14.5 points | 86% |
| Kansas City Chiefs over 20.5 points | 68% |
| Kansas City Chiefs over 24.5 points | 51% |
| Kansas City Chiefs over 27.5 points | 39% |
| Kansas City Chiefs over 30.5 points | 28% |
Questions
Who is favoured, Kansas City Chiefs or Atlanta Falcons?
The model gives Kansas City Chiefs a 60% chance of winning and Atlanta Falcons 40%. These are estimates, not certainties.
What is the projected score for Kansas City Chiefs at Atlanta Falcons?
The model projects Atlanta Falcons 22.6, Kansas City Chiefs 25.6.
How is this prediction made?
It is a model estimate from predictapp, built from both teams' games this season and in past seasons. This one was made 2 Nov, 11:01 UTC and is updated as new information arrives.
Is this a tip?
No. It is an estimate of how likely each result is, not advice to bet. What you do with it is your decision.
Have Atlanta Falcons and Kansas City Chiefs played this season?
Not yet this season.
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