Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons prediction
Win probabilities, projected score and this season's numbers, by SportHoot.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers visit Atlanta Falcons on Sun, Dec 27, 06:00 PM UTC. The model's forecast is below, with both teams' season side by side.
The probabilities are model estimates and change as new information arrives.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons prediction
NFL ·
Atlanta Falcons 51% to win
- Atlanta Falcons win51%
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers win49%
A tie is under 1%.
Projected score: Atlanta Falcons 21.5, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 21.2
Forecast updated 2 Nov, 11:01 UTC · These are model estimates, not certainties: either team can win.
Game preview
Little separates them: the model has Atlanta Falcons at 51% and Tampa Bay Buccaneers at 49%. The projected score is Atlanta Falcons 21.5, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 21.2. Over 45.5 total points is at 39%. Every figure is an estimate, not a certainty: injuries, weather and team news can still change the picture.
Atlanta Falcons and Tampa Bay Buccaneers this season
2026 season so far; long-run rates since 2000.
| Stat | Atlanta Falcons | Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 3-5 | 3-5 |
| Points scored per game | 21.4 | 22.3 |
| Points allowed per game | 23.6 | 18.9 |
| Games won since 2000 | 214 of 443 | 209 of 446 |
| Games over 45.5 points since 2000 | 200 of 443 | 193 of 446 |
| Scored over 20.5 since 2000 | 249 of 443 | 226 of 446 |
Meetings this season
- Week 8: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 16-0 Atlanta Falcons
Total points and team points
The model's estimates for this game's point lines.
| Line | Estimate |
|---|---|
| Over 30.5 total points | 83% |
| Over 42.5 total points | 48% |
| Over 45.5 total points | 39% |
| Over 48.5 total points | 31% |
| Over 50.5 total points | 27% |
| Atlanta Falcons over 14.5 points | 74% |
| Atlanta Falcons over 20.5 points | 51% |
| Atlanta Falcons over 24.5 points | 35% |
| Atlanta Falcons over 27.5 points | 24% |
| Atlanta Falcons over 30.5 points | 16% |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers over 14.5 points | 73% |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers over 20.5 points | 49% |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers over 24.5 points | 33% |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers over 27.5 points | 23% |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers over 30.5 points | 15% |
Questions
Who is favoured, Tampa Bay Buccaneers or Atlanta Falcons?
The model gives Atlanta Falcons a 51% chance of winning and Tampa Bay Buccaneers 49%. These are estimates, not certainties.
What is the projected score for Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons?
The model projects Atlanta Falcons 21.5, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 21.2.
How is this prediction made?
It is a model estimate from predictapp, built from both teams' games this season and in past seasons. This one was made 2 Nov, 11:01 UTC and is updated as new information arrives.
Is this a tip?
No. It is an estimate of how likely each result is, not advice to bet. What you do with it is your decision.
Have Atlanta Falcons and Tampa Bay Buccaneers played this season?
Yes, 1 times: Week 8: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 16-0 Atlanta Falcons.
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