Tampa Bay Buccaneers: predictions, props and stats
The numbers behind the Buccaneers
The Buccaneers are 3-5 through week 8, scoring 22.3 points a game and allowing 18.9.
Every table on this page is a result from games already played, not a prediction.
Next game
Results and scoring
This season, through week 8
3-5, with 22.3 points scored and 18.9 allowed a game.
| Wk | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | vsFalcons | 16-0 | Won |
| 7 | @Panthers | 43-13 | Won |
| 6 | vsSteelers | 19-26 OT | Lost |
| 5 | @Cowboys | 24-16 | Won |
| 4 | vsPackers | 14-17 | Lost |
| 3 | vsVikings | 16-23 | Lost |
| 2 | vsBrowns | 19-23 | Lost |
| 1 | @Bengals | 27-33 | Lost |
| Stat | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored a game | 22.3 | 21.8 |
| Points allowed a game | 18.9 | 21.8 |
| Average margin | +3.4 | 0 |
| Went to overtime | 13%1 of 8 | 7%31 of 446 |
Buccaneers against the spread
Since 2000 the Buccaneers have won by more than 3.5 points in 156 of 446 games, with an average margin of 0.
| Line | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Won by 8 or more (covers -7.5) | 38%3 of 8 | 25%113 of 446 |
| Won by 4 or more (covers -3.5) | 38%3 of 8 | 35%156 of 446 |
| Won, or lost by 3 or fewer (covers +3.5) | 50%4 of 8 | 61%272 of 446 |
| Won, or lost by 7 or fewer (covers +7.5) | 100%8 of 8 | 75%336 of 446 |
Game totals in Buccaneers games
Since 2000, Buccaneers games have gone over 45.5 points in 193 of 446.
| Line | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 30.5 points | 88%7 of 8 | 79%353 of 446 |
| Over 42.5 points | 38%3 of 8 | 50%225 of 446 |
| Over 45.5 points | 25%2 of 8 | 43%193 of 446 |
| Over 48.5 points | 25%2 of 8 | 34%153 of 446 |
| Over 50.5 points | 25%2 of 8 | 30%135 of 446 |
Buccaneers wins, home and away
Since 2000 the Buccaneers have won 209 of 446 games: 112 of 225 at home and 97 of 221 away.
| Stat | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 38%3 of 8 | 47%209 of 446 |
| At home | 20%1 of 5 | 50%112 of 225 |
| Away | 67%2 of 3 | 44%97 of 221 |
Buccaneers points against team totals
Since 2000 the Buccaneers have scored more than 20.5 points in 226 of 446 games.
| Line | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored over 14.5 | 88%7 of 8 | 75%334 of 446 |
| Scored over 20.5 | 38%3 of 8 | 51%226 of 446 |
| Scored over 24.5 | 25%2 of 8 | 34%152 of 446 |
| Scored over 27.5 | 13%1 of 8 | 26%115 of 446 |
| Scored over 30.5 | 13%1 of 8 | 19%85 of 446 |
Buccaneers passing
This season, through week 8
| Baker Mayfield | 5 | 68 | 110 | 679 | 3 | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalon Daniels | 5 | 60 | 98 | 501 | 3 | 5 |
Buccaneers rushing
This season, through week 8
| Bucky Irving | RB | 8 | 147 | 728 | 5 | 67% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenny Gainwell | RB | 8 | 58 | 289 | 0 | 21% |
| Jalon Daniels | QB | 5 | 18 | 128 | 0 | 2% |
| Sean Tucker | RB | 6 | 15 | 80 | 2 | 7% |
| Baker Mayfield | QB | 5 | 14 | 82 | 1 | 2% |
| Tez Johnson | WR | 8 | 3 | 20 | 0 | 2% |
| Chris Godwin Jr. | WR | 8 | 3 | 18 | 0 | 2% |
| Emeka Egbuka | WR | 6 | 2 | 11 | 1 | 1% |
Buccaneers receiving
This season, through week 8
| Emeka Egbuka | WR | 49 | 28 | 240 | 2 | 26% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Godwin Jr. | WR | 35 | 27 | 243 | 0 | 22% |
| Cade Otton | TE | 30 | 19 | 186 | 0 | 15% |
| Ted Hurst III | WR | 24 | 11 | 168 | 1 | 14% |
| Bucky Irving | RB | 23 | 18 | 78 | 1 | 11% |
| Kenny Gainwell | RB | 18 | 12 | 61 | 1 | 11% |
| Tez Johnson | WR | 15 | 9 | 178 | 1 | 7% |
| Payne Durham | TE | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1% |
Who scores for the Buccaneers
This season, through week 8
| Bucky Irving | RB | 5 | 1 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emeka Egbuka | WR | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Sean Tucker | RB | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Kenny Gainwell | RB | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Tez Johnson | WR | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Baker Mayfield | QB | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Ted Hurst III | WR | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Buccaneers fantasy points
This season, through week 8
| Bucky Irving | RB | 8 | 130.6 | 16.3 | 15.2 | 14.1 | 31.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emeka Egbuka | WR | 6 | 71.1 | 11.9 | 9.5 | 7.2 | 17.8 |
| Chris Godwin Jr. | WR | 8 | 53.1 | 6.6 | 5.0 | 3.3 | 9.1 |
| Kenny Gainwell | RB | 8 | 53.0 | 6.6 | 5.9 | 5.1 | 14.0 |
| Baker Mayfield | QB | 5 | 43.4 | 8.7 | 8.7 | 8.7 | 12.2 |
| Cade Otton | TE | 7 | 37.6 | 5.4 | 4.0 | 2.7 | 8.8 |
| Jalon Daniels | QB | 5 | 35.5 | 7.1 | 7.0 | 6.9 | 14.1 |
| Tez Johnson | WR | 8 | 34.8 | 4.4 | 3.8 | 3.2 | 12.7 |
| Ted Hurst III | WR | 8 | 33.8 | 4.2 | 3.5 | 2.9 | 11.0 |
| Sean Tucker | RB | 6 | 20.0 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 11.2 |
| Bauer Sharp | TE | 7 | 3.1 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 3.1 |
| Payne Durham | TE | 7 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.5 |
| Kameron Johnson | WR | 7 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 1.3 |
What the Buccaneers defense allows
A game, over its last 25 games. Rank 1 is the defense that allows the most.
How close the model's projections have been
Tested on games the model had not seen: what it projected next to what happened, for players projected for a real role. The last column is how often the result landed inside the projected 80% range.
| Market | This season | Player games | Projected | Actual | Inside the 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving yards, WR | 2021 to 2025 | 4,979 | 55.8 | 55.3 | 79.2% |
| Rushing yards, RB | 2021 to 2025 | 3,656 | 52.7 | 54.1 | 81.2% |
| Passing yards, QB | 2022 to 2025 | 2,173 | 221.1 | 223.7 | 81.2% |
| Receiving yards, TE | 2021 to 2025 | 1,179 | 47.6 | 46.7 | 82.1% |
Questions about the Buccaneers
How often do Buccaneers games go over 45.5 points?
In 193 of 446 games since 2000 (43%). Every total from 30.5 to 50.5 is counted in the total section of this page.
How often do the Buccaneers win at home?
They have won 112 of 225 home games since 2000 (50%), and 97 of 221 away.
How often do the Buccaneers score more than 20.5 points?
In 226 of 446 games since 2000 (51%).
Are the numbers on this page predictions?
No. They are results from games already played, and each section says which games it counts.
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