Atlanta Falcons at Washington Commanders prediction
Win probabilities, projected score and this season's numbers, by SportHoot.
Atlanta Falcons visit Washington Commanders on Sun, Dec 20, 06:00 PM UTC. The model's forecast is below, with both teams' season side by side.
The probabilities are model estimates and change as new information arrives.
Atlanta Falcons at Washington Commanders prediction
NFL ·
Washington Commanders 56% to win
- Washington Commanders win56%
- Atlanta Falcons win44%
A tie is under 1%.
Projected score: Washington Commanders 23.6, Atlanta Falcons 21.7
Forecast updated 3 Nov, 11:01 UTC · These are model estimates, not certainties: either team can win.
Game preview
Washington Commanders have the edge at 56%, but Atlanta Falcons are at 44%, so this is far from one-sided. The projected score is Washington Commanders 23.6, Atlanta Falcons 21.7. Over 45.5 total points is at 49%. Every figure is an estimate, not a certainty: injuries, weather and team news can still change the picture.
Washington Commanders and Atlanta Falcons this season
2026 season so far; long-run rates since 2000.
| Stat | Washington Commanders | Atlanta Falcons |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-4-1 | 3-5 |
| Points scored per game | 22.7 | 21.4 |
| Points allowed per game | 26.0 | 23.6 |
| Games won since 2000 | 180 of 437 | 214 of 443 |
| Games over 45.5 points since 2000 | 183 of 437 | 200 of 443 |
| Scored over 20.5 since 2000 | 187 of 437 | 249 of 443 |
Total points and team points
The model's estimates for this game's point lines.
| Line | Estimate |
|---|---|
| Over 30.5 total points | 87% |
| Over 42.5 total points | 59% |
| Over 45.5 total points | 49% |
| Over 48.5 total points | 39% |
| Over 50.5 total points | 34% |
| Washington Commanders over 14.5 points | 81% |
| Washington Commanders over 20.5 points | 60% |
| Washington Commanders over 24.5 points | 43% |
| Washington Commanders over 27.5 points | 31% |
| Washington Commanders over 30.5 points | 22% |
| Atlanta Falcons over 14.5 points | 74% |
| Atlanta Falcons over 20.5 points | 51% |
| Atlanta Falcons over 24.5 points | 35% |
| Atlanta Falcons over 27.5 points | 25% |
| Atlanta Falcons over 30.5 points | 16% |
Questions
Who is favoured, Atlanta Falcons or Washington Commanders?
The model gives Washington Commanders a 56% chance of winning and Atlanta Falcons 44%. These are estimates, not certainties.
What is the projected score for Atlanta Falcons at Washington Commanders?
The model projects Washington Commanders 23.6, Atlanta Falcons 21.7.
How is this prediction made?
It is a model estimate from predictapp, built from both teams' games this season and in past seasons. This one was made 3 Nov, 11:01 UTC and is updated as new information arrives.
Is this a tip?
No. It is an estimate of how likely each result is, not advice to bet. What you do with it is your decision.
Have Atlanta Falcons and Washington Commanders played this season?
Not yet this season.
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