Chicago Bears at Buffalo Bills prediction
Win probabilities, projected score and this season's numbers, by SportHoot.
Chicago Bears visit Buffalo Bills on Sun, Dec 20, 01:20 AM UTC. The model's forecast is below, with both teams' season side by side.
The probabilities are model estimates and change as new information arrives.
Chicago Bears at Buffalo Bills prediction
NFL ·
Buffalo Bills 67% to win
- Buffalo Bills win67%
- Chicago Bears win33%
A tie is under 1%.
Projected score: Buffalo Bills 30.2, Chicago Bears 24.7
Forecast updated 2 Nov, 11:01 UTC · These are model estimates, not certainties: either team can win.
Game preview
Buffalo Bills go in as clear favourites: the model gives them a 67% chance of winning, with Chicago Bears at 33%. The projected score is Buffalo Bills 30.2, Chicago Bears 24.7. Over 45.5 total points is at 75%. Every figure is an estimate, not a certainty: injuries, weather and team news can still change the picture.
Buffalo Bills and Chicago Bears this season
2026 season so far; long-run rates since 2000.
| Stat | Buffalo Bills | Chicago Bears |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 6-1 | 5-2 |
| Points scored per game | 33.3 | 25.7 |
| Points allowed per game | 25.9 | 20.4 |
| Games won since 2000 | 224 of 443 | 206 of 439 |
| Games over 45.5 points since 2000 | 188 of 443 | 162 of 439 |
| Scored over 20.5 since 2000 | 242 of 443 | 208 of 439 |
Total points and team points
The model's estimates for this game's point lines.
| Line | Estimate |
|---|---|
| Over 30.5 total points | 94% |
| Over 42.5 total points | 82% |
| Over 45.5 total points | 75% |
| Over 48.5 total points | 67% |
| Over 50.5 total points | 61% |
| Buffalo Bills over 14.5 points | 95% |
| Buffalo Bills over 20.5 points | 83% |
| Buffalo Bills over 24.5 points | 69% |
| Buffalo Bills over 27.5 points | 58% |
| Buffalo Bills over 30.5 points | 46% |
| Chicago Bears over 14.5 points | 84% |
| Chicago Bears over 20.5 points | 64% |
| Chicago Bears over 24.5 points | 47% |
| Chicago Bears over 27.5 points | 35% |
| Chicago Bears over 30.5 points | 25% |
Questions
Who is favoured, Chicago Bears or Buffalo Bills?
The model gives Buffalo Bills a 67% chance of winning and Chicago Bears 33%. These are estimates, not certainties.
What is the projected score for Chicago Bears at Buffalo Bills?
The model projects Buffalo Bills 30.2, Chicago Bears 24.7.
How is this prediction made?
It is a model estimate from predictapp, built from both teams' games this season and in past seasons. This one was made 2 Nov, 11:01 UTC and is updated as new information arrives.
Is this a tip?
No. It is an estimate of how likely each result is, not advice to bet. What you do with it is your decision.
Have Buffalo Bills and Chicago Bears played this season?
Not yet this season.
NFL and team names are used for identification only and are trademarks of their respective owners. SportHoot is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by the NFL or any team. Forecasts are model estimates for information only. 18+.