Buffalo Bills at Denver Broncos prediction
Win probabilities, projected score and this season's numbers, by SportHoot.
Buffalo Bills visit Denver Broncos on Fri, Dec 25, 09:30 PM UTC. The model's forecast is below, with both teams' season side by side.
The probabilities are model estimates and change as new information arrives.
Buffalo Bills at Denver Broncos prediction
NFL ·
Buffalo Bills 58% to win
- Denver Broncos win42%
- Buffalo Bills win58%
A tie is under 1%.
Projected score: Denver Broncos 24.6, Buffalo Bills 26.9
Forecast updated 2 Nov, 11:01 UTC · These are model estimates, not certainties: either team can win.
Game preview
Buffalo Bills have the edge at 58%, but Denver Broncos are at 42%, so this is far from one-sided. The projected score is Denver Broncos 24.6, Buffalo Bills 26.9. Over 45.5 total points is at 66%. Every figure is an estimate, not a certainty: injuries, weather and team news can still change the picture.
Denver Broncos and Buffalo Bills this season
2026 season so far; long-run rates since 2000.
| Stat | Denver Broncos | Buffalo Bills |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 6-2 | 6-1 |
| Points scored per game | 21.5 | 33.3 |
| Points allowed per game | 20.6 | 25.9 |
| Games won since 2000 | 245 of 447 | 224 of 443 |
| Games over 45.5 points since 2000 | 203 of 447 | 188 of 443 |
| Scored over 20.5 since 2000 | 251 of 447 | 242 of 443 |
Total points and team points
The model's estimates for this game's point lines.
| Line | Estimate |
|---|---|
| Over 30.5 total points | 92% |
| Over 42.5 total points | 74% |
| Over 45.5 total points | 66% |
| Over 48.5 total points | 56% |
| Over 50.5 total points | 49% |
| Denver Broncos over 14.5 points | 84% |
| Denver Broncos over 20.5 points | 64% |
| Denver Broncos over 24.5 points | 48% |
| Denver Broncos over 27.5 points | 36% |
| Denver Broncos over 30.5 points | 25% |
| Buffalo Bills over 14.5 points | 89% |
| Buffalo Bills over 20.5 points | 72% |
| Buffalo Bills over 24.5 points | 56% |
| Buffalo Bills over 27.5 points | 44% |
| Buffalo Bills over 30.5 points | 32% |
Questions
Who is favoured, Buffalo Bills or Denver Broncos?
The model gives Buffalo Bills a 58% chance of winning and Denver Broncos 42%. These are estimates, not certainties.
What is the projected score for Buffalo Bills at Denver Broncos?
The model projects Denver Broncos 24.6, Buffalo Bills 26.9.
How is this prediction made?
It is a model estimate from predictapp, built from both teams' games this season and in past seasons. This one was made 2 Nov, 11:01 UTC and is updated as new information arrives.
Is this a tip?
No. It is an estimate of how likely each result is, not advice to bet. What you do with it is your decision.
Have Buffalo Bills and Denver Broncos played this season?
Not yet this season.
NFL and team names are used for identification only and are trademarks of their respective owners. SportHoot is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by the NFL or any team. Forecasts are model estimates for information only. 18+.