Denver Broncos: predictions, props and stats
The numbers behind the Broncos
The Broncos are 6-2 through week 8, scoring 21.5 points a game and allowing 20.6.
Every table on this page is a result from games already played, not a prediction.
Next game
Results and scoring
This season, through week 8
6-2, with 21.5 points scored and 20.6 allowed a game.
| Wk | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | vsChiefs | 28-24 | Won |
| 7 | @Cardinals | 30-16 | Won |
| 6 | vsSeahawks | 17-14 OT | Won |
| 5 | @Chargers | 23-17 | Won |
| 4 | @49ers | 14-24 | Lost |
| 3 | vsRams | 30-26 | Won |
| 2 | vsJaguars | 20-13 | Won |
| 1 | @Chiefs | 10-31 | Lost |
| Stat | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored a game | 21.5 | 22.7 |
| Points allowed a game | 20.6 | 21.8 |
| Average margin | +0.9 | +0.9 |
| Went to overtime | 13%1 of 8 | 7%31 of 447 |
Broncos against the spread
Since 2000 the Broncos have won by more than 3.5 points in 185 of 447 games, with an average margin of +0.9.
| Line | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Won by 8 or more (covers -7.5) | 13%1 of 8 | 31%137 of 447 |
| Won by 4 or more (covers -3.5) | 63%5 of 8 | 41%185 of 447 |
| Won, or lost by 3 or fewer (covers +3.5) | 75%6 of 8 | 66%294 of 447 |
| Won, or lost by 7 or fewer (covers +7.5) | 75%6 of 8 | 75%337 of 447 |
Game totals in Broncos games
Since 2000, Broncos games have gone over 45.5 points in 203 of 447.
| Line | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 30.5 points | 100%8 of 8 | 83%373 of 447 |
| Over 42.5 points | 38%3 of 8 | 54%243 of 447 |
| Over 45.5 points | 38%3 of 8 | 45%203 of 447 |
| Over 48.5 points | 25%2 of 8 | 36%163 of 447 |
| Over 50.5 points | 25%2 of 8 | 33%146 of 447 |
Broncos wins, home and away
Since 2000 the Broncos have won 245 of 447 games: 146 of 228 at home and 99 of 219 away.
| Stat | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 75%6 of 8 | 55%245 of 447 |
| At home | 100%4 of 4 | 64%146 of 228 |
| Away | 50%2 of 4 | 45%99 of 219 |
Broncos points against team totals
Since 2000 the Broncos have scored more than 20.5 points in 251 of 447 games.
| Line | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored over 14.5 | 75%6 of 8 | 78%348 of 447 |
| Scored over 20.5 | 50%4 of 8 | 56%251 of 447 |
| Scored over 24.5 | 38%3 of 8 | 37%167 of 447 |
| Scored over 27.5 | 38%3 of 8 | 29%131 of 447 |
| Scored over 30.5 | 0%0 of 8 | 23%103 of 447 |
Broncos passing
This season, through week 8
| Player | G | Cmp | Att | Yds | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bo Nix | 8 | 149 | 253 | 1493 | 9 | 3 |
Broncos rushing
This season, through week 8
| J.K. Dobbins | RB | 8 | 94 | 306 | 3 | 52% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonah Coleman | RB | 4 | 30 | 134 | 2 | 33% |
| RJ Harvey | RB | 6 | 24 | 87 | 1 | 19% |
| Bo Nix | QB | 8 | 24 | 122 | 2 | 9% |
| Tyler Badie | RB | 5 | 7 | 22 | 0 | 6% |
| Marvin Mims Jr. | WR | 6 | 4 | 25 | 0 | 3% |
| Jaylen Waddle | WR | 8 | 2 | 23 | 0 | 1% |
| Pat Bryant | WR | 4 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 1% |
Broncos receiving
This season, through week 8
| Jaylen Waddle | WR | 53 | 29 | 315 | 2 | 24% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtland Sutton | WR | 37 | 20 | 221 | 1 | 16% |
| RJ Harvey | RB | 28 | 25 | 217 | 1 | 15% |
| Evan Engram | TE | 25 | 13 | 136 | 1 | 11% |
| Marvin Mims Jr. | WR | 14 | 9 | 92 | 0 | 9% |
| Pat Bryant | WR | 13 | 9 | 133 | 1 | 11% |
| Troy Franklin | WR | 11 | 6 | 69 | 0 | 5% |
| Jonah Coleman | RB | 10 | 9 | 97 | 0 | 9% |
Who scores for the Broncos
This season, through week 8
| J.K. Dobbins | RB | 3 | 0 | 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Adkins | TE | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Jaylen Waddle | WR | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| RJ Harvey | RB | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Bo Nix | QB | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Jonah Coleman | RB | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Pat Bryant | WR | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Evan Engram | TE | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Broncos fantasy points
This season, through week 8
| Bo Nix | QB | 8 | 115.9 | 14.5 | 14.5 | 14.5 | 26.4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Waddle | WR | 8 | 78.8 | 9.9 | 8.0 | 6.2 | 21.8 |
| RJ Harvey | RB | 6 | 67.4 | 11.2 | 9.2 | 7.1 | 19.3 |
| J.K. Dobbins | RB | 8 | 59.3 | 7.4 | 6.9 | 6.4 | 15.4 |
| Courtland Sutton | WR | 8 | 48.1 | 6.0 | 4.8 | 3.5 | 9.8 |
| Jonah Coleman | RB | 4 | 44.1 | 11.0 | 9.9 | 8.8 | 20.4 |
| Evan Engram | TE | 8 | 32.6 | 4.1 | 3.3 | 2.5 | 14.3 |
| Pat Bryant | WR | 4 | 31.9 | 8.0 | 6.9 | 5.7 | 14.4 |
| Nate Adkins | TE | 8 | 29.0 | 3.6 | 3.3 | 2.9 | 12.8 |
| Marvin Mims Jr. | WR | 6 | 18.7 | 3.1 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 7.6 |
| Tyler Badie | RB | 5 | 16.9 | 3.4 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 7.9 |
| Troy Franklin | WR | 8 | 13.4 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 3.7 |
| Adam Trautman | TE | 8 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 5.0 |
| Lil'Jordan Humphrey | WR | 5 | 5.3 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 2.0 |
What the Broncos defense allows
A game, over its last 25 games. Rank 1 is the defense that allows the most.
How close the model's projections have been
Tested on games the model had not seen: what it projected next to what happened, for players projected for a real role. The last column is how often the result landed inside the projected 80% range.
| Market | This season | Player games | Projected | Actual | Inside the 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving yards, WR | 2021 to 2025 | 4,979 | 55.8 | 55.3 | 79.2% |
| Rushing yards, RB | 2021 to 2025 | 3,656 | 52.7 | 54.1 | 81.2% |
| Passing yards, QB | 2022 to 2025 | 2,173 | 221.1 | 223.7 | 81.2% |
| Receiving yards, TE | 2021 to 2025 | 1,179 | 47.6 | 46.7 | 82.1% |
Questions about the Broncos
How often do Broncos games go over 45.5 points?
In 203 of 447 games since 2000 (45%). Every total from 30.5 to 50.5 is counted in the total section of this page.
How often do the Broncos win at home?
They have won 146 of 228 home games since 2000 (64%), and 99 of 219 away.
How often do the Broncos score more than 20.5 points?
In 251 of 447 games since 2000 (56%).
Are the numbers on this page predictions?
No. They are results from games already played, and each section says which games it counts.
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