Buffalo Bills at Green Bay Packers prediction
Win probabilities, projected score and this season's numbers, by SportHoot.
Buffalo Bills visit Green Bay Packers on Mon, Dec 14, 01:20 AM UTC. The model's forecast is below, with both teams' season side by side.
The probabilities are model estimates and change as new information arrives.
Buffalo Bills at Green Bay Packers prediction
NFL ·
Buffalo Bills 55% to win
- Green Bay Packers win45%
- Buffalo Bills win55%
A tie is under 1%.
Projected score: Green Bay Packers 25.5, Buffalo Bills 27
Forecast updated 2 Nov, 11:01 UTC · These are model estimates, not certainties: either team can win.
Game preview
Buffalo Bills have the edge at 55%, but Green Bay Packers are at 45%, so this is far from one-sided. The projected score is Green Bay Packers 25.5, Buffalo Bills 27. Over 45.5 total points is at 67%. Every figure is an estimate, not a certainty: injuries, weather and team news can still change the picture.
Green Bay Packers and Buffalo Bills this season
2026 season so far; long-run rates since 2000.
| Stat | Green Bay Packers | Buffalo Bills |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 5-3 | 6-1 |
| Points scored per game | 21.4 | 33.3 |
| Points allowed per game | 20.5 | 25.9 |
| Games won since 2000 | 280 of 462 | 224 of 443 |
| Games over 45.5 points since 2000 | 251 of 462 | 188 of 443 |
| Scored over 20.5 since 2000 | 317 of 462 | 242 of 443 |
Total points and team points
The model's estimates for this game's point lines.
| Line | Estimate |
|---|---|
| Over 30.5 total points | 92% |
| Over 42.5 total points | 75% |
| Over 45.5 total points | 67% |
| Over 48.5 total points | 58% |
| Over 50.5 total points | 51% |
| Green Bay Packers over 14.5 points | 86% |
| Green Bay Packers over 20.5 points | 67% |
| Green Bay Packers over 24.5 points | 51% |
| Green Bay Packers over 27.5 points | 39% |
| Green Bay Packers over 30.5 points | 28% |
| Buffalo Bills over 14.5 points | 89% |
| Buffalo Bills over 20.5 points | 72% |
| Buffalo Bills over 24.5 points | 57% |
| Buffalo Bills over 27.5 points | 45% |
| Buffalo Bills over 30.5 points | 33% |
Questions
Who is favoured, Buffalo Bills or Green Bay Packers?
The model gives Buffalo Bills a 55% chance of winning and Green Bay Packers 45%. These are estimates, not certainties.
What is the projected score for Buffalo Bills at Green Bay Packers?
The model projects Green Bay Packers 25.5, Buffalo Bills 27.
How is this prediction made?
It is a model estimate from predictapp, built from both teams' games this season and in past seasons. This one was made 2 Nov, 11:01 UTC and is updated as new information arrives.
Is this a tip?
No. It is an estimate of how likely each result is, not advice to bet. What you do with it is your decision.
Have Buffalo Bills and Green Bay Packers played this season?
Not yet this season.
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