Green Bay Packers: predictions, props and stats
The numbers behind the Packers
The Packers are 5-3 through week 8, scoring 21.4 points a game and allowing 20.5.
Every table on this page is a result from games already played, not a prediction.
Next game
Results and scoring
This season, through week 8
5-3, with 21.4 points scored and 20.5 allowed a game.
| Wk | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | vsPanthers | 27-19 | Won |
| 7 | @Lions | 17-20 | Lost |
| 6 | vsCowboys | 23-13 | Won |
| 5 | vsBears | 31-7 | Won |
| 4 | @Buccaneers | 17-14 | Won |
| 3 | vsFalcons | 14-35 | Lost |
| 2 | @Jets | 20-17 OT | Won |
| 1 | @Vikings | 22-39 | Lost |
| Stat | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored a game | 21.4 | 25.3 |
| Points allowed a game | 20.5 | 21.6 |
| Average margin | +0.9 | +3.6 |
| Went to overtime | 13%1 of 8 | 6%29 of 462 |
Packers against the spread
Since 2000 the Packers have won by more than 3.5 points in 232 of 462 games, with an average margin of +3.6.
| Line | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Won by 8 or more (covers -7.5) | 38%3 of 8 | 37%170 of 462 |
| Won by 4 or more (covers -3.5) | 38%3 of 8 | 50%232 of 462 |
| Won, or lost by 3 or fewer (covers +3.5) | 75%6 of 8 | 72%332 of 462 |
| Won, or lost by 7 or fewer (covers +7.5) | 75%6 of 8 | 82%380 of 462 |
Game totals in Packers games
Since 2000, Packers games have gone over 45.5 points in 251 of 462.
| Line | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 30.5 points | 100%8 of 8 | 89%413 of 462 |
| Over 42.5 points | 38%3 of 8 | 64%294 of 462 |
| Over 45.5 points | 38%3 of 8 | 54%251 of 462 |
| Over 48.5 points | 25%2 of 8 | 43%198 of 462 |
| Over 50.5 points | 13%1 of 8 | 38%177 of 462 |
Packers wins, home and away
Since 2000 the Packers have won 280 of 462 games: 162 of 230 at home and 118 of 232 away.
| Stat | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 63%5 of 8 | 61%280 of 462 |
| At home | 75%3 of 4 | 70%162 of 230 |
| Away | 50%2 of 4 | 51%118 of 232 |
Packers points against team totals
Since 2000 the Packers have scored more than 20.5 points in 317 of 462 games.
| Line | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored over 14.5 | 88%7 of 8 | 85%395 of 462 |
| Scored over 20.5 | 50%4 of 8 | 69%317 of 462 |
| Scored over 24.5 | 25%2 of 8 | 52%242 of 462 |
| Scored over 27.5 | 13%1 of 8 | 40%185 of 462 |
| Scored over 30.5 | 13%1 of 8 | 30%139 of 462 |
Packers passing
This season, through week 8
| Player | G | Cmp | Att | Yds | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Love | 8 | 192 | 313 | 2246 | 16 | 6 |
Packers rushing
This season, through week 8
| MarShawn Lloyd | RB | 8 | 57 | 149 | 2 | 36% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Jacobs | RB | 2 | 32 | 75 | 1 | 69% |
| Kaleb Johnson | RB | 6 | 28 | 104 | 0 | 27% |
| Pierre Strong | RB | 4 | 17 | 37 | 0 | 18% |
| Chris Brooks | RB | 4 | 15 | 70 | 0 | 18% |
| Jordan Love | QB | 8 | 6 | 24 | 1 | 4% |
| Savion Williams | WR | 3 | 5 | 31 | 0 | 8% |
| Tucker Kraft | TE | 8 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1% |
Packers receiving
This season, through week 8
| Matthew Golden | WR | 83 | 43 | 619 | 4 | 27% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Watson | WR | 66 | 42 | 708 | 6 | 22% |
| Tucker Kraft | TE | 49 | 35 | 350 | 3 | 16% |
| MarShawn Lloyd | RB | 17 | 13 | 74 | 1 | 6% |
| Skyy Moore | WR | 14 | 7 | 35 | 0 | 7% |
| Josh Jacobs | RB | 13 | 11 | 68 | 2 | 16% |
| Bo Melton | WR | 10 | 5 | 34 | 0 | 4% |
| Pierre Strong | RB | 10 | 8 | 50 | 0 | 7% |
Who scores for the Packers
This season, through week 8
| Christian Watson | WR | 0 | 6 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Golden | WR | 0 | 4 | 4 |
| Josh Jacobs | RB | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Tucker Kraft | TE | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| MarShawn Lloyd | RB | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Jordan Love | QB | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Packers fantasy points
This season, through week 8
| Jordan Love | QB | 8 | 150.2 | 18.8 | 18.8 | 18.8 | 25.3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Watson | WR | 8 | 146.8 | 18.4 | 15.7 | 13.1 | 32.7 |
| Matthew Golden | WR | 8 | 131.5 | 16.4 | 13.8 | 11.1 | 22.4 |
| Tucker Kraft | TE | 8 | 88.5 | 11.1 | 8.9 | 6.7 | 17.3 |
| MarShawn Lloyd | RB | 8 | 51.3 | 6.4 | 5.6 | 4.8 | 16.7 |
| Josh Jacobs | RB | 2 | 43.3 | 21.7 | 18.9 | 16.2 | 23.2 |
| Savion Williams | WR | 3 | 19.5 | 6.5 | 5.2 | 3.8 | 8.1 |
| Pierre Strong | RB | 4 | 16.7 | 4.2 | 3.2 | 2.2 | 11.7 |
| Jonnu Smith | TE | 7 | 15.4 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 7.0 |
| Chris Brooks | RB | 4 | 12.4 | 3.1 | 2.7 | 2.4 | 4.5 |
| Skyy Moore | WR | 5 | 10.5 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 6.1 |
| Kaleb Johnson | RB | 6 | 10.4 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 3.2 |
| Bo Melton | WR | 8 | 8.4 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 5.0 |
| J. Michael Sturdivant | WR | 7 | 7.8 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 5.2 |
| Jayden Reed | WR | 2 | 6.4 | 3.2 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 5.0 |
What the Packers defense allows
A game, over its last 25 games. Rank 1 is the defense that allows the most.
How close the model's projections have been
Tested on games the model had not seen: what it projected next to what happened, for players projected for a real role. The last column is how often the result landed inside the projected 80% range.
| Market | This season | Player games | Projected | Actual | Inside the 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving yards, WR | 2021 to 2025 | 4,979 | 55.8 | 55.3 | 79.2% |
| Rushing yards, RB | 2021 to 2025 | 3,656 | 52.7 | 54.1 | 81.2% |
| Passing yards, QB | 2022 to 2025 | 2,173 | 221.1 | 223.7 | 81.2% |
| Receiving yards, TE | 2021 to 2025 | 1,179 | 47.6 | 46.7 | 82.1% |
Questions about the Packers
How often do Packers games go over 45.5 points?
In 251 of 462 games since 2000 (54%). Every total from 30.5 to 50.5 is counted in the total section of this page.
How often do the Packers win at home?
They have won 162 of 230 home games since 2000 (70%), and 118 of 232 away.
How often do the Packers score more than 20.5 points?
In 317 of 462 games since 2000 (69%).
Are the numbers on this page predictions?
No. They are results from games already played, and each section says which games it counts.
NFL, team and player names are used for identification only and are trademarks of their respective owners. SportHoot is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by the NFL, any team or any player. The tables on this page are past results, not predictions. 18+.