Kansas City Chiefs at Buffalo Bills prediction
Win probabilities, projected score and this season's numbers, by SportHoot.
Kansas City Chiefs visit Buffalo Bills on Fri, Nov 27, 01:20 AM UTC. The model's forecast is below, with both teams' season side by side.
The probabilities are model estimates and change as new information arrives.
Kansas City Chiefs at Buffalo Bills prediction
NFL ·
Buffalo Bills 65% to win
- Buffalo Bills win65%
- Kansas City Chiefs win35%
A tie is under 1%.
Projected score: Buffalo Bills 29.7, Kansas City Chiefs 25.1
Forecast updated 3 Nov, 11:01 UTC · These are model estimates, not certainties: either team can win.
Game preview
Buffalo Bills have the edge at 65%, but Kansas City Chiefs are at 35%, so this is far from one-sided. The projected score is Buffalo Bills 29.7, Kansas City Chiefs 25.1. Over 45.5 total points is at 74%. Every figure is an estimate, not a certainty: injuries, weather and team news can still change the picture.
Buffalo Bills and Kansas City Chiefs this season
2026 season so far; long-run rates since 2000.
| Stat | Buffalo Bills | Kansas City Chiefs |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 6-1 | 5-2 |
| Points scored per game | 33.3 | 23.9 |
| Points allowed per game | 25.9 | 18.7 |
| Games won since 2000 | 224 of 443 | 261 of 457 |
| Games over 45.5 points since 2000 | 188 of 443 | 212 of 457 |
| Scored over 20.5 since 2000 | 242 of 443 | 280 of 457 |
Total points and team points
The model's estimates for this game's point lines.
| Line | Estimate |
|---|---|
| Over 30.5 total points | 94% |
| Over 42.5 total points | 81% |
| Over 45.5 total points | 74% |
| Over 48.5 total points | 66% |
| Over 50.5 total points | 60% |
| Buffalo Bills over 14.5 points | 94% |
| Buffalo Bills over 20.5 points | 82% |
| Buffalo Bills over 24.5 points | 68% |
| Buffalo Bills over 27.5 points | 56% |
| Buffalo Bills over 30.5 points | 44% |
| Kansas City Chiefs over 14.5 points | 85% |
| Kansas City Chiefs over 20.5 points | 65% |
| Kansas City Chiefs over 24.5 points | 49% |
| Kansas City Chiefs over 27.5 points | 36% |
| Kansas City Chiefs over 30.5 points | 26% |
Questions
Who is favoured, Kansas City Chiefs or Buffalo Bills?
The model gives Buffalo Bills a 65% chance of winning and Kansas City Chiefs 35%. These are estimates, not certainties.
What is the projected score for Kansas City Chiefs at Buffalo Bills?
The model projects Buffalo Bills 29.7, Kansas City Chiefs 25.1.
How is this prediction made?
It is a model estimate from predictapp, built from both teams' games this season and in past seasons. This one was made 3 Nov, 11:01 UTC and is updated as new information arrives.
Is this a tip?
No. It is an estimate of how likely each result is, not advice to bet. What you do with it is your decision.
Have Buffalo Bills and Kansas City Chiefs played this season?
Not yet this season.
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