Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills prediction
Win probabilities, projected score and this season's numbers, by SportHoot.
Miami Dolphins visit Buffalo Bills on Sun, Nov 22, 06:00 PM UTC. The model's forecast is below, with both teams' season side by side.
The probabilities are model estimates and change as new information arrives.
Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills prediction
NFL ·
Buffalo Bills 85% to win
- Buffalo Bills win85%
- Miami Dolphins win15%
A tie is under 1%.
Projected score: Buffalo Bills 32.3, Miami Dolphins 19.1
Forecast updated 2 Nov, 11:01 UTC · These are model estimates, not certainties: either team can win.
Game preview
Buffalo Bills go in as clear favourites: the model gives them a 85% chance of winning, with Miami Dolphins at 15%. The projected score is Buffalo Bills 32.3, Miami Dolphins 19.1. Over 45.5 total points is at 68%. Every figure is an estimate, not a certainty: injuries, weather and team news can still change the picture.
Buffalo Bills and Miami Dolphins this season
2026 season so far; long-run rates since 2000.
| Stat | Buffalo Bills | Miami Dolphins |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 6-1 | 1-6 |
| Points scored per game | 33.3 | 16.7 |
| Points allowed per game | 25.9 | 25.9 |
| Games won since 2000 | 224 of 443 | 205 of 435 |
| Games over 45.5 points since 2000 | 188 of 443 | 163 of 435 |
| Scored over 20.5 since 2000 | 242 of 443 | 212 of 435 |
Total points and team points
The model's estimates for this game's point lines.
| Line | Estimate |
|---|---|
| Over 30.5 total points | 93% |
| Over 42.5 total points | 76% |
| Over 45.5 total points | 68% |
| Over 48.5 total points | 59% |
| Over 50.5 total points | 52% |
| Buffalo Bills over 14.5 points | 97% |
| Buffalo Bills over 20.5 points | 88% |
| Buffalo Bills over 24.5 points | 77% |
| Buffalo Bills over 27.5 points | 66% |
| Buffalo Bills over 30.5 points | 54% |
| Miami Dolphins over 14.5 points | 65% |
| Miami Dolphins over 20.5 points | 40% |
| Miami Dolphins over 24.5 points | 26% |
| Miami Dolphins over 27.5 points | 17% |
| Miami Dolphins over 30.5 points | 11% |
Questions
Who is favoured, Miami Dolphins or Buffalo Bills?
The model gives Buffalo Bills a 85% chance of winning and Miami Dolphins 15%. These are estimates, not certainties.
What is the projected score for Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills?
The model projects Buffalo Bills 32.3, Miami Dolphins 19.1.
How is this prediction made?
It is a model estimate from predictapp, built from both teams' games this season and in past seasons. This one was made 2 Nov, 11:01 UTC and is updated as new information arrives.
Is this a tip?
No. It is an estimate of how likely each result is, not advice to bet. What you do with it is your decision.
Have Buffalo Bills and Miami Dolphins played this season?
Not yet this season.
NFL and team names are used for identification only and are trademarks of their respective owners. SportHoot is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by the NFL or any team. Forecasts are model estimates for information only. 18+.