Miami Dolphins: predictions, props and stats
The numbers behind the Dolphins
The Dolphins are 1-6 through week 8, scoring 16.7 points a game and allowing 25.9.
Every table on this page is a result from games already played, not a prediction.
Next game
Results and scoring
This season, through week 8
1-6, with 16.7 points scored and 25.9 allowed a game.
| Wk | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | vsPatriots | 19-24 | Lost |
| 7 | @Jets | 28-25 | Won |
| 5 | vsBengals | 24-31 | Lost |
| 4 | @Vikings | 10-15 | Lost |
| 3 | vsChiefs | 10-24 | Lost |
| 2 | @49ers | 13-35 | Lost |
| 1 | @Raiders | 13-27 | Lost |
| Stat | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored a game | 16.7 | 20.4 |
| Points allowed a game | 25.9 | 22 |
| Average margin | -9.1 | -1.6 |
| Went to overtime | 0%0 of 7 | 5%20 of 435 |
Dolphins against the spread
Since 2000 the Dolphins have won by more than 3.5 points in 155 of 435 games, with an average margin of -1.6.
| Line | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Won by 8 or more (covers -7.5) | 0%0 of 7 | 23%101 of 435 |
| Won by 4 or more (covers -3.5) | 0%0 of 7 | 36%155 of 435 |
| Won, or lost by 3 or fewer (covers +3.5) | 14%1 of 7 | 60%259 of 435 |
| Won, or lost by 7 or fewer (covers +7.5) | 57%4 of 7 | 68%297 of 435 |
Game totals in Dolphins games
Since 2000, Dolphins games have gone over 45.5 points in 163 of 435.
| Line | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 30.5 points | 86%6 of 7 | 80%348 of 435 |
| Over 42.5 points | 57%4 of 7 | 49%213 of 435 |
| Over 45.5 points | 43%3 of 7 | 37%163 of 435 |
| Over 48.5 points | 29%2 of 7 | 31%134 of 435 |
| Over 50.5 points | 29%2 of 7 | 27%119 of 435 |
Dolphins wins, home and away
Since 2000 the Dolphins have won 205 of 435 games: 120 of 217 at home and 85 of 218 away.
| Stat | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 14%1 of 7 | 47%205 of 435 |
| At home | 0%0 of 3 | 55%120 of 217 |
| Away | 25%1 of 4 | 39%85 of 218 |
Dolphins points against team totals
Since 2000 the Dolphins have scored more than 20.5 points in 212 of 435 games.
| Line | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored over 14.5 | 43%3 of 7 | 72%313 of 435 |
| Scored over 20.5 | 29%2 of 7 | 49%212 of 435 |
| Scored over 24.5 | 14%1 of 7 | 29%128 of 435 |
| Scored over 27.5 | 14%1 of 7 | 22%96 of 435 |
| Scored over 30.5 | 0%0 of 7 | 15%66 of 435 |
Dolphins passing
This season, through week 8
| Player | G | Cmp | Att | Yds | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Willis | 7 | 108 | 184 | 1268 | 6 | 5 |
Dolphins rushing
This season, through week 8
| Ollie Gordon II | RB | 7 | 91 | 408 | 4 | 50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Von Achane | RB | 3 | 34 | 127 | 0 | 56% |
| Malik Willis | QB | 7 | 34 | 227 | 3 | 7% |
| Jaylen Wright | RB | 6 | 22 | 41 | 0 | 15% |
| Kaytron Allen | RB | 6 | 12 | 41 | 0 | 8% |
| Malik Washington | WR | 7 | 8 | 38 | 0 | 5% |
| Chris Bell | WR | 7 | 2 | 24 | 0 | 1% |
Dolphins receiving
This season, through week 8
| Malik Washington | WR | 45 | 31 | 329 | 1 | 25% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Dulcich | TE | 29 | 22 | 256 | 0 | 15% |
| Chris Bell | WR | 24 | 12 | 148 | 0 | 13% |
| Kevin Coleman Jr. | WR | 21 | 8 | 82 | 2 | 12% |
| Caleb Douglas | WR | 19 | 13 | 226 | 2 | 18% |
| De'Von Achane | RB | 12 | 7 | 49 | 0 | 16% |
| Jared Wayne | WR | 12 | 4 | 65 | 0 | 6% |
| Ollie Gordon II | RB | 9 | 6 | 14 | 0 | 5% |
Who scores for the Dolphins
This season, through week 8
| Ollie Gordon II | RB | 4 | 0 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Willis | QB | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Kevin Coleman Jr. | WR | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Caleb Douglas | WR | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Malik Washington | WR | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Dolphins fantasy points
This season, through week 8
| Malik Willis | QB | 7 | 101.4 | 14.5 | 14.5 | 14.5 | 26.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ollie Gordon II | RB | 7 | 72.2 | 10.3 | 9.9 | 9.5 | 18.0 |
| Malik Washington | WR | 7 | 71.7 | 10.2 | 8.0 | 5.8 | 15.0 |
| Greg Dulcich | TE | 7 | 49.6 | 7.1 | 5.5 | 3.9 | 13.6 |
| Caleb Douglas | WR | 4 | 47.6 | 11.9 | 10.3 | 8.7 | 21.0 |
| Chris Bell | WR | 7 | 29.2 | 4.2 | 3.3 | 2.5 | 10.7 |
| Kevin Coleman Jr. | WR | 7 | 28.2 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2.9 | 13.6 |
| De'Von Achane | RB | 3 | 24.6 | 8.2 | 7.0 | 5.9 | 12.3 |
| Jared Wayne | WR | 6 | 10.5 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 5.3 |
| Will Kacmarek | TE | 7 | 5.4 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 2.5 |
| Jalen Tolbert | WR | 4 | 5.0 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 3.2 |
| Jaylen Wright | RB | 6 | 4.1 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 1.1 |
| Kaytron Allen | RB | 6 | 4.1 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 2.4 |
| DJ Herman | RB | 7 | 2.8 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 2.8 |
What the Dolphins defense allows
A game, over its last 24 games. Rank 1 is the defense that allows the most.
How close the model's projections have been
Tested on games the model had not seen: what it projected next to what happened, for players projected for a real role. The last column is how often the result landed inside the projected 80% range.
| Market | This season | Player games | Projected | Actual | Inside the 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving yards, WR | 2021 to 2025 | 4,979 | 55.8 | 55.3 | 79.2% |
| Rushing yards, RB | 2021 to 2025 | 3,656 | 52.7 | 54.1 | 81.2% |
| Passing yards, QB | 2022 to 2025 | 2,173 | 221.1 | 223.7 | 81.2% |
| Receiving yards, TE | 2021 to 2025 | 1,179 | 47.6 | 46.7 | 82.1% |
Questions about the Dolphins
How often do Dolphins games go over 45.5 points?
In 163 of 435 games since 2000 (37%). Every total from 30.5 to 50.5 is counted in the total section of this page.
How often do the Dolphins win at home?
They have won 120 of 217 home games since 2000 (55%), and 85 of 218 away.
How often do the Dolphins score more than 20.5 points?
In 212 of 435 games since 2000 (49%).
Are the numbers on this page predictions?
No. They are results from games already played, and each section says which games it counts.
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