Buffalo Bills at Minnesota Vikings prediction
Win probabilities, projected score and this season's numbers, by SportHoot.
Buffalo Bills visit Minnesota Vikings on Tue, Nov 10, 01:15 AM UTC. The model's forecast is below, with both teams' season side by side.
The probabilities are model estimates and change as new information arrives.
Buffalo Bills at Minnesota Vikings prediction
NFL ·
Buffalo Bills 60% to win
- Minnesota Vikings win40%
- Buffalo Bills win60%
A tie is under 1%.
Projected score: Minnesota Vikings 22.9, Buffalo Bills 25.8
Forecast updated 4 Nov, 11:01 UTC · These are model estimates, not certainties: either team can win.
Game preview
Buffalo Bills have the edge at 60%, but Minnesota Vikings are at 40%, so this is far from one-sided. The projected score is Minnesota Vikings 22.9, Buffalo Bills 25.8. Over 45.5 total points is at 55%. Minnesota Vikings have doubts over Jay Ward. Buffalo Bills will be without Tyrell Shavers and Spencer Brown. Buffalo Bills have doubts over DJ Moore, Dalton Kincaid and Dee Alford. Every figure is an estimate, not a certainty: injuries, weather and team news can still change the picture.
Team news
Players missing or in doubt for this game, from the latest reports.
Minnesota Vikings
- Jay Ward (S): Questionable, Knee
Buffalo Bills
- Tyrell Shavers (WR): Out, Knee
- DJ Moore (WR): Questionable, Shoulder
- Dalton Kincaid (TE): Questionable, Chest
- Spencer Brown (OT): Out, Back
- Dee Alford (CB): Questionable, Ankle
- Greg Gaines (DT): Questionable, Calf
- TJ Parker (LB): Questionable, Knee
Minnesota Vikings and Buffalo Bills this season
2026 season so far; long-run rates since 2000.
| Stat | Minnesota Vikings | Buffalo Bills |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 6-1 | 6-1 |
| Points scored per game | 20.0 | 33.3 |
| Points allowed per game | 13.3 | 25.9 |
| Games won since 2000 | 234 of 443 | 224 of 443 |
| Games over 45.5 points since 2000 | 205 of 443 | 188 of 443 |
| Scored over 20.5 since 2000 | 261 of 443 | 242 of 443 |
Total points and team points
The model's estimates for this game's point lines.
| Line | Estimate |
|---|---|
| Over 30.5 total points | 90% |
| Over 42.5 total points | 65% |
| Over 45.5 total points | 55% |
| Over 48.5 total points | 45% |
| Over 50.5 total points | 39% |
| Minnesota Vikings over 14.5 points | 79% |
| Minnesota Vikings over 20.5 points | 57% |
| Minnesota Vikings over 24.5 points | 40% |
| Minnesota Vikings over 27.5 points | 29% |
| Minnesota Vikings over 30.5 points | 20% |
| Buffalo Bills over 14.5 points | 87% |
| Buffalo Bills over 20.5 points | 68% |
| Buffalo Bills over 24.5 points | 51% |
| Buffalo Bills over 27.5 points | 39% |
| Buffalo Bills over 30.5 points | 28% |
Questions
Who is favoured, Buffalo Bills or Minnesota Vikings?
The model gives Buffalo Bills a 60% chance of winning and Minnesota Vikings 40%. These are estimates, not certainties.
What is the projected score for Buffalo Bills at Minnesota Vikings?
The model projects Minnesota Vikings 22.9, Buffalo Bills 25.8.
How is this prediction made?
It is a model estimate from predictapp, built from both teams' games this season and in past seasons. This one was made 4 Nov, 11:01 UTC and is updated as new information arrives.
Is this a tip?
No. It is an estimate of how likely each result is, not advice to bet. What you do with it is your decision.
Have Buffalo Bills and Minnesota Vikings played this season?
Not yet this season.
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