Minnesota Vikings: predictions, props and stats
The numbers behind the Vikings
The Vikings are 6-1 through week 8, scoring 20.0 points a game and allowing 13.3.
Every table on this page is a result from games already played, not a prediction.
Next game
Results and scoring
This season, through week 8
6-1, with 20.0 points scored and 13.3 allowed a game.
| Wk | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | @Lions | 15-19 | Lost |
| 7 | vsColts | 16-10 | Won |
| 5 | @Saints | 23-13 | Won |
| 4 | vsDolphins | 15-10 | Won |
| 3 | @Buccaneers | 23-16 | Won |
| 2 | @Bears | 9-3 | Won |
| 1 | vsPackers | 39-22 | Won |
| Stat | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored a game | 20.0 | 22.7 |
| Points allowed a game | 13.3 | 22.3 |
| Average margin | +6.7 | +0.5 |
| Went to overtime | 0%0 of 7 | 6%28 of 443 |
Vikings against the spread
Since 2000 the Vikings have won by more than 3.5 points in 183 of 443 games, with an average margin of +0.5.
| Line | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Won by 8 or more (covers -7.5) | 29%2 of 7 | 28%126 of 443 |
| Won by 4 or more (covers -3.5) | 86%6 of 7 | 41%183 of 443 |
| Won, or lost by 3 or fewer (covers +3.5) | 86%6 of 7 | 63%281 of 443 |
| Won, or lost by 7 or fewer (covers +7.5) | 100%7 of 7 | 76%338 of 443 |
Game totals in Vikings games
Since 2000, Vikings games have gone over 45.5 points in 205 of 443.
| Line | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 30.5 points | 57%4 of 7 | 88%388 of 443 |
| Over 42.5 points | 14%1 of 7 | 56%246 of 443 |
| Over 45.5 points | 14%1 of 7 | 46%205 of 443 |
| Over 48.5 points | 14%1 of 7 | 39%174 of 443 |
| Over 50.5 points | 14%1 of 7 | 34%150 of 443 |
Vikings wins, home and away
Since 2000 the Vikings have won 234 of 443 games: 142 of 219 at home and 92 of 224 away.
| Stat | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 86%6 of 7 | 53%234 of 443 |
| At home | 100%3 of 3 | 65%142 of 219 |
| Away | 75%3 of 4 | 41%92 of 224 |
Vikings points against team totals
Since 2000 the Vikings have scored more than 20.5 points in 261 of 443 games.
| Line | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored over 14.5 | 86%6 of 7 | 78%346 of 443 |
| Scored over 20.5 | 43%3 of 7 | 59%261 of 443 |
| Scored over 24.5 | 14%1 of 7 | 42%187 of 443 |
| Scored over 27.5 | 14%1 of 7 | 33%147 of 443 |
| Scored over 30.5 | 14%1 of 7 | 22%96 of 443 |
Vikings passing
This season, through week 8
| Kyler Murray | 6 | 100 | 154 | 1022 | 5 | 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carson Wentz | 2 | 23 | 40 | 276 | 3 | 0 |
Vikings rushing
This season, through week 8
| Aaron Jones | RB | 7 | 110 | 458 | 2 | 64% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Mason | RB | 3 | 38 | 147 | 1 | 55% |
| Kyler Murray | QB | 6 | 20 | 178 | 0 | 3% |
| Demond Claiborne | RB | 4 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 7% |
| Carson Wentz | QB | 2 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 6% |
| DeeJay Dallas | RB | 7 | 4 | 14 | 0 | 3% |
| Jordan Addison | WR | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1% |
| Justin Jefferson | WR | 6 | 1 | -11 | 0 | 1% |
Vikings receiving
This season, through week 8
| Justin Jefferson | WR | 41 | 28 | 335 | 4 | 28% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Hockenson | TE | 37 | 31 | 295 | 3 | 20% |
| Jordan Addison | WR | 34 | 16 | 249 | 1 | 22% |
| Aaron Jones | RB | 21 | 15 | 90 | 0 | 11% |
| Jauan Jennings | WR | 10 | 6 | 54 | 0 | 6% |
| Gavin Bartholomew | TE | 8 | 7 | 54 | 0 | 5% |
| Tai Felton | WR | 7 | 3 | 41 | 0 | 4% |
| Myles Price | WR | 7 | 5 | 26 | 0 | 4% |
Who scores for the Vikings
This season, through week 8
| Justin Jefferson | WR | 0 | 4 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Hockenson | TE | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Aaron Jones | RB | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Jordan Mason | RB | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Jordan Addison | WR | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Vikings fantasy points
This season, through week 8
| Justin Jefferson | WR | 6 | 86.4 | 14.4 | 12.1 | 9.7 | 31.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Jones | RB | 7 | 79.8 | 11.4 | 10.3 | 9.3 | 18.7 |
| T.J. Hockenson | TE | 7 | 78.5 | 11.2 | 9.0 | 6.8 | 24.9 |
| Kyler Murray | QB | 6 | 74.7 | 12.4 | 12.4 | 12.4 | 20.0 |
| Jordan Addison | WR | 6 | 49.1 | 8.2 | 6.9 | 5.5 | 20.0 |
| Carson Wentz | QB | 2 | 25.8 | 12.9 | 12.9 | 12.9 | 19.5 |
| Jordan Mason | RB | 3 | 20.7 | 6.9 | 6.9 | 6.9 | 11.9 |
| Gavin Bartholomew | TE | 6 | 12.4 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 8.3 |
| Jauan Jennings | WR | 6 | 11.4 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 5.4 |
| DeeJay Dallas | RB | 7 | 8.8 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 3.0 |
| Josh Oliver | TE | 3 | 7.6 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 4.2 |
| Tai Felton | WR | 6 | 7.1 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 4.7 |
| Myles Price | WR | 7 | 5.8 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 3.0 |
| Ben Yurosek | TE | 3 | 5.4 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 3.4 |
| Jeshaun Jones | WR | 2 | 4.2 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 4.2 |
What the Vikings defense allows
A game, over its last 24 games. Rank 1 is the defense that allows the most.
How close the model's projections have been
Tested on games the model had not seen: what it projected next to what happened, for players projected for a real role. The last column is how often the result landed inside the projected 80% range.
| Market | This season | Player games | Projected | Actual | Inside the 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving yards, WR | 2021 to 2025 | 4,979 | 55.8 | 55.3 | 79.2% |
| Rushing yards, RB | 2021 to 2025 | 3,656 | 52.7 | 54.1 | 81.2% |
| Passing yards, QB | 2022 to 2025 | 2,173 | 221.1 | 223.7 | 81.2% |
| Receiving yards, TE | 2021 to 2025 | 1,179 | 47.6 | 46.7 | 82.1% |
Questions about the Vikings
How often do Vikings games go over 45.5 points?
In 205 of 443 games since 2000 (46%). Every total from 30.5 to 50.5 is counted in the total section of this page.
How often do the Vikings win at home?
They have won 142 of 219 home games since 2000 (65%), and 92 of 224 away.
How often do the Vikings score more than 20.5 points?
In 261 of 443 games since 2000 (59%).
Are the numbers on this page predictions?
No. They are results from games already played, and each section says which games it counts.
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