Buffalo Bills at New York Jets prediction
Win probabilities, projected score and this season's numbers, by SportHoot.
Buffalo Bills visit New York Jets on Sun, Nov 15, 06:00 PM UTC. The model's forecast is below, with both teams' season side by side.
The probabilities are model estimates and change as new information arrives.
Buffalo Bills at New York Jets prediction
NFL ·
Buffalo Bills 71% to win
- New York Jets win29%
- Buffalo Bills win71%
A tie is under 1%.
Projected score: New York Jets 22.6, Buffalo Bills 29.4
Forecast updated 3 Nov, 11:01 UTC · These are model estimates, not certainties: either team can win.
Game preview
Buffalo Bills go in as clear favourites: the model gives them a 71% chance of winning, with New York Jets at 29%. The projected score is New York Jets 22.6, Buffalo Bills 29.4. Over 45.5 total points is at 67%. Every figure is an estimate, not a certainty: injuries, weather and team news can still change the picture.
New York Jets and Buffalo Bills this season
2026 season so far; long-run rates since 2000.
| Stat | New York Jets | Buffalo Bills |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-6 | 6-1 |
| Points scored per game | 21.3 | 33.3 |
| Points allowed per game | 23.5 | 25.9 |
| Games won since 2000 | 184 of 441 | 224 of 443 |
| Games over 45.5 points since 2000 | 160 of 441 | 188 of 443 |
| Scored over 20.5 since 2000 | 187 of 441 | 242 of 443 |
Total points and team points
The model's estimates for this game's point lines.
| Line | Estimate |
|---|---|
| Over 30.5 total points | 92% |
| Over 42.5 total points | 75% |
| Over 45.5 total points | 67% |
| Over 48.5 total points | 57% |
| Over 50.5 total points | 50% |
| New York Jets over 14.5 points | 78% |
| New York Jets over 20.5 points | 55% |
| New York Jets over 24.5 points | 39% |
| New York Jets over 27.5 points | 28% |
| New York Jets over 30.5 points | 19% |
| Buffalo Bills over 14.5 points | 94% |
| Buffalo Bills over 20.5 points | 81% |
| Buffalo Bills over 24.5 points | 66% |
| Buffalo Bills over 27.5 points | 54% |
| Buffalo Bills over 30.5 points | 42% |
Questions
Who is favoured, Buffalo Bills or New York Jets?
The model gives Buffalo Bills a 71% chance of winning and New York Jets 29%. These are estimates, not certainties.
What is the projected score for Buffalo Bills at New York Jets?
The model projects New York Jets 22.6, Buffalo Bills 29.4.
How is this prediction made?
It is a model estimate from predictapp, built from both teams' games this season and in past seasons. This one was made 3 Nov, 11:01 UTC and is updated as new information arrives.
Is this a tip?
No. It is an estimate of how likely each result is, not advice to bet. What you do with it is your decision.
Have Buffalo Bills and New York Jets played this season?
Not yet this season.
NFL and team names are used for identification only and are trademarks of their respective owners. SportHoot is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by the NFL or any team. Forecasts are model estimates for information only. 18+.