New York Jets: predictions, props and stats
The numbers behind the Jets
The Jets are 2-6 through week 8, scoring 21.3 points a game and allowing 23.5.
Every table on this page is a result from games already played, not a prediction.
Next game
Results and scoring
This season, through week 8
2-6, with 21.3 points scored and 23.5 allowed a game.
| Wk | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | vsRaiders | 33-38 | Lost |
| 7 | vsDolphins | 25-28 | Lost |
| 6 | @Patriots | 19-26 | Lost |
| 5 | vsBrowns | 17-12 | Won |
| 4 | @Bears | 12-23 | Lost |
| 3 | @Lions | 24-31 | Lost |
| 2 | vsPackers | 17-20 OT | Lost |
| 1 | @Titans | 23-10 | Won |
| Stat | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored a game | 21.3 | 19.3 |
| Points allowed a game | 23.5 | 22.3 |
| Average margin | -2.2 | -3 |
| Went to overtime | 13%1 of 8 | 7%31 of 441 |
Jets against the spread
Since 2000 the Jets have won by more than 3.5 points in 138 of 441 games, with an average margin of -3.
| Line | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Won by 8 or more (covers -7.5) | 13%1 of 8 | 19%83 of 441 |
| Won by 4 or more (covers -3.5) | 25%2 of 8 | 31%138 of 441 |
| Won, or lost by 3 or fewer (covers +3.5) | 50%4 of 8 | 51%227 of 441 |
| Won, or lost by 7 or fewer (covers +7.5) | 88%7 of 8 | 67%297 of 441 |
Game totals in Jets games
Since 2000, Jets games have gone over 45.5 points in 160 of 441.
| Line | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 30.5 points | 88%7 of 8 | 79%347 of 441 |
| Over 42.5 points | 50%4 of 8 | 46%205 of 441 |
| Over 45.5 points | 38%3 of 8 | 36%160 of 441 |
| Over 48.5 points | 38%3 of 8 | 30%131 of 441 |
| Over 50.5 points | 38%3 of 8 | 28%122 of 441 |
Jets wins, home and away
Since 2000 the Jets have won 184 of 441 games: 102 of 216 at home and 82 of 225 away.
| Stat | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 25%2 of 8 | 42%184 of 441 |
| At home | 25%1 of 4 | 47%102 of 216 |
| Away | 25%1 of 4 | 36%82 of 225 |
Jets points against team totals
Since 2000 the Jets have scored more than 20.5 points in 187 of 441 games.
| Line | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored over 14.5 | 88%7 of 8 | 66%293 of 441 |
| Scored over 20.5 | 50%4 of 8 | 42%187 of 441 |
| Scored over 24.5 | 25%2 of 8 | 29%128 of 441 |
| Scored over 27.5 | 13%1 of 8 | 20%90 of 441 |
| Scored over 30.5 | 13%1 of 8 | 14%61 of 441 |
Jets passing
This season, through week 8
| Player | G | Cmp | Att | Yds | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geno Smith | 8 | 165 | 241 | 1913 | 12 | 3 |
Jets rushing
This season, through week 8
| Braelon Allen | RB | 8 | 112 | 565 | 3 | 62% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breece Hall | RB | 3 | 51 | 163 | 1 | 70% |
| Geno Smith | QB | 8 | 16 | 53 | 0 | 2% |
| Isaiah Davis | RB | 8 | 15 | 44 | 0 | 7% |
| Isaiah Williams | WR | 8 | 3 | 21 | 0 | 2% |
| Kenyon Sadiq | TE | 8 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0% |
Jets receiving
This season, through week 8
| Garrett Wilson | WR | 64 | 43 | 527 | 3 | 28% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adonai Mitchell | WR | 27 | 16 | 265 | 1 | 21% |
| Kenyon Sadiq | TE | 27 | 17 | 186 | 1 | 12% |
| Mason Taylor | TE | 24 | 17 | 136 | 2 | 14% |
| Braelon Allen | RB | 22 | 17 | 81 | 0 | 10% |
| Isaiah Williams | WR | 15 | 12 | 169 | 2 | 7% |
| Omar Cooper Jr. | WR | 13 | 12 | 248 | 2 | 15% |
| Breece Hall | RB | 10 | 10 | 102 | 0 | 10% |
Who scores for the Jets
This season, through week 8
| Braelon Allen | RB | 3 | 0 | 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrett Wilson | WR | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Mason Taylor | TE | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Isaiah Williams | WR | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Omar Cooper Jr. | WR | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Kenyon Sadiq | TE | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Adonai Mitchell | WR | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Breece Hall | RB | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Jets fantasy points
This season, through week 8
| Geno Smith | QB | 8 | 123.8 | 15.5 | 15.5 | 15.5 | 26.0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrett Wilson | WR | 8 | 113.7 | 14.2 | 11.5 | 8.8 | 26.7 |
| Braelon Allen | RB | 8 | 99.6 | 12.5 | 11.4 | 10.3 | 23.3 |
| Omar Cooper Jr. | WR | 3 | 48.8 | 16.3 | 14.3 | 12.3 | 22.5 |
| Adonai Mitchell | WR | 4 | 48.5 | 12.1 | 10.1 | 8.1 | 27.2 |
| Kenyon Sadiq | TE | 8 | 45.9 | 5.7 | 4.7 | 3.6 | 23.5 |
| Mason Taylor | TE | 6 | 44.6 | 7.4 | 6.0 | 4.6 | 25.2 |
| Isaiah Williams | WR | 8 | 43.0 | 5.4 | 4.6 | 3.9 | 15.3 |
| Breece Hall | RB | 3 | 42.5 | 14.2 | 12.5 | 10.8 | 19.8 |
| Jeremy Ruckert | TE | 7 | 18.8 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 14.9 |
| Isaiah Davis | RB | 8 | 16.2 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 8.4 |
| Jelani Woods | TE | 7 | 7.9 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 3.0 |
| Tim Patrick | WR | 3 | 7.1 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 4.6 |
| Sterling Shepard | WR | 2 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 3.3 |
What the Jets defense allows
A game, over its last 25 games. Rank 1 is the defense that allows the most.
How close the model's projections have been
Tested on games the model had not seen: what it projected next to what happened, for players projected for a real role. The last column is how often the result landed inside the projected 80% range.
| Market | This season | Player games | Projected | Actual | Inside the 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving yards, WR | 2021 to 2025 | 4,979 | 55.8 | 55.3 | 79.2% |
| Rushing yards, RB | 2021 to 2025 | 3,656 | 52.7 | 54.1 | 81.2% |
| Passing yards, QB | 2022 to 2025 | 2,173 | 221.1 | 223.7 | 81.2% |
| Receiving yards, TE | 2021 to 2025 | 1,179 | 47.6 | 46.7 | 82.1% |
Questions about the Jets
How often do Jets games go over 45.5 points?
In 160 of 441 games since 2000 (36%). Every total from 30.5 to 50.5 is counted in the total section of this page.
How often do the Jets win at home?
They have won 102 of 216 home games since 2000 (47%), and 82 of 225 away.
How often do the Jets score more than 20.5 points?
In 187 of 441 games since 2000 (42%).
Are the numbers on this page predictions?
No. They are results from games already played, and each section says which games it counts.
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