Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions prediction
Win probabilities, projected score and this season's numbers, by SportHoot.
Chicago Bears visit Detroit Lions on Thu, Nov 26, 06:00 PM UTC. The model's forecast is below, with both teams' season side by side.
The probabilities are model estimates and change as new information arrives.
Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions prediction
NFL ·
Detroit Lions 58% to win
- Detroit Lions win58%
- Chicago Bears win42%
A tie is under 1%.
Projected score: Detroit Lions 28.1, Chicago Bears 25.4
Forecast updated 2 Nov, 11:01 UTC · These are model estimates, not certainties: either team can win.
Game preview
Detroit Lions have the edge at 58%, but Chicago Bears are at 42%, so this is far from one-sided. The projected score is Detroit Lions 28.1, Chicago Bears 25.4. Over 45.5 total points is at 72%. Every figure is an estimate, not a certainty: injuries, weather and team news can still change the picture.
Detroit Lions and Chicago Bears this season
2026 season so far; long-run rates since 2000.
| Stat | Detroit Lions | Chicago Bears |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 5-2 | 5-2 |
| Points scored per game | 29.0 | 25.7 |
| Points allowed per game | 25.7 | 20.4 |
| Games won since 2000 | 174 of 435 | 206 of 439 |
| Games over 45.5 points since 2000 | 230 of 435 | 162 of 439 |
| Scored over 20.5 since 2000 | 223 of 435 | 208 of 439 |
Total points and team points
The model's estimates for this game's point lines.
| Line | Estimate |
|---|---|
| Over 30.5 total points | 94% |
| Over 42.5 total points | 79% |
| Over 45.5 total points | 72% |
| Over 48.5 total points | 63% |
| Over 50.5 total points | 56% |
| Detroit Lions over 14.5 points | 91% |
| Detroit Lions over 20.5 points | 76% |
| Detroit Lions over 24.5 points | 62% |
| Detroit Lions over 27.5 points | 49% |
| Detroit Lions over 30.5 points | 37% |
| Chicago Bears over 14.5 points | 86% |
| Chicago Bears over 20.5 points | 66% |
| Chicago Bears over 24.5 points | 50% |
| Chicago Bears over 27.5 points | 38% |
| Chicago Bears over 30.5 points | 27% |
Questions
Who is favoured, Chicago Bears or Detroit Lions?
The model gives Detroit Lions a 58% chance of winning and Chicago Bears 42%. These are estimates, not certainties.
What is the projected score for Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions?
The model projects Detroit Lions 28.1, Chicago Bears 25.4.
How is this prediction made?
It is a model estimate from predictapp, built from both teams' games this season and in past seasons. This one was made 2 Nov, 11:01 UTC and is updated as new information arrives.
Is this a tip?
No. It is an estimate of how likely each result is, not advice to bet. What you do with it is your decision.
Have Chicago Bears and Detroit Lions played this season?
Not yet this season.
NFL and team names are used for identification only and are trademarks of their respective owners. SportHoot is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by the NFL or any team. Forecasts are model estimates for information only. 18+.