Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears prediction
Win probabilities, projected score and this season's numbers, by SportHoot.
Green Bay Packers visit Chicago Bears on Fri, Dec 25, 06:00 PM UTC. The model's forecast is below, with both teams' season side by side.
The probabilities are model estimates and change as new information arrives.
Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears prediction
NFL ·
Chicago Bears 62% to win
- Chicago Bears win62%
- Green Bay Packers win38%
A tie is under 1%.
Projected score: Chicago Bears 25.9, Green Bay Packers 22.1
Forecast updated 3 Nov, 11:01 UTC · These are model estimates, not certainties: either team can win.
Game preview
Chicago Bears have the edge at 62%, but Green Bay Packers are at 38%, so this is far from one-sided. The projected score is Chicago Bears 25.9, Green Bay Packers 22.1. Over 45.5 total points is at 57%. Every figure is an estimate, not a certainty: injuries, weather and team news can still change the picture.
Chicago Bears and Green Bay Packers this season
2026 season so far; long-run rates since 2000.
| Stat | Chicago Bears | Green Bay Packers |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 6-2 | 5-3 |
| Points scored per game | 26.8 | 21.4 |
| Points allowed per game | 20.0 | 20.5 |
| Games won since 2000 | 207 of 440 | 280 of 462 |
| Games over 45.5 points since 2000 | 163 of 440 | 251 of 462 |
| Scored over 20.5 since 2000 | 209 of 440 | 317 of 462 |
Meetings this season
- Week 5: Green Bay Packers 31-7 Chicago Bears
Total points and team points
The model's estimates for this game's point lines.
| Line | Estimate |
|---|---|
| Over 30.5 total points | 90% |
| Over 42.5 total points | 67% |
| Over 45.5 total points | 57% |
| Over 48.5 total points | 48% |
| Over 50.5 total points | 41% |
| Chicago Bears over 14.5 points | 87% |
| Chicago Bears over 20.5 points | 68% |
| Chicago Bears over 24.5 points | 53% |
| Chicago Bears over 27.5 points | 40% |
| Chicago Bears over 30.5 points | 29% |
| Green Bay Packers over 14.5 points | 76% |
| Green Bay Packers over 20.5 points | 53% |
| Green Bay Packers over 24.5 points | 36% |
| Green Bay Packers over 27.5 points | 26% |
| Green Bay Packers over 30.5 points | 17% |
Questions
Who is favoured, Green Bay Packers or Chicago Bears?
The model gives Chicago Bears a 62% chance of winning and Green Bay Packers 38%. These are estimates, not certainties.
What is the projected score for Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears?
The model projects Chicago Bears 25.9, Green Bay Packers 22.1.
How is this prediction made?
It is a model estimate from predictapp, built from both teams' games this season and in past seasons. This one was made 3 Nov, 11:01 UTC and is updated as new information arrives.
Is this a tip?
No. It is an estimate of how likely each result is, not advice to bet. What you do with it is your decision.
Have Chicago Bears and Green Bay Packers played this season?
Yes, 1 times: Week 5: Green Bay Packers 31-7 Chicago Bears.
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