Jacksonville Jaguars at Chicago Bears prediction
Win probabilities, projected score and this season's numbers, by SportHoot.
Jacksonville Jaguars visit Chicago Bears on Sun, Dec 6, 06:00 PM UTC. The model's forecast is below, with both teams' season side by side.
The probabilities are model estimates and change as new information arrives.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Chicago Bears prediction
NFL ·
Jacksonville Jaguars 54% to win
- Chicago Bears win46%
- Jacksonville Jaguars win54%
A tie is under 1%.
Projected score: Chicago Bears 23.9, Jacksonville Jaguars 25
Forecast updated 2 Nov, 11:01 UTC · These are model estimates, not certainties: either team can win.
Game preview
Little separates them: the model has Chicago Bears at 46% and Jacksonville Jaguars at 54%. The projected score is Chicago Bears 23.9, Jacksonville Jaguars 25. Over 45.5 total points is at 58%. Every figure is an estimate, not a certainty: injuries, weather and team news can still change the picture.
Chicago Bears and Jacksonville Jaguars this season
2026 season so far; long-run rates since 2000.
| Stat | Chicago Bears | Jacksonville Jaguars |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 5-2 | 5-2 |
| Points scored per game | 25.7 | 28.0 |
| Points allowed per game | 20.4 | 15.9 |
| Games won since 2000 | 206 of 439 | 175 of 437 |
| Games over 45.5 points since 2000 | 162 of 439 | 174 of 437 |
| Scored over 20.5 since 2000 | 208 of 439 | 196 of 437 |
Total points and team points
The model's estimates for this game's point lines.
| Line | Estimate |
|---|---|
| Over 30.5 total points | 90% |
| Over 42.5 total points | 68% |
| Over 45.5 total points | 58% |
| Over 48.5 total points | 48% |
| Over 50.5 total points | 42% |
| Chicago Bears over 14.5 points | 82% |
| Chicago Bears over 20.5 points | 61% |
| Chicago Bears over 24.5 points | 45% |
| Chicago Bears over 27.5 points | 33% |
| Chicago Bears over 30.5 points | 23% |
| Jacksonville Jaguars over 14.5 points | 85% |
| Jacksonville Jaguars over 20.5 points | 65% |
| Jacksonville Jaguars over 24.5 points | 49% |
| Jacksonville Jaguars over 27.5 points | 36% |
| Jacksonville Jaguars over 30.5 points | 26% |
Questions
Who is favoured, Jacksonville Jaguars or Chicago Bears?
The model gives Jacksonville Jaguars a 54% chance of winning and Chicago Bears 46%. These are estimates, not certainties.
What is the projected score for Jacksonville Jaguars at Chicago Bears?
The model projects Chicago Bears 23.9, Jacksonville Jaguars 25.
How is this prediction made?
It is a model estimate from predictapp, built from both teams' games this season and in past seasons. This one was made 2 Nov, 11:01 UTC and is updated as new information arrives.
Is this a tip?
No. It is an estimate of how likely each result is, not advice to bet. What you do with it is your decision.
Have Chicago Bears and Jacksonville Jaguars played this season?
Not yet this season.
NFL and team names are used for identification only and are trademarks of their respective owners. SportHoot is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by the NFL or any team. Forecasts are model estimates for information only. 18+.