Jacksonville Jaguars at Dallas Cowboys prediction
Win probabilities, projected score and this season's numbers, by SportHoot.
Jacksonville Jaguars visit Dallas Cowboys on Mon, Dec 28, 01:20 AM UTC. The model's forecast is below, with both teams' season side by side.
The probabilities are model estimates and change as new information arrives.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Dallas Cowboys prediction
NFL ·
Jacksonville Jaguars 63% to win
- Dallas Cowboys win37%
- Jacksonville Jaguars win63%
A tie is under 1%.
Projected score: Dallas Cowboys 25, Jacksonville Jaguars 28.9
Forecast updated 3 Nov, 11:01 UTC · These are model estimates, not certainties: either team can win.
Game preview
Jacksonville Jaguars have the edge at 63%, but Dallas Cowboys are at 37%, so this is far from one-sided. The projected score is Dallas Cowboys 25, Jacksonville Jaguars 28.9. Over 45.5 total points is at 72%. Every figure is an estimate, not a certainty: injuries, weather and team news can still change the picture.
Dallas Cowboys and Jacksonville Jaguars this season
2026 season so far; long-run rates since 2000.
| Stat | Dallas Cowboys | Jacksonville Jaguars |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 3-5 | 5-2 |
| Points scored per game | 27.4 | 28.0 |
| Points allowed per game | 26.6 | 15.9 |
| Games won since 2000 | 231 of 443 | 175 of 437 |
| Games over 45.5 points since 2000 | 222 of 443 | 174 of 437 |
| Scored over 20.5 since 2000 | 257 of 443 | 196 of 437 |
Total points and team points
The model's estimates for this game's point lines.
| Line | Estimate |
|---|---|
| Over 30.5 total points | 94% |
| Over 42.5 total points | 79% |
| Over 45.5 total points | 72% |
| Over 48.5 total points | 63% |
| Over 50.5 total points | 56% |
| Dallas Cowboys over 14.5 points | 85% |
| Dallas Cowboys over 20.5 points | 65% |
| Dallas Cowboys over 24.5 points | 49% |
| Dallas Cowboys over 27.5 points | 37% |
| Dallas Cowboys over 30.5 points | 26% |
| Jacksonville Jaguars over 14.5 points | 93% |
| Jacksonville Jaguars over 20.5 points | 79% |
| Jacksonville Jaguars over 24.5 points | 64% |
| Jacksonville Jaguars over 27.5 points | 52% |
| Jacksonville Jaguars over 30.5 points | 40% |
Questions
Who is favoured, Jacksonville Jaguars or Dallas Cowboys?
The model gives Jacksonville Jaguars a 63% chance of winning and Dallas Cowboys 37%. These are estimates, not certainties.
What is the projected score for Jacksonville Jaguars at Dallas Cowboys?
The model projects Dallas Cowboys 25, Jacksonville Jaguars 28.9.
How is this prediction made?
It is a model estimate from predictapp, built from both teams' games this season and in past seasons. This one was made 3 Nov, 11:01 UTC and is updated as new information arrives.
Is this a tip?
No. It is an estimate of how likely each result is, not advice to bet. What you do with it is your decision.
Have Dallas Cowboys and Jacksonville Jaguars played this season?
Not yet this season.
NFL and team names are used for identification only and are trademarks of their respective owners. SportHoot is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by the NFL or any team. Forecasts are model estimates for information only. 18+.