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Dallas Cowboys: predictions, props and stats

The numbers behind the Cowboys

The Cowboys are 3-5 through week 8, scoring 27.4 points a game and allowing 26.6.

Every table on this page is a result from games already played, not a prediction.

Next game

Cowboys at Colts

· Week 9 · Away

Home 45% · Away 55%

Indianapolis Colts

Prediction for this game

Results and scoring

This season, through week 8

3-5, with 27.4 points scored and 26.6 allowed a game.

Cowboys games, with the score
WkOpponentScoreResult
8vsCardinals30-33 OTLost
7@Eagles38-21Won
6@Packers13-23Lost
5vsBuccaneers16-24Lost
4@Texans34-30Won
3vsRavens31-34Lost
2vsCommanders37-20Won
1@Giants20-28Lost
Cowboys points a game
StatThis seasonSince 2000
Points scored a game27.423.4
Points allowed a game26.622.5
Average margin+0.8+1
Went to overtime13%1 of 87%30 of 443

Cowboys against the spread

Since 2000 the Cowboys have won by more than 3.5 points in 178 of 443 games, with an average margin of +1.

Cowboys games against each spread
LineThis seasonSince 2000
Won by 8 or more (covers -7.5)25%2 of 828%126 of 443
Won by 4 or more (covers -3.5)38%3 of 840%178 of 443
Won, or lost by 3 or fewer (covers +3.5)63%5 of 863%280 of 443
Won, or lost by 7 or fewer (covers +7.5)63%5 of 876%336 of 443

Game totals in Cowboys games

Since 2000, Cowboys games have gone over 45.5 points in 222 of 443.

Cowboys games over each total
LineThis seasonSince 2000
Over 30.5 points100%8 of 885%375 of 443
Over 42.5 points75%6 of 859%260 of 443
Over 45.5 points75%6 of 850%222 of 443
Over 48.5 points63%5 of 840%179 of 443
Over 50.5 points63%5 of 837%163 of 443

Cowboys wins, home and away

Since 2000 the Cowboys have won 231 of 443 games: 126 of 221 at home and 105 of 222 away.

Cowboys wins
StatThis seasonSince 2000
All games38%3 of 852%231 of 443
At home25%1 of 457%126 of 221
Away50%2 of 447%105 of 222

Cowboys points against team totals

Since 2000 the Cowboys have scored more than 20.5 points in 257 of 443 games.

Cowboys games over each team total
LineThis seasonSince 2000
Scored over 14.588%7 of 877%340 of 443
Scored over 20.563%5 of 858%257 of 443
Scored over 24.563%5 of 843%192 of 443
Scored over 27.563%5 of 835%153 of 443
Scored over 30.550%4 of 828%126 of 443

Cowboys passing

This season, through week 8

Cowboys passers this season
PlayerGCmpAttYdsTDINT
Dak Prescott81973052046145

Cowboys rushing

This season, through week 8

Cowboys rushers this season
Javonte WilliamsRB8134528876%
Tyler GoodsonRB62886016%
Dak PrescottQB82310213%
Emari DemercadoRB2515015%
Hunter LuepkeRB841603%
CeeDee LambWR82-601%
KaVontae TurpinWR621012%
Ryan FlournoyWR81300%

Cowboys receiving

This season, through week 8

Cowboys receivers this season, with their share of the team's targets
CeeDee LambWR9460709632%
George PickensWR6239533221%
Ryan FlournoyWR4530342215%
Jake FergusonTE251711539%
Javonte WilliamsRB242010418%
Brevyn Spann-FordTE181311006%
Jonathan MingoWR833003%
KaVontae TurpinWR743903%

Who scores for the Cowboys

This season, through week 8

Cowboys rushing and receiving touchdowns this season
Javonte WilliamsRB819
CeeDee LambWR066
Jake FergusonTE033
Ryan FlournoyWR022
George PickensWR022
Dak PrescottQB101
KaVontae TurpinWR101

Cowboys fantasy points

This season, through week 8

Cowboys players' fantasy points, This season, through week 8
CeeDee LambWR8168.321.017.313.541.3
Dak PrescottQB8148.018.518.518.529.8
Javonte WilliamsRB8137.217.215.914.731.3
George PickensWR8104.313.010.68.228.0
Ryan FlournoyWR876.59.67.75.817.0
Jake FergusonTE744.56.45.13.920.3
Brevyn Spann-FordTE824.03.02.21.47.5
Tyler GoodsonRB614.92.52.21.85.3
KaVontae TurpinWR612.92.21.81.58.8
Hunter LuepkeRB86.70.80.60.33.9
Jonathan MingoWR86.00.80.60.44.0
Luke SchoonmakerTE76.00.90.60.42.2
Emari DemercadoRB21.50.80.80.80.8
How the points are scored

What the Cowboys defense allows

A game, over its last 25 games. Rank 1 is the defense that allows the most.

Passing yards allowed to quarterbacks: 1 of 32259
Fewest 178.4Most 259
All 32 defenses against quarterbacks
Rushing yards allowed to running backs: 14 of 32101.7
Fewest 64.8Most 112.2
All 32 defenses against running backs
Receiving yards allowed to wide receivers: 3 of 32168.8
Fewest 105.3Most 174.9
All 32 defenses against wide receivers
Receiving yards allowed to tight ends: 20 of 3251.5
Fewest 33.6Most 86
All 32 defenses against tight ends

How close the model's projections have been

Tested on games the model had not seen: what it projected next to what happened, for players projected for a real role. The last column is how often the result landed inside the projected 80% range.

Projected and actual, by market
MarketThis seasonPlayer gamesProjectedActualInside the 80% range
Receiving yards, WR2021 to 20254,97955.855.379.2%
Rushing yards, RB2021 to 20253,65652.754.181.2%
Passing yards, QB2022 to 20252,173221.1223.781.2%
Receiving yards, TE2021 to 20251,17947.646.782.1%
See the full accuracy table

Questions about the Cowboys

How often do Cowboys games go over 45.5 points?

In 222 of 443 games since 2000 (50%). Every total from 30.5 to 50.5 is counted in the total section of this page.

How often do the Cowboys win at home?

They have won 126 of 221 home games since 2000 (57%), and 105 of 222 away.

How often do the Cowboys score more than 20.5 points?

In 257 of 443 games since 2000 (58%).

Are the numbers on this page predictions?

No. They are results from games already played, and each section says which games it counts.

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