Dallas Cowboys at Washington Commanders prediction
Win probabilities, projected score and this season's numbers, by SportHoot.
Dallas Cowboys visit Washington Commanders on Sun, Jan 10, 06:00 PM UTC. The model's forecast is below, with both teams' season side by side.
The probabilities are model estimates and change as new information arrives.
Dallas Cowboys at Washington Commanders prediction
NFL ·
Washington Commanders 52% to win
- Washington Commanders win52%
- Dallas Cowboys win48%
A tie is under 1%.
Projected score: Washington Commanders 25.9, Dallas Cowboys 25.2
Forecast updated 2 Nov, 11:01 UTC · These are model estimates, not certainties: either team can win.
Game preview
Little separates them: the model has Washington Commanders at 52% and Dallas Cowboys at 48%. The projected score is Washington Commanders 25.9, Dallas Cowboys 25.2. Over 45.5 total points is at 65%. Every figure is an estimate, not a certainty: injuries, weather and team news can still change the picture.
Washington Commanders and Dallas Cowboys this season
2026 season so far; long-run rates since 2000.
| Stat | Washington Commanders | Dallas Cowboys |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-4-1 | 3-5 |
| Points scored per game | 22.7 | 27.4 |
| Points allowed per game | 26.0 | 26.6 |
| Games won since 2000 | 180 of 437 | 231 of 443 |
| Games over 45.5 points since 2000 | 183 of 437 | 222 of 443 |
| Scored over 20.5 since 2000 | 187 of 437 | 257 of 443 |
Meetings this season
- Week 2: Dallas Cowboys 37-20 Washington Commanders
Total points and team points
The model's estimates for this game's point lines.
| Line | Estimate |
|---|---|
| Over 30.5 total points | 91% |
| Over 42.5 total points | 74% |
| Over 45.5 total points | 65% |
| Over 48.5 total points | 55% |
| Over 50.5 total points | 49% |
| Washington Commanders over 14.5 points | 87% |
| Washington Commanders over 20.5 points | 68% |
| Washington Commanders over 24.5 points | 53% |
| Washington Commanders over 27.5 points | 40% |
| Washington Commanders over 30.5 points | 29% |
| Dallas Cowboys over 14.5 points | 85% |
| Dallas Cowboys over 20.5 points | 66% |
| Dallas Cowboys over 24.5 points | 49% |
| Dallas Cowboys over 27.5 points | 37% |
| Dallas Cowboys over 30.5 points | 26% |
Questions
Who is favoured, Dallas Cowboys or Washington Commanders?
The model gives Washington Commanders a 52% chance of winning and Dallas Cowboys 48%. These are estimates, not certainties.
What is the projected score for Dallas Cowboys at Washington Commanders?
The model projects Washington Commanders 25.9, Dallas Cowboys 25.2.
How is this prediction made?
It is a model estimate from predictapp, built from both teams' games this season and in past seasons. This one was made 2 Nov, 11:01 UTC and is updated as new information arrives.
Is this a tip?
No. It is an estimate of how likely each result is, not advice to bet. What you do with it is your decision.
Have Dallas Cowboys and Washington Commanders played this season?
Yes, 1 times: Week 2: Dallas Cowboys 37-20 Washington Commanders.
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