Denver Broncos at New England Patriots prediction
Win probabilities, projected score and this season's numbers, by SportHoot.
Denver Broncos visit New England Patriots on Sun, Jan 3, 06:00 PM UTC. The model's forecast is below, with both teams' season side by side.
The probabilities are model estimates and change as new information arrives.
Denver Broncos at New England Patriots prediction
NFL ·
New England Patriots 60% to win
- New England Patriots win60%
- Denver Broncos win40%
A tie is under 1%.
Projected score: New England Patriots 24.2, Denver Broncos 20.9
Forecast updated 3 Nov, 11:01 UTC · These are model estimates, not certainties: either team can win.
Game preview
New England Patriots have the edge at 60%, but Denver Broncos are at 40%, so this is far from one-sided. The projected score is New England Patriots 24.2, Denver Broncos 20.9. Over 45.5 total points is at 48%. Every figure is an estimate, not a certainty: injuries, weather and team news can still change the picture.
New England Patriots and Denver Broncos this season
2026 season so far; long-run rates since 2000.
| Stat | New England Patriots | Denver Broncos |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 5-3 | 6-2 |
| Points scored per game | 23.0 | 21.5 |
| Points allowed per game | 20.3 | 20.6 |
| Games won since 2000 | 322 of 475 | 245 of 447 |
| Games over 45.5 points since 2000 | 225 of 475 | 203 of 447 |
| Scored over 20.5 since 2000 | 317 of 475 | 251 of 447 |
Total points and team points
The model's estimates for this game's point lines.
| Line | Estimate |
|---|---|
| Over 30.5 total points | 87% |
| Over 42.5 total points | 58% |
| Over 45.5 total points | 48% |
| Over 48.5 total points | 39% |
| Over 50.5 total points | 33% |
| New England Patriots over 14.5 points | 83% |
| New England Patriots over 20.5 points | 62% |
| New England Patriots over 24.5 points | 46% |
| New England Patriots over 27.5 points | 34% |
| New England Patriots over 30.5 points | 23% |
| Denver Broncos over 14.5 points | 72% |
| Denver Broncos over 20.5 points | 48% |
| Denver Broncos over 24.5 points | 32% |
| Denver Broncos over 27.5 points | 22% |
| Denver Broncos over 30.5 points | 14% |
Questions
Who is favoured, Denver Broncos or New England Patriots?
The model gives New England Patriots a 60% chance of winning and Denver Broncos 40%. These are estimates, not certainties.
What is the projected score for Denver Broncos at New England Patriots?
The model projects New England Patriots 24.2, Denver Broncos 20.9.
How is this prediction made?
It is a model estimate from predictapp, built from both teams' games this season and in past seasons. This one was made 3 Nov, 11:01 UTC and is updated as new information arrives.
Is this a tip?
No. It is an estimate of how likely each result is, not advice to bet. What you do with it is your decision.
Have Denver Broncos and New England Patriots played this season?
Not yet this season.
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