New England Patriots at Detroit Lions prediction
Win probabilities, projected score and this season's numbers, by SportHoot.
New England Patriots visit Detroit Lions on Sun, Nov 15, 02:30 PM UTC. The model's forecast is below, with both teams' season side by side.
The probabilities are model estimates and change as new information arrives.
New England Patriots at Detroit Lions prediction
NFL ·
Detroit Lions 52% to win
- Detroit Lions win52%
- New England Patriots win48%
A tie is under 1%.
Projected score: Detroit Lions 25.9, New England Patriots 25.3
Forecast updated 2 Nov, 11:01 UTC · These are model estimates, not certainties: either team can win.
Game preview
Little separates them: the model has Detroit Lions at 52% and New England Patriots at 48%. The projected score is Detroit Lions 25.9, New England Patriots 25.3. Over 45.5 total points is at 66%. Every figure is an estimate, not a certainty: injuries, weather and team news can still change the picture.
Detroit Lions and New England Patriots this season
2026 season so far; long-run rates since 2000.
| Stat | Detroit Lions | New England Patriots |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 5-2 | 5-3 |
| Points scored per game | 29.0 | 23.0 |
| Points allowed per game | 25.7 | 20.3 |
| Games won since 2000 | 174 of 435 | 322 of 475 |
| Games over 45.5 points since 2000 | 230 of 435 | 225 of 475 |
| Scored over 20.5 since 2000 | 223 of 435 | 317 of 475 |
Total points and team points
The model's estimates for this game's point lines.
| Line | Estimate |
|---|---|
| Over 30.5 total points | 93% |
| Over 42.5 total points | 75% |
| Over 45.5 total points | 66% |
| Over 48.5 total points | 56% |
| Over 50.5 total points | 49% |
| Detroit Lions over 14.5 points | 87% |
| Detroit Lions over 20.5 points | 68% |
| Detroit Lions over 24.5 points | 53% |
| Detroit Lions over 27.5 points | 40% |
| Detroit Lions over 30.5 points | 29% |
| New England Patriots over 14.5 points | 85% |
| New England Patriots over 20.5 points | 66% |
| New England Patriots over 24.5 points | 49% |
| New England Patriots over 27.5 points | 37% |
| New England Patriots over 30.5 points | 26% |
Questions
Who is favoured, New England Patriots or Detroit Lions?
The model gives Detroit Lions a 52% chance of winning and New England Patriots 48%. These are estimates, not certainties.
What is the projected score for New England Patriots at Detroit Lions?
The model projects Detroit Lions 25.9, New England Patriots 25.3.
How is this prediction made?
It is a model estimate from predictapp, built from both teams' games this season and in past seasons. This one was made 2 Nov, 11:01 UTC and is updated as new information arrives.
Is this a tip?
No. It is an estimate of how likely each result is, not advice to bet. What you do with it is your decision.
Have Detroit Lions and New England Patriots played this season?
Not yet this season.
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