Green Bay Packers at New England Patriots prediction
Win probabilities, projected score and this season's numbers, by SportHoot.
Green Bay Packers visit New England Patriots on Sun, Nov 8, 09:25 PM UTC. The model's forecast is below, with both teams' season side by side.
The probabilities are model estimates and change as new information arrives.
Green Bay Packers at New England Patriots prediction
NFL ·
New England Patriots 57% to win
- New England Patriots win57%
- Green Bay Packers win43%
A tie is under 1%.
Projected score: New England Patriots 24.7, Green Bay Packers 22.2
Forecast updated 2 Nov, 11:01 UTC · These are model estimates, not certainties: either team can win.
Game preview
New England Patriots have the edge at 57%, but Green Bay Packers are at 43%, so this is far from one-sided. The projected score is New England Patriots 24.7, Green Bay Packers 22.2. Over 45.5 total points is at 53%. Green Bay Packers will be without Micah Parsons. Every figure is an estimate, not a certainty: injuries, weather and team news can still change the picture.
Team news
Players missing or in doubt for this game, from the latest reports.
New England Patriots
No absences reported.
Green Bay Packers
- Micah Parsons (DE): Out, Knee - ACL
New England Patriots and Green Bay Packers this season
2026 season so far; long-run rates since 2000.
| Stat | New England Patriots | Green Bay Packers |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 5-3 | 5-3 |
| Points scored per game | 23.0 | 21.4 |
| Points allowed per game | 20.3 | 20.5 |
| Games won since 2000 | 322 of 475 | 280 of 462 |
| Games over 45.5 points since 2000 | 225 of 475 | 251 of 462 |
| Scored over 20.5 since 2000 | 317 of 475 | 317 of 462 |
Total points and team points
The model's estimates for this game's point lines.
| Line | Estimate |
|---|---|
| Over 30.5 total points | 88% |
| Over 42.5 total points | 63% |
| Over 45.5 total points | 53% |
| Over 48.5 total points | 43% |
| Over 50.5 total points | 37% |
| New England Patriots over 14.5 points | 84% |
| New England Patriots over 20.5 points | 64% |
| New England Patriots over 24.5 points | 48% |
| New England Patriots over 27.5 points | 36% |
| New England Patriots over 30.5 points | 25% |
| Green Bay Packers over 14.5 points | 76% |
| Green Bay Packers over 20.5 points | 53% |
| Green Bay Packers over 24.5 points | 37% |
| Green Bay Packers over 27.5 points | 26% |
| Green Bay Packers over 30.5 points | 17% |
Questions
Who is favoured, Green Bay Packers or New England Patriots?
The model gives New England Patriots a 57% chance of winning and Green Bay Packers 43%. These are estimates, not certainties.
What is the projected score for Green Bay Packers at New England Patriots?
The model projects New England Patriots 24.7, Green Bay Packers 22.2.
How is this prediction made?
It is a model estimate from predictapp, built from both teams' games this season and in past seasons. This one was made 2 Nov, 11:01 UTC and is updated as new information arrives.
Is this a tip?
No. It is an estimate of how likely each result is, not advice to bet. What you do with it is your decision.
Have Green Bay Packers and New England Patriots played this season?
Not yet this season.
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