Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans prediction
Win probabilities, projected score and this season's numbers, by SportHoot.
Jacksonville Jaguars visit Houston Texans on Sun, Dec 20, 06:00 PM UTC. The model's forecast is below, with both teams' season side by side.
The probabilities are model estimates and change as new information arrives.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans prediction
NFL ·
Jacksonville Jaguars 60% to win
- Houston Texans win40%
- Jacksonville Jaguars win60%
A tie is under 1%.
Projected score: Houston Texans 22.1, Jacksonville Jaguars 25.1
Forecast updated 2 Nov, 11:01 UTC · These are model estimates, not certainties: either team can win.
Game preview
Jacksonville Jaguars have the edge at 60%, but Houston Texans are at 40%, so this is far from one-sided. The projected score is Houston Texans 22.1, Jacksonville Jaguars 25.1. Over 45.5 total points is at 52%. Every figure is an estimate, not a certainty: injuries, weather and team news can still change the picture.
Houston Texans and Jacksonville Jaguars this season
2026 season so far; long-run rates since 2000.
| Stat | Houston Texans | Jacksonville Jaguars |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-5 | 5-2 |
| Points scored per game | 23.6 | 28.0 |
| Points allowed per game | 24.3 | 15.9 |
| Games won since 2000 | 183 of 412 | 175 of 437 |
| Games over 45.5 points since 2000 | 173 of 412 | 174 of 437 |
| Scored over 20.5 since 2000 | 204 of 412 | 196 of 437 |
Meetings this season
- Week 6: Jacksonville Jaguars 31-34 Houston Texans
Total points and team points
The model's estimates for this game's point lines.
| Line | Estimate |
|---|---|
| Over 30.5 total points | 89% |
| Over 42.5 total points | 62% |
| Over 45.5 total points | 52% |
| Over 48.5 total points | 43% |
| Over 50.5 total points | 37% |
| Houston Texans over 14.5 points | 76% |
| Houston Texans over 20.5 points | 54% |
| Houston Texans over 24.5 points | 37% |
| Houston Texans over 27.5 points | 26% |
| Houston Texans over 30.5 points | 18% |
| Jacksonville Jaguars over 14.5 points | 85% |
| Jacksonville Jaguars over 20.5 points | 65% |
| Jacksonville Jaguars over 24.5 points | 49% |
| Jacksonville Jaguars over 27.5 points | 36% |
| Jacksonville Jaguars over 30.5 points | 26% |
Questions
Who is favoured, Jacksonville Jaguars or Houston Texans?
The model gives Jacksonville Jaguars a 60% chance of winning and Houston Texans 40%. These are estimates, not certainties.
What is the projected score for Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans?
The model projects Houston Texans 22.1, Jacksonville Jaguars 25.1.
How is this prediction made?
It is a model estimate from predictapp, built from both teams' games this season and in past seasons. This one was made 2 Nov, 11:01 UTC and is updated as new information arrives.
Is this a tip?
No. It is an estimate of how likely each result is, not advice to bet. What you do with it is your decision.
Have Houston Texans and Jacksonville Jaguars played this season?
Yes, 1 times: Week 6: Jacksonville Jaguars 31-34 Houston Texans.
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