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Houston Texans: predictions, props and stats

The numbers behind the Texans

The Texans are 2-5 through week 8, scoring 23.6 points a game and allowing 24.3.

Every table on this page is a result from games already played, not a prediction.

Next game

Texans at Chargers

· Week 9 · Away

Home 35% · Away 64%

Los Angeles Chargers

Prediction for this game

Results and scoring

This season, through week 8

2-5, with 23.6 points scored and 24.3 allowed a game.

Texans games, with the score
WkOpponentScoreResult
7vsGiants21-27 OTLost
6@Jaguars34-31Won
5@Titans26-3Won
4vsCowboys30-34Lost
3@Colts17-19Lost
2vsBengals6-20Lost
1vsBills31-36Lost
Texans points a game
StatThis seasonSince 2000
Points scored a game23.620.9
Points allowed a game24.322.9
Average margin-0.7-2
Went to overtime14%1 of 75%22 of 412

Texans against the spread

Since 2000 the Texans have won by more than 3.5 points in 137 of 412 games, with an average margin of -2.

Texans games against each spread
LineThis seasonSince 2000
Won by 8 or more (covers -7.5)14%1 of 722%90 of 412
Won by 4 or more (covers -3.5)14%1 of 733%137 of 412
Won, or lost by 3 or fewer (covers +3.5)43%3 of 755%226 of 412
Won, or lost by 7 or fewer (covers +7.5)86%6 of 769%286 of 412

Game totals in Texans games

Since 2000, Texans games have gone over 45.5 points in 173 of 412.

Texans games over each total
LineThis seasonSince 2000
Over 30.5 points71%5 of 783%342 of 412
Over 42.5 points57%4 of 752%215 of 412
Over 45.5 points57%4 of 742%173 of 412
Over 48.5 points43%3 of 733%137 of 412
Over 50.5 points43%3 of 729%121 of 412

Texans wins, home and away

Since 2000 the Texans have won 183 of 412 games: 105 of 207 at home and 78 of 205 away.

Texans wins
StatThis seasonSince 2000
All games29%2 of 744%183 of 412
At home0%0 of 451%105 of 207
Away67%2 of 338%78 of 205

Texans points against team totals

Since 2000 the Texans have scored more than 20.5 points in 204 of 412 games.

Texans games over each team total
LineThis seasonSince 2000
Scored over 14.586%6 of 775%307 of 412
Scored over 20.571%5 of 750%204 of 412
Scored over 24.557%4 of 729%121 of 412
Scored over 27.543%3 of 723%93 of 412
Scored over 30.529%2 of 715%61 of 412

Texans passing

This season, through week 8

Texans passers this season
PlayerGCmpAttYdsTDINT
C.J. Stroud71602441867111

Texans rushing

This season, through week 8

Texans rushers this season
Woody MarksRB777271249%
David MontgomeryRB552138248%
C.J. StroudQB7168215%
Jawhar JordanRB1643125%
Xavier HutchinsonWR741602%
Jaylin NoelWR742603%
Cade StoverTE73502%
Nico CollinsWR521202%

Texans receiving

This season, through week 8

Texans receivers this season, with their share of the team's targets
Dalton SchultzTE4333322017%
Xavier HutchinsonWR4021258118%
Nico CollinsWR3524329322%
Jaylin NoelWR2319331210%
Kayshon BoutteWR2315194010%
Marvin Harrison Jr.WR219125210%
Woody MarksRB17149407%
Foster MoreauTE14117236%

Who scores for the Texans

This season, through week 8

Texans rushing and receiving touchdowns this season
David MontgomeryRB213
Nico CollinsWR033
Foster MoreauTE033
Marvin Harrison Jr.WR022
Woody MarksRB202
Jaylin NoelWR022
Xavier HutchinsonWR011
C.J. StroudQB101

Texans fantasy points

This season, through week 8

Texans players' fantasy points, This season, through week 8
C.J. StroudQB7128.918.418.418.423.1
Nico CollinsWR576.115.212.810.430.8
Jaylin NoelWR766.79.58.26.820.7
Dalton SchultzTE765.29.37.04.626.0
Woody MarksRB762.58.97.96.912.5
Xavier HutchinsonWR754.47.86.34.811.9
David MontgomeryRB543.68.78.07.328.9
Foster MoreauTE736.25.24.43.614.7
Kayshon BoutteWR734.44.93.82.86.8
Marvin Harrison Jr.WR633.55.64.84.18.2
Jawhar JordanRB112.012.011.511.012.0
Cade StoverTE77.21.00.80.63.0
Tank DellWR15.55.55.04.55.5
Brevin JordanTE43.20.80.60.32.3
Marlin KleinTE32.60.90.70.52.6
How the points are scored

What the Texans defense allows

A game, over its last 24 games. Rank 1 is the defense that allows the most.

Passing yards allowed to quarterbacks: 19 of 32221.2
Fewest 178.4Most 259
All 32 defenses against quarterbacks
Rushing yards allowed to running backs: 29 of 3278.5
Fewest 64.8Most 112.2
All 32 defenses against running backs
Receiving yards allowed to wide receivers: 14 of 32143.3
Fewest 105.3Most 174.9
All 32 defenses against wide receivers
Receiving yards allowed to tight ends: 25 of 3245.7
Fewest 33.6Most 86
All 32 defenses against tight ends

How close the model's projections have been

Tested on games the model had not seen: what it projected next to what happened, for players projected for a real role. The last column is how often the result landed inside the projected 80% range.

Projected and actual, by market
MarketThis seasonPlayer gamesProjectedActualInside the 80% range
Receiving yards, WR2021 to 20254,97955.855.379.2%
Rushing yards, RB2021 to 20253,65652.754.181.2%
Passing yards, QB2022 to 20252,173221.1223.781.2%
Receiving yards, TE2021 to 20251,17947.646.782.1%
See the full accuracy table

Questions about the Texans

How often do Texans games go over 45.5 points?

In 173 of 412 games since 2000 (42%). Every total from 30.5 to 50.5 is counted in the total section of this page.

How often do the Texans win at home?

They have won 105 of 207 home games since 2000 (51%), and 78 of 205 away.

How often do the Texans score more than 20.5 points?

In 204 of 412 games since 2000 (50%).

Are the numbers on this page predictions?

No. They are results from games already played, and each section says which games it counts.

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