Houston Texans at Washington Commanders prediction
Win probabilities, projected score and this season's numbers, by SportHoot.
Houston Texans visit Washington Commanders on Sun, Dec 13, 06:00 PM UTC. The model's forecast is below, with both teams' season side by side.
The probabilities are model estimates and change as new information arrives.
Houston Texans at Washington Commanders prediction
NFL ·
Houston Texans 52% to win
- Washington Commanders win48%
- Houston Texans win52%
A tie is under 1%.
Projected score: Washington Commanders 22.6, Houston Texans 23.1
Forecast updated 2 Nov, 11:01 UTC · These are model estimates, not certainties: either team can win.
Game preview
Little separates them: the model has Washington Commanders at 48% and Houston Texans at 52%. The projected score is Washington Commanders 22.6, Houston Texans 23.1. Over 45.5 total points is at 49%. Every figure is an estimate, not a certainty: injuries, weather and team news can still change the picture.
Washington Commanders and Houston Texans this season
2026 season so far; long-run rates since 2000.
| Stat | Washington Commanders | Houston Texans |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-4-1 | 2-5 |
| Points scored per game | 22.7 | 23.6 |
| Points allowed per game | 26.0 | 24.3 |
| Games won since 2000 | 180 of 437 | 183 of 412 |
| Games over 45.5 points since 2000 | 183 of 437 | 173 of 412 |
| Scored over 20.5 since 2000 | 187 of 437 | 204 of 412 |
Total points and team points
The model's estimates for this game's point lines.
| Line | Estimate |
|---|---|
| Over 30.5 total points | 87% |
| Over 42.5 total points | 59% |
| Over 45.5 total points | 49% |
| Over 48.5 total points | 40% |
| Over 50.5 total points | 34% |
| Washington Commanders over 14.5 points | 78% |
| Washington Commanders over 20.5 points | 56% |
| Washington Commanders over 24.5 points | 39% |
| Washington Commanders over 27.5 points | 28% |
| Washington Commanders over 30.5 points | 19% |
| Houston Texans over 14.5 points | 79% |
| Houston Texans over 20.5 points | 57% |
| Houston Texans over 24.5 points | 41% |
| Houston Texans over 27.5 points | 29% |
| Houston Texans over 30.5 points | 20% |
Questions
Who is favoured, Houston Texans or Washington Commanders?
The model gives Houston Texans a 52% chance of winning and Washington Commanders 48%. These are estimates, not certainties.
What is the projected score for Houston Texans at Washington Commanders?
The model projects Washington Commanders 22.6, Houston Texans 23.1.
How is this prediction made?
It is a model estimate from predictapp, built from both teams' games this season and in past seasons. This one was made 2 Nov, 11:01 UTC and is updated as new information arrives.
Is this a tip?
No. It is an estimate of how likely each result is, not advice to bet. What you do with it is your decision.
Have Houston Texans and Washington Commanders played this season?
Not yet this season.
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