Washington Commanders at Jacksonville Jaguars prediction
Win probabilities, projected score and this season's numbers, by SportHoot.
Washington Commanders visit Jacksonville Jaguars on Sun, Jan 3, 06:00 PM UTC. The model's forecast is below, with both teams' season side by side.
The probabilities are model estimates and change as new information arrives.
Washington Commanders at Jacksonville Jaguars prediction
NFL ·
Jacksonville Jaguars 78% to win
- Jacksonville Jaguars win78%
- Washington Commanders win22%
A tie is under 1%.
Projected score: Jacksonville Jaguars 28.9, Washington Commanders 19.1
Forecast updated 3 Nov, 11:01 UTC · These are model estimates, not certainties: either team can win.
Game preview
Jacksonville Jaguars go in as clear favourites: the model gives them a 78% chance of winning, with Washington Commanders at 22%. The projected score is Jacksonville Jaguars 28.9, Washington Commanders 19.1. Over 45.5 total points is at 58%. Every figure is an estimate, not a certainty: injuries, weather and team news can still change the picture.
Jacksonville Jaguars and Washington Commanders this season
2026 season so far; long-run rates since 2000.
| Stat | Jacksonville Jaguars | Washington Commanders |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 5-2 | 2-4-1 |
| Points scored per game | 28.0 | 22.7 |
| Points allowed per game | 15.9 | 26.0 |
| Games won since 2000 | 175 of 437 | 180 of 437 |
| Games over 45.5 points since 2000 | 174 of 437 | 183 of 437 |
| Scored over 20.5 since 2000 | 196 of 437 | 187 of 437 |
Total points and team points
The model's estimates for this game's point lines.
| Line | Estimate |
|---|---|
| Over 30.5 total points | 90% |
| Over 42.5 total points | 67% |
| Over 45.5 total points | 58% |
| Over 48.5 total points | 48% |
| Over 50.5 total points | 41% |
| Jacksonville Jaguars over 14.5 points | 93% |
| Jacksonville Jaguars over 20.5 points | 79% |
| Jacksonville Jaguars over 24.5 points | 64% |
| Jacksonville Jaguars over 27.5 points | 53% |
| Jacksonville Jaguars over 30.5 points | 40% |
| Washington Commanders over 14.5 points | 65% |
| Washington Commanders over 20.5 points | 41% |
| Washington Commanders over 24.5 points | 26% |
| Washington Commanders over 27.5 points | 17% |
| Washington Commanders over 30.5 points | 11% |
Questions
Who is favoured, Washington Commanders or Jacksonville Jaguars?
The model gives Jacksonville Jaguars a 78% chance of winning and Washington Commanders 22%. These are estimates, not certainties.
What is the projected score for Washington Commanders at Jacksonville Jaguars?
The model projects Jacksonville Jaguars 28.9, Washington Commanders 19.1.
How is this prediction made?
It is a model estimate from predictapp, built from both teams' games this season and in past seasons. This one was made 3 Nov, 11:01 UTC and is updated as new information arrives.
Is this a tip?
No. It is an estimate of how likely each result is, not advice to bet. What you do with it is your decision.
Have Jacksonville Jaguars and Washington Commanders played this season?
Not yet this season.
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