Las Vegas Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs prediction
Win probabilities, projected score and this season's numbers, by SportHoot.
Las Vegas Raiders visit Kansas City Chiefs on Sun, Jan 10, 06:00 PM UTC. The model's forecast is below, with both teams' season side by side.
The probabilities are model estimates and change as new information arrives.
Las Vegas Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs prediction
NFL ·
Kansas City Chiefs 75% to win
- Kansas City Chiefs win75%
- Las Vegas Raiders win24%
A tie is under 1%.
Projected score: Kansas City Chiefs 28, Las Vegas Raiders 19.4
Forecast updated 2 Nov, 11:01 UTC · These are model estimates, not certainties: either team can win.
Game preview
Kansas City Chiefs go in as clear favourites: the model gives them a 75% chance of winning, with Las Vegas Raiders at 24%. The projected score is Kansas City Chiefs 28, Las Vegas Raiders 19.4. Over 45.5 total points is at 56%. Every figure is an estimate, not a certainty: injuries, weather and team news can still change the picture.
Kansas City Chiefs and Las Vegas Raiders this season
2026 season so far; long-run rates since 2000.
| Stat | Kansas City Chiefs | Las Vegas Raiders |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 5-2 | 4-4 |
| Points scored per game | 23.9 | 27.6 |
| Points allowed per game | 18.7 | 28.8 |
| Games won since 2000 | 261 of 457 | 172 of 438 |
| Games over 45.5 points since 2000 | 212 of 457 | 200 of 438 |
| Scored over 20.5 since 2000 | 280 of 457 | 200 of 438 |
Meetings this season
- Week 4: Las Vegas Raiders 27-30 Kansas City Chiefs
Total points and team points
The model's estimates for this game's point lines.
| Line | Estimate |
|---|---|
| Over 30.5 total points | 90% |
| Over 42.5 total points | 66% |
| Over 45.5 total points | 56% |
| Over 48.5 total points | 46% |
| Over 50.5 total points | 40% |
| Kansas City Chiefs over 14.5 points | 91% |
| Kansas City Chiefs over 20.5 points | 76% |
| Kansas City Chiefs over 24.5 points | 61% |
| Kansas City Chiefs over 27.5 points | 49% |
| Kansas City Chiefs over 30.5 points | 37% |
| Las Vegas Raiders over 14.5 points | 67% |
| Las Vegas Raiders over 20.5 points | 42% |
| Las Vegas Raiders over 24.5 points | 27% |
| Las Vegas Raiders over 27.5 points | 18% |
| Las Vegas Raiders over 30.5 points | 11% |
Questions
Who is favoured, Las Vegas Raiders or Kansas City Chiefs?
The model gives Kansas City Chiefs a 75% chance of winning and Las Vegas Raiders 24%. These are estimates, not certainties.
What is the projected score for Las Vegas Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs?
The model projects Kansas City Chiefs 28, Las Vegas Raiders 19.4.
How is this prediction made?
It is a model estimate from predictapp, built from both teams' games this season and in past seasons. This one was made 2 Nov, 11:01 UTC and is updated as new information arrives.
Is this a tip?
No. It is an estimate of how likely each result is, not advice to bet. What you do with it is your decision.
Have Kansas City Chiefs and Las Vegas Raiders played this season?
Yes, 1 times: Week 4: Las Vegas Raiders 27-30 Kansas City Chiefs.
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