Las Vegas Raiders: predictions, props and stats
The numbers behind the Raiders
The Raiders are 4-4 through week 8, scoring 27.6 points a game and allowing 28.8.
Every table on this page is a result from games already played, not a prediction.
Next game
Results and scoring
This season, through week 8
4-4, with 27.6 points scored and 28.8 allowed a game.
| Wk | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | @Jets | 38-33 | Won |
| 7 | vsRams | 21-35 | Lost |
| 6 | vsBills | 30-33 | Lost |
| 5 | @Patriots | 17-45 | Lost |
| 4 | vsChiefs | 27-30 | Lost |
| 3 | @Saints | 35-27 | Won |
| 2 | @Chargers | 26-14 | Won |
| 1 | vsDolphins | 27-13 | Won |
| Stat | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored a game | 27.6 | 20.4 |
| Points allowed a game | 28.8 | 24.6 |
| Average margin | -1.1 | -4.2 |
| Went to overtime | 0%0 of 8 | 5%24 of 438 |
Raiders against the spread
Since 2000 the Raiders have won by more than 3.5 points in 121 of 438 games, with an average margin of -4.2.
| Line | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Won by 8 or more (covers -7.5) | 38%3 of 8 | 17%75 of 438 |
| Won by 4 or more (covers -3.5) | 50%4 of 8 | 28%121 of 438 |
| Won, or lost by 3 or fewer (covers +3.5) | 75%6 of 8 | 51%224 of 438 |
| Won, or lost by 7 or fewer (covers +7.5) | 75%6 of 8 | 64%281 of 438 |
Game totals in Raiders games
Since 2000, Raiders games have gone over 45.5 points in 200 of 438.
| Line | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 30.5 points | 100%8 of 8 | 84%370 of 438 |
| Over 42.5 points | 75%6 of 8 | 56%246 of 438 |
| Over 45.5 points | 75%6 of 8 | 46%200 of 438 |
| Over 48.5 points | 75%6 of 8 | 37%163 of 438 |
| Over 50.5 points | 75%6 of 8 | 32%142 of 438 |
Raiders wins, home and away
Since 2000 the Raiders have won 172 of 438 games: 99 of 220 at home and 73 of 218 away.
| Stat | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 50%4 of 8 | 39%172 of 438 |
| At home | 25%1 of 4 | 45%99 of 220 |
| Away | 75%3 of 4 | 33%73 of 218 |
Raiders points against team totals
Since 2000 the Raiders have scored more than 20.5 points in 200 of 438 games.
| Line | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored over 14.5 | 100%8 of 8 | 68%299 of 438 |
| Scored over 20.5 | 88%7 of 8 | 46%200 of 438 |
| Scored over 24.5 | 75%6 of 8 | 32%140 of 438 |
| Scored over 27.5 | 38%3 of 8 | 22%98 of 438 |
| Scored over 30.5 | 25%2 of 8 | 17%76 of 438 |
Raiders passing
This season, through week 8
| Kirk Cousins | 8 | 180 | 285 | 2124 | 19 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fernando Mendoza | 1 | 6 | 8 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
Raiders rushing
This season, through week 8
| Ashton Jeanty | RB | 8 | 108 | 337 | 1 | 57% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Washington Jr. | RB | 8 | 65 | 278 | 1 | 33% |
| Kirk Cousins | QB | 8 | 10 | 20 | 1 | 2% |
| Dylan Laube | RB | 8 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 4% |
| Tre Tucker | WR | 8 | 2 | -6 | 0 | 2% |
| Malik Benson | WR | 7 | 1 | -8 | 0 | 0% |
| Fernando Mendoza | QB | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0% |
Raiders receiving
This season, through week 8
| Brock Bowers | TE | 62 | 41 | 547 | 5 | 29% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashton Jeanty | RB | 49 | 37 | 376 | 3 | 18% |
| Tre Tucker | WR | 48 | 29 | 474 | 4 | 16% |
| Michael Mayer | TE | 43 | 36 | 351 | 1 | 16% |
| Jalen Nailor | WR | 25 | 12 | 113 | 1 | 11% |
| Cody White | WR | 20 | 8 | 112 | 3 | 8% |
| Malik Benson | WR | 9 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 4% |
| Jack Bech | WR | 6 | 5 | 48 | 1 | 7% |
Who scores for the Raiders
This season, through week 8
| Brock Bowers | TE | 0 | 5 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashton Jeanty | RB | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| Tre Tucker | WR | 0 | 4 | 4 |
| Cody White | WR | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Jack Bech | WR | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Dylan Laube | RB | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Michael Mayer | TE | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Ian Thomas | TE | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Raiders fantasy points
This season, through week 8
| Kirk Cousins | QB | 8 | 161.0 | 20.1 | 20.1 | 20.1 | 28.4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashton Jeanty | RB | 8 | 132.3 | 16.5 | 14.2 | 11.9 | 32.7 |
| Brock Bowers | TE | 6 | 123.7 | 20.6 | 17.2 | 13.8 | 28.2 |
| Tre Tucker | WR | 8 | 99.8 | 12.5 | 10.7 | 8.9 | 26.7 |
| Michael Mayer | TE | 8 | 77.1 | 9.6 | 7.4 | 5.1 | 16.5 |
| Cody White | WR | 7 | 39.2 | 5.6 | 5.0 | 4.5 | 16.4 |
| Mike Washington Jr. | RB | 8 | 37.9 | 4.7 | 4.6 | 4.4 | 11.4 |
| Jalen Nailor | WR | 7 | 29.3 | 4.2 | 3.3 | 2.5 | 13.8 |
| Ian Thomas | TE | 7 | 17.0 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 11.2 |
| Jack Bech | WR | 3 | 15.8 | 5.3 | 4.4 | 3.6 | 11.3 |
| Dylan Laube | RB | 8 | 10.4 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 11.5 |
| Dareke Young | WR | 8 | 3.6 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 3.7 |
| Malik Benson | WR | 7 | 2.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1.6 |
| Fernando Mendoza | QB | 1 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.2 |
| Deven Thompkins | WR | 1 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.8 |
What the Raiders defense allows
A game, over its last 25 games. Rank 1 is the defense that allows the most.
How close the model's projections have been
Tested on games the model had not seen: what it projected next to what happened, for players projected for a real role. The last column is how often the result landed inside the projected 80% range.
| Market | This season | Player games | Projected | Actual | Inside the 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving yards, WR | 2021 to 2025 | 4,979 | 55.8 | 55.3 | 79.2% |
| Rushing yards, RB | 2021 to 2025 | 3,656 | 52.7 | 54.1 | 81.2% |
| Passing yards, QB | 2022 to 2025 | 2,173 | 221.1 | 223.7 | 81.2% |
| Receiving yards, TE | 2021 to 2025 | 1,179 | 47.6 | 46.7 | 82.1% |
Questions about the Raiders
How often do Raiders games go over 45.5 points?
In 200 of 438 games since 2000 (46%). Every total from 30.5 to 50.5 is counted in the total section of this page.
How often do the Raiders win at home?
They have won 99 of 220 home games since 2000 (45%), and 73 of 218 away.
How often do the Raiders score more than 20.5 points?
In 200 of 438 games since 2000 (46%).
Are the numbers on this page predictions?
No. They are results from games already played, and each section says which games it counts.
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