Kansas City Chiefs at Los Angeles Chargers prediction
Win probabilities, projected score and this season's numbers, by SportHoot.
Kansas City Chiefs visit Los Angeles Chargers on Sun, Jan 3, 06:00 PM UTC. The model's forecast is below, with both teams' season side by side.
The probabilities are model estimates and change as new information arrives.
Kansas City Chiefs at Los Angeles Chargers prediction
NFL ·
Kansas City Chiefs 68% to win
- Los Angeles Chargers win32%
- Kansas City Chiefs win68%
A tie is under 1%.
Projected score: Los Angeles Chargers 18.9, Kansas City Chiefs 24.6
Forecast updated 3 Nov, 11:01 UTC · These are model estimates, not certainties: either team can win.
Game preview
Kansas City Chiefs go in as clear favourites: the model gives them a 68% chance of winning, with Los Angeles Chargers at 32%. The projected score is Los Angeles Chargers 18.9, Kansas City Chiefs 24.6. Over 45.5 total points is at 42%. Every figure is an estimate, not a certainty: injuries, weather and team news can still change the picture.
Los Angeles Chargers and Kansas City Chiefs this season
2026 season so far; long-run rates since 2000.
| Stat | Los Angeles Chargers | Kansas City Chiefs |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-7 | 5-2 |
| Points scored per game | 14.1 | 23.9 |
| Points allowed per game | 25.0 | 18.7 |
| Games won since 2000 | 220 of 443 | 261 of 457 |
| Games over 45.5 points since 2000 | 209 of 443 | 212 of 457 |
| Scored over 20.5 since 2000 | 271 of 443 | 280 of 457 |
Meetings this season
- Week 6: Kansas City Chiefs 22-6 Los Angeles Chargers
Total points and team points
The model's estimates for this game's point lines.
| Line | Estimate |
|---|---|
| Over 30.5 total points | 84% |
| Over 42.5 total points | 51% |
| Over 45.5 total points | 42% |
| Over 48.5 total points | 33% |
| Over 50.5 total points | 28% |
| Los Angeles Chargers over 14.5 points | 64% |
| Los Angeles Chargers over 20.5 points | 40% |
| Los Angeles Chargers over 24.5 points | 26% |
| Los Angeles Chargers over 27.5 points | 17% |
| Los Angeles Chargers over 30.5 points | 11% |
| Kansas City Chiefs over 14.5 points | 84% |
| Kansas City Chiefs over 20.5 points | 63% |
| Kansas City Chiefs over 24.5 points | 47% |
| Kansas City Chiefs over 27.5 points | 34% |
| Kansas City Chiefs over 30.5 points | 24% |
Questions
Who is favoured, Kansas City Chiefs or Los Angeles Chargers?
The model gives Kansas City Chiefs a 68% chance of winning and Los Angeles Chargers 32%. These are estimates, not certainties.
What is the projected score for Kansas City Chiefs at Los Angeles Chargers?
The model projects Los Angeles Chargers 18.9, Kansas City Chiefs 24.6.
How is this prediction made?
It is a model estimate from predictapp, built from both teams' games this season and in past seasons. This one was made 3 Nov, 11:01 UTC and is updated as new information arrives.
Is this a tip?
No. It is an estimate of how likely each result is, not advice to bet. What you do with it is your decision.
Have Kansas City Chiefs and Los Angeles Chargers played this season?
Yes, 1 times: Week 6: Kansas City Chiefs 22-6 Los Angeles Chargers.
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