Los Angeles Chargers: predictions, props and stats
The numbers behind the Chargers
The Chargers are 0-7 through week 8, scoring 14.1 points a game and allowing 25.0.
Every table on this page is a result from games already played, not a prediction.
Next game
Results and scoring
This season, through week 8
0-7, with 14.1 points scored and 25.0 allowed a game.
| Wk | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | @Rams | 9-24 | Lost |
| 6 | @Chiefs | 6-22 | Lost |
| 5 | vsBroncos | 17-23 | Lost |
| 4 | @Seahawks | 23-30 | Lost |
| 3 | @Bills | 16-24 | Lost |
| 2 | vsRaiders | 14-26 | Lost |
| 1 | vsCardinals | 14-26 | Lost |
| Stat | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored a game | 14.1 | 23.6 |
| Points allowed a game | 25.0 | 22.1 |
| Average margin | -10.9 | +1.5 |
| Went to overtime | 0%0 of 7 | 7%32 of 443 |
Chargers against the spread
Since 2000 the Chargers have won by more than 3.5 points in 173 of 443 games, with an average margin of +1.5.
| Line | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Won by 8 or more (covers -7.5) | 0%0 of 7 | 28%125 of 443 |
| Won by 4 or more (covers -3.5) | 0%0 of 7 | 39%173 of 443 |
| Won, or lost by 3 or fewer (covers +3.5) | 0%0 of 7 | 67%295 of 443 |
| Won, or lost by 7 or fewer (covers +7.5) | 29%2 of 7 | 79%350 of 443 |
Game totals in Chargers games
Since 2000, Chargers games have gone over 45.5 points in 209 of 443.
| Line | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 30.5 points | 86%6 of 7 | 88%390 of 443 |
| Over 42.5 points | 14%1 of 7 | 57%253 of 443 |
| Over 45.5 points | 14%1 of 7 | 47%209 of 443 |
| Over 48.5 points | 14%1 of 7 | 38%170 of 443 |
| Over 50.5 points | 14%1 of 7 | 36%159 of 443 |
Chargers wins, home and away
Since 2000 the Chargers have won 220 of 443 games: 120 of 219 at home and 100 of 224 away.
| Stat | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 0%0 of 7 | 50%220 of 443 |
| At home | 0%0 of 3 | 55%120 of 219 |
| Away | 0%0 of 4 | 45%100 of 224 |
Chargers points against team totals
Since 2000 the Chargers have scored more than 20.5 points in 271 of 443 games.
| Line | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored over 14.5 | 43%3 of 7 | 82%363 of 443 |
| Scored over 20.5 | 14%1 of 7 | 61%271 of 443 |
| Scored over 24.5 | 0%0 of 7 | 42%186 of 443 |
| Scored over 27.5 | 0%0 of 7 | 32%142 of 443 |
| Scored over 30.5 | 0%0 of 7 | 23%100 of 443 |
Chargers passing
This season, through week 8
| Justin Herbert | 7 | 131 | 210 | 1398 | 5 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Harris | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Chargers rushing
This season, through week 8
| Omarion Hampton | RB | 7 | 89 | 309 | 3 | 52% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keaton Mitchell | RB | 7 | 39 | 145 | 0 | 22% |
| Justin Herbert | QB | 7 | 33 | 183 | 0 | 6% |
| Kimani Vidal | RB | 7 | 29 | 132 | 1 | 17% |
| Quentin Johnston | WR | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1% |
| Derius Davis | WR | 7 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1% |
| Oronde Gadsden II | TE | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1% |
Chargers receiving
This season, through week 8
| Tre Harris | WR | 28 | 18 | 256 | 0 | 17% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quentin Johnston | WR | 26 | 12 | 202 | 0 | 15% |
| Oronde Gadsden II | TE | 26 | 17 | 155 | 1 | 12% |
| Ladd McConkey | WR | 24 | 17 | 286 | 1 | 14% |
| Keaton Mitchell | RB | 18 | 15 | 69 | 1 | 9% |
| Charlie Kolar | TE | 17 | 10 | 98 | 0 | 12% |
| Kimani Vidal | RB | 14 | 9 | 50 | 1 | 7% |
| Omarion Hampton | RB | 13 | 11 | 63 | 0 | 6% |
Who scores for the Chargers
This season, through week 8
| Omarion Hampton | RB | 3 | 0 | 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kimani Vidal | RB | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Ladd McConkey | WR | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Oronde Gadsden II | TE | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Keaton Mitchell | RB | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Hayden Rucci | TE | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Chargers fantasy points
This season, through week 8
| Justin Herbert | QB | 7 | 70.2 | 10.0 | 10.0 | 10.0 | 13.3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omarion Hampton | RB | 7 | 62.2 | 8.9 | 8.1 | 7.3 | 17.5 |
| Ladd McConkey | WR | 6 | 51.6 | 8.6 | 7.2 | 5.8 | 19.2 |
| Tre Harris | WR | 6 | 43.6 | 7.3 | 5.8 | 4.3 | 13.6 |
| Keaton Mitchell | RB | 7 | 42.4 | 6.1 | 5.0 | 3.9 | 13.7 |
| Kimani Vidal | RB | 7 | 39.2 | 5.6 | 5.0 | 4.3 | 12.6 |
| Oronde Gadsden II | TE | 7 | 38.7 | 5.5 | 4.3 | 3.1 | 10.2 |
| Quentin Johnston | WR | 6 | 32.5 | 5.4 | 4.4 | 3.4 | 7.7 |
| Charlie Kolar | TE | 5 | 17.8 | 3.6 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 5.1 |
| David Njoku | TE | 2 | 12.7 | 6.4 | 4.9 | 3.4 | 10.8 |
| Hayden Rucci | TE | 5 | 7.7 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 7.7 |
| Theo Wease Jr. | WR | 2 | 6.7 | 3.4 | 2.6 | 1.9 | 4.1 |
| KeAndre Lambert-Smith | WR | 3 | 6.2 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 6.2 |
| Marquez Valdes-Scantling | WR | 3 | 4.2 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 4.2 |
| Brenen Thompson | WR | 2 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 2.3 |
What the Chargers defense allows
A game, over its last 24 games. Rank 1 is the defense that allows the most.
How close the model's projections have been
Tested on games the model had not seen: what it projected next to what happened, for players projected for a real role. The last column is how often the result landed inside the projected 80% range.
| Market | This season | Player games | Projected | Actual | Inside the 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving yards, WR | 2021 to 2025 | 4,979 | 55.8 | 55.3 | 79.2% |
| Rushing yards, RB | 2021 to 2025 | 3,656 | 52.7 | 54.1 | 81.2% |
| Passing yards, QB | 2022 to 2025 | 2,173 | 221.1 | 223.7 | 81.2% |
| Receiving yards, TE | 2021 to 2025 | 1,179 | 47.6 | 46.7 | 82.1% |
Questions about the Chargers
How often do Chargers games go over 45.5 points?
In 209 of 443 games since 2000 (47%). Every total from 30.5 to 50.5 is counted in the total section of this page.
How often do the Chargers win at home?
They have won 120 of 219 home games since 2000 (55%), and 100 of 224 away.
How often do the Chargers score more than 20.5 points?
In 271 of 443 games since 2000 (61%).
Are the numbers on this page predictions?
No. They are results from games already played, and each section says which games it counts.
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