San Francisco 49ers at Kansas City Chiefs prediction
Win probabilities, projected score and this season's numbers, by SportHoot.
San Francisco 49ers visit Kansas City Chiefs on Sun, Dec 27, 09:25 PM UTC. The model's forecast is below, with both teams' season side by side.
The probabilities are model estimates and change as new information arrives.
San Francisco 49ers at Kansas City Chiefs prediction
NFL ·
Kansas City Chiefs 52% to win
- Kansas City Chiefs win52%
- San Francisco 49ers win47%
A tie is under 1%.
Projected score: Kansas City Chiefs 25.8, San Francisco 49ers 25
Forecast updated 2 Nov, 11:01 UTC · These are model estimates, not certainties: either team can win.
Game preview
Little separates them: the model has Kansas City Chiefs at 52% and San Francisco 49ers at 47%. The projected score is Kansas City Chiefs 25.8, San Francisco 49ers 25. Over 45.5 total points is at 63%. Every figure is an estimate, not a certainty: injuries, weather and team news can still change the picture.
Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers this season
2026 season so far; long-run rates since 2000.
| Stat | Kansas City Chiefs | San Francisco 49ers |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 5-2 | 6-1 |
| Points scored per game | 23.9 | 28.1 |
| Points allowed per game | 18.7 | 19.9 |
| Games won since 2000 | 261 of 457 | 228 of 453 |
| Games over 45.5 points since 2000 | 212 of 457 | 209 of 453 |
| Scored over 20.5 since 2000 | 280 of 457 | 243 of 453 |
Total points and team points
The model's estimates for this game's point lines.
| Line | Estimate |
|---|---|
| Over 30.5 total points | 91% |
| Over 42.5 total points | 72% |
| Over 45.5 total points | 63% |
| Over 48.5 total points | 53% |
| Over 50.5 total points | 47% |
| Kansas City Chiefs over 14.5 points | 87% |
| Kansas City Chiefs over 20.5 points | 68% |
| Kansas City Chiefs over 24.5 points | 52% |
| Kansas City Chiefs over 27.5 points | 40% |
| Kansas City Chiefs over 30.5 points | 28% |
| San Francisco 49ers over 14.5 points | 85% |
| San Francisco 49ers over 20.5 points | 65% |
| San Francisco 49ers over 24.5 points | 48% |
| San Francisco 49ers over 27.5 points | 36% |
| San Francisco 49ers over 30.5 points | 25% |
Questions
Who is favoured, San Francisco 49ers or Kansas City Chiefs?
The model gives Kansas City Chiefs a 52% chance of winning and San Francisco 49ers 47%. These are estimates, not certainties.
What is the projected score for San Francisco 49ers at Kansas City Chiefs?
The model projects Kansas City Chiefs 25.8, San Francisco 49ers 25.
How is this prediction made?
It is a model estimate from predictapp, built from both teams' games this season and in past seasons. This one was made 2 Nov, 11:01 UTC and is updated as new information arrives.
Is this a tip?
No. It is an estimate of how likely each result is, not advice to bet. What you do with it is your decision.
Have Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers played this season?
Not yet this season.
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