San Francisco 49ers: predictions, props and stats
The numbers behind the 49ers
The 49ers are 6-1 through week 8, scoring 28.1 points a game and allowing 19.9.
Every table on this page is a result from games already played, not a prediction.
Next game
Results and scoring
This season, through week 8
6-1, with 28.1 points scored and 19.9 allowed a game.
| Wk | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | @Falcons | 20-29 | Lost |
| 6 | vsCommanders | 23-17 | Won |
| 5 | @Seahawks | 32-29 | Won |
| 4 | vsBroncos | 24-14 | Won |
| 3 | vsCardinals | 36-30 | Won |
| 2 | vsDolphins | 35-13 | Won |
| 1 | @Rams | 27-7 | Won |
| Stat | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored a game | 28.1 | 22.3 |
| Points allowed a game | 19.9 | 22.2 |
| Average margin | +8.3 | +0.1 |
| Went to overtime | 0%0 of 7 | 8%35 of 453 |
49ers against the spread
Since 2000 the 49ers have won by more than 3.5 points in 179 of 453 games, with an average margin of +0.1.
| Line | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Won by 8 or more (covers -7.5) | 43%3 of 7 | 29%131 of 453 |
| Won by 4 or more (covers -3.5) | 71%5 of 7 | 40%179 of 453 |
| Won, or lost by 3 or fewer (covers +3.5) | 86%6 of 7 | 62%283 of 453 |
| Won, or lost by 7 or fewer (covers +7.5) | 86%6 of 7 | 70%319 of 453 |
Game totals in 49ers games
Since 2000, 49ers games have gone over 45.5 points in 209 of 453.
| Line | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 30.5 points | 100%7 of 7 | 84%380 of 453 |
| Over 42.5 points | 57%4 of 7 | 54%246 of 453 |
| Over 45.5 points | 57%4 of 7 | 46%209 of 453 |
| Over 48.5 points | 43%3 of 7 | 36%165 of 453 |
| Over 50.5 points | 29%2 of 7 | 32%143 of 453 |
49ers wins, home and away
Since 2000 the 49ers have won 228 of 453 games: 129 of 225 at home and 99 of 228 away.
| Stat | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 86%6 of 7 | 50%228 of 453 |
| At home | 100%4 of 4 | 57%129 of 225 |
| Away | 67%2 of 3 | 43%99 of 228 |
49ers points against team totals
Since 2000 the 49ers have scored more than 20.5 points in 243 of 453 games.
| Line | This season | Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored over 14.5 | 100%7 of 7 | 78%353 of 453 |
| Scored over 20.5 | 86%6 of 7 | 54%243 of 453 |
| Scored over 24.5 | 57%4 of 7 | 38%170 of 453 |
| Scored over 27.5 | 43%3 of 7 | 27%124 of 453 |
| Scored over 30.5 | 43%3 of 7 | 22%100 of 453 |
49ers passing
This season, through week 8
| Player | G | Cmp | Att | Yds | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brock Purdy | 7 | 146 | 210 | 1748 | 15 | 4 |
49ers rushing
This season, through week 8
| Christian McCaffrey | RB | 7 | 84 | 389 | 8 | 50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaelon Black | RB | 7 | 57 | 233 | 1 | 34% |
| Brock Purdy | QB | 7 | 27 | 166 | 1 | 7% |
| Deebo Samuel Sr. | WR | 5 | 9 | 78 | 0 | 8% |
| Jordan James | RB | 5 | 5 | 21 | 0 | 5% |
| Jacob Cowing | WR | 7 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 1% |
49ers receiving
This season, through week 8
| George Kittle | TE | 46 | 34 | 425 | 5 | 22% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian McCaffrey | RB | 42 | 34 | 251 | 0 | 20% |
| Mike Evans | WR | 40 | 27 | 420 | 4 | 24% |
| Deebo Samuel Sr. | WR | 20 | 16 | 126 | 2 | 14% |
| Jacob Cowing | WR | 10 | 4 | 47 | 0 | 4% |
| Jordan Watkins | WR | 9 | 6 | 138 | 0 | 5% |
| Brandin Cooks | WR | 8 | 3 | 33 | 1 | 6% |
| Demarcus Robinson | WR | 6 | 5 | 84 | 1 | 12% |
Who scores for the 49ers
This season, through week 8
| Christian McCaffrey | RB | 8 | 0 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Kittle | TE | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| Mike Evans | WR | 0 | 4 | 4 |
| Deebo Samuel Sr. | WR | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Brandin Cooks | WR | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Brock Purdy | QB | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Demarcus Robinson | WR | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Kaelon Black | RB | 1 | 0 | 1 |
49ers fantasy points
This season, through week 8
| Brock Purdy | QB | 7 | 146.5 | 20.9 | 20.9 | 20.9 | 31.4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian McCaffrey | RB | 7 | 144.0 | 20.6 | 18.1 | 15.7 | 30.7 |
| George Kittle | TE | 7 | 104.5 | 14.9 | 12.5 | 10.1 | 26.2 |
| Mike Evans | WR | 6 | 95.0 | 15.8 | 13.6 | 11.3 | 26.3 |
| Deebo Samuel Sr. | WR | 5 | 46.4 | 9.3 | 7.7 | 6.1 | 18.0 |
| Kaelon Black | RB | 7 | 30.7 | 4.4 | 4.2 | 4.0 | 10.9 |
| Jordan Watkins | WR | 5 | 19.8 | 4.0 | 3.4 | 2.8 | 8.6 |
| Demarcus Robinson | WR | 2 | 19.4 | 9.7 | 8.5 | 7.2 | 13.0 |
| Brandin Cooks | WR | 4 | 12.3 | 3.1 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 7.7 |
| Jacob Cowing | WR | 7 | 7.9 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 7.8 |
| Luke Farrell | TE | 7 | 6.3 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 3.9 |
| Jordan James | RB | 5 | 4.2 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 2.7 |
| 00-0034854 | WR | 3 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 2.8 |
What the 49ers defense allows
A game, over its last 24 games. Rank 1 is the defense that allows the most.
How close the model's projections have been
Tested on games the model had not seen: what it projected next to what happened, for players projected for a real role. The last column is how often the result landed inside the projected 80% range.
| Market | This season | Player games | Projected | Actual | Inside the 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving yards, WR | 2021 to 2025 | 4,979 | 55.8 | 55.3 | 79.2% |
| Rushing yards, RB | 2021 to 2025 | 3,656 | 52.7 | 54.1 | 81.2% |
| Passing yards, QB | 2022 to 2025 | 2,173 | 221.1 | 223.7 | 81.2% |
| Receiving yards, TE | 2021 to 2025 | 1,179 | 47.6 | 46.7 | 82.1% |
Questions about the 49ers
How often do 49ers games go over 45.5 points?
In 209 of 453 games since 2000 (46%). Every total from 30.5 to 50.5 is counted in the total section of this page.
How often do the 49ers win at home?
They have won 129 of 225 home games since 2000 (57%), and 99 of 228 away.
How often do the 49ers score more than 20.5 points?
In 243 of 453 games since 2000 (54%).
Are the numbers on this page predictions?
No. They are results from games already played, and each section says which games it counts.
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