Los Angeles Chargers at Miami Dolphins prediction
Win probabilities, projected score and this season's numbers, by SportHoot.
Los Angeles Chargers visit Miami Dolphins on Sun, Dec 27, 06:00 PM UTC. The model's forecast is below, with both teams' season side by side.
The probabilities are model estimates and change as new information arrives.
Los Angeles Chargers at Miami Dolphins prediction
NFL ·
Miami Dolphins 53% to win
- Miami Dolphins win53%
- Los Angeles Chargers win47%
A tie is under 1%.
Projected score: Miami Dolphins 20.2, Los Angeles Chargers 19.3
Forecast updated 2 Nov, 11:01 UTC · These are model estimates, not certainties: either team can win.
Game preview
Little separates them: the model has Miami Dolphins at 53% and Los Angeles Chargers at 47%. The projected score is Miami Dolphins 20.2, Los Angeles Chargers 19.3. Over 45.5 total points is at 33%. Every figure is an estimate, not a certainty: injuries, weather and team news can still change the picture.
Miami Dolphins and Los Angeles Chargers this season
2026 season so far; long-run rates since 2000.
| Stat | Miami Dolphins | Los Angeles Chargers |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-6 | 0-7 |
| Points scored per game | 16.7 | 14.1 |
| Points allowed per game | 25.9 | 25.0 |
| Games won since 2000 | 205 of 435 | 220 of 443 |
| Games over 45.5 points since 2000 | 163 of 435 | 209 of 443 |
| Scored over 20.5 since 2000 | 212 of 435 | 271 of 443 |
Total points and team points
The model's estimates for this game's point lines.
| Line | Estimate |
|---|---|
| Over 30.5 total points | 78% |
| Over 42.5 total points | 42% |
| Over 45.5 total points | 33% |
| Over 48.5 total points | 26% |
| Over 50.5 total points | 22% |
| Miami Dolphins over 14.5 points | 69% |
| Miami Dolphins over 20.5 points | 46% |
| Miami Dolphins over 24.5 points | 30% |
| Miami Dolphins over 27.5 points | 20% |
| Miami Dolphins over 30.5 points | 14% |
| Los Angeles Chargers over 14.5 points | 66% |
| Los Angeles Chargers over 20.5 points | 42% |
| Los Angeles Chargers over 24.5 points | 27% |
| Los Angeles Chargers over 27.5 points | 18% |
| Los Angeles Chargers over 30.5 points | 11% |
Questions
Who is favoured, Los Angeles Chargers or Miami Dolphins?
The model gives Miami Dolphins a 53% chance of winning and Los Angeles Chargers 47%. These are estimates, not certainties.
What is the projected score for Los Angeles Chargers at Miami Dolphins?
The model projects Miami Dolphins 20.2, Los Angeles Chargers 19.3.
How is this prediction made?
It is a model estimate from predictapp, built from both teams' games this season and in past seasons. This one was made 2 Nov, 11:01 UTC and is updated as new information arrives.
Is this a tip?
No. It is an estimate of how likely each result is, not advice to bet. What you do with it is your decision.
Have Los Angeles Chargers and Miami Dolphins played this season?
Not yet this season.
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