New England Patriots at Los Angeles Chargers prediction
Win probabilities, projected score and this season's numbers, by SportHoot.
New England Patriots visit Los Angeles Chargers on Mon, Nov 30, 01:20 AM UTC. The model's forecast is below, with both teams' season side by side.
The probabilities are model estimates and change as new information arrives.
New England Patriots at Los Angeles Chargers prediction
NFL ·
New England Patriots 70% to win
- Los Angeles Chargers win29%
- New England Patriots win70%
A tie is under 1%.
Projected score: Los Angeles Chargers 18.1, New England Patriots 24.7
Forecast updated 3 Nov, 11:01 UTC · These are model estimates, not certainties: either team can win.
Game preview
New England Patriots go in as clear favourites: the model gives them a 70% chance of winning, with Los Angeles Chargers at 29%. The projected score is Los Angeles Chargers 18.1, New England Patriots 24.7. Over 45.5 total points is at 39%. Every figure is an estimate, not a certainty: injuries, weather and team news can still change the picture.
Los Angeles Chargers and New England Patriots this season
2026 season so far; long-run rates since 2000.
| Stat | Los Angeles Chargers | New England Patriots |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-7 | 5-3 |
| Points scored per game | 14.1 | 23.0 |
| Points allowed per game | 25.0 | 20.3 |
| Games won since 2000 | 220 of 443 | 322 of 475 |
| Games over 45.5 points since 2000 | 209 of 443 | 225 of 475 |
| Scored over 20.5 since 2000 | 271 of 443 | 317 of 475 |
Total points and team points
The model's estimates for this game's point lines.
| Line | Estimate |
|---|---|
| Over 30.5 total points | 82% |
| Over 42.5 total points | 48% |
| Over 45.5 total points | 39% |
| Over 48.5 total points | 31% |
| Over 50.5 total points | 26% |
| Los Angeles Chargers over 14.5 points | 62% |
| Los Angeles Chargers over 20.5 points | 37% |
| Los Angeles Chargers over 24.5 points | 23% |
| Los Angeles Chargers over 27.5 points | 16% |
| Los Angeles Chargers over 30.5 points | 10% |
| New England Patriots over 14.5 points | 84% |
| New England Patriots over 20.5 points | 63% |
| New England Patriots over 24.5 points | 47% |
| New England Patriots over 27.5 points | 35% |
| New England Patriots over 30.5 points | 25% |
Questions
Who is favoured, New England Patriots or Los Angeles Chargers?
The model gives New England Patriots a 70% chance of winning and Los Angeles Chargers 29%. These are estimates, not certainties.
What is the projected score for New England Patriots at Los Angeles Chargers?
The model projects Los Angeles Chargers 18.1, New England Patriots 24.7.
How is this prediction made?
It is a model estimate from predictapp, built from both teams' games this season and in past seasons. This one was made 3 Nov, 11:01 UTC and is updated as new information arrives.
Is this a tip?
No. It is an estimate of how likely each result is, not advice to bet. What you do with it is your decision.
Have Los Angeles Chargers and New England Patriots played this season?
Not yet this season.
NFL and team names are used for identification only and are trademarks of their respective owners. SportHoot is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by the NFL or any team. Forecasts are model estimates for information only. 18+.