Washington Commanders at Minnesota Vikings prediction
Win probabilities, projected score and this season's numbers, by SportHoot.
Washington Commanders visit Minnesota Vikings on Sun, Dec 27, 06:00 PM UTC. The model's forecast is below, with both teams' season side by side.
The probabilities are model estimates and change as new information arrives.
Washington Commanders at Minnesota Vikings prediction
NFL ·
Minnesota Vikings 67% to win
- Minnesota Vikings win67%
- Washington Commanders win33%
A tie is under 1%.
Projected score: Minnesota Vikings 24.4, Washington Commanders 19.1
Forecast updated 2 Nov, 11:01 UTC · These are model estimates, not certainties: either team can win.
Game preview
Minnesota Vikings go in as clear favourites: the model gives them a 67% chance of winning, with Washington Commanders at 33%. The projected score is Minnesota Vikings 24.4, Washington Commanders 19.1. Over 45.5 total points is at 42%. Every figure is an estimate, not a certainty: injuries, weather and team news can still change the picture.
Minnesota Vikings and Washington Commanders this season
2026 season so far; long-run rates since 2000.
| Stat | Minnesota Vikings | Washington Commanders |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 6-1 | 2-4-1 |
| Points scored per game | 20.0 | 22.7 |
| Points allowed per game | 13.3 | 26.0 |
| Games won since 2000 | 234 of 443 | 180 of 437 |
| Games over 45.5 points since 2000 | 205 of 443 | 183 of 437 |
| Scored over 20.5 since 2000 | 261 of 443 | 187 of 437 |
Total points and team points
The model's estimates for this game's point lines.
| Line | Estimate |
|---|---|
| Over 30.5 total points | 85% |
| Over 42.5 total points | 51% |
| Over 45.5 total points | 42% |
| Over 48.5 total points | 34% |
| Over 50.5 total points | 29% |
| Minnesota Vikings over 14.5 points | 83% |
| Minnesota Vikings over 20.5 points | 63% |
| Minnesota Vikings over 24.5 points | 47% |
| Minnesota Vikings over 27.5 points | 35% |
| Minnesota Vikings over 30.5 points | 24% |
| Washington Commanders over 14.5 points | 65% |
| Washington Commanders over 20.5 points | 41% |
| Washington Commanders over 24.5 points | 26% |
| Washington Commanders over 27.5 points | 17% |
| Washington Commanders over 30.5 points | 11% |
Questions
Who is favoured, Washington Commanders or Minnesota Vikings?
The model gives Minnesota Vikings a 67% chance of winning and Washington Commanders 33%. These are estimates, not certainties.
What is the projected score for Washington Commanders at Minnesota Vikings?
The model projects Minnesota Vikings 24.4, Washington Commanders 19.1.
How is this prediction made?
It is a model estimate from predictapp, built from both teams' games this season and in past seasons. This one was made 2 Nov, 11:01 UTC and is updated as new information arrives.
Is this a tip?
No. It is an estimate of how likely each result is, not advice to bet. What you do with it is your decision.
Have Minnesota Vikings and Washington Commanders played this season?
Not yet this season.
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