New England Patriots at New York Jets prediction
Win probabilities, projected score and this season's numbers, by SportHoot.
New England Patriots visit New York Jets on Sun, Dec 27, 06:00 PM UTC. The model's forecast is below, with both teams' season side by side.
The probabilities are model estimates and change as new information arrives.
New England Patriots at New York Jets prediction
NFL ·
New England Patriots 62% to win
- New York Jets win38%
- New England Patriots win62%
A tie is under 1%.
Projected score: New York Jets 20.7, New England Patriots 24.3
Forecast updated 2 Nov, 11:01 UTC · These are model estimates, not certainties: either team can win.
Game preview
New England Patriots have the edge at 62%, but New York Jets are at 38%, so this is far from one-sided. The projected score is New York Jets 20.7, New England Patriots 24.3. Over 45.5 total points is at 48%. Every figure is an estimate, not a certainty: injuries, weather and team news can still change the picture.
New York Jets and New England Patriots this season
2026 season so far; long-run rates since 2000.
| Stat | New York Jets | New England Patriots |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-6 | 5-3 |
| Points scored per game | 21.3 | 23.0 |
| Points allowed per game | 23.5 | 20.3 |
| Games won since 2000 | 184 of 441 | 322 of 475 |
| Games over 45.5 points since 2000 | 160 of 441 | 225 of 475 |
| Scored over 20.5 since 2000 | 187 of 441 | 317 of 475 |
Meetings this season
- Week 6: New England Patriots 26-19 New York Jets
Total points and team points
The model's estimates for this game's point lines.
| Line | Estimate |
|---|---|
| Over 30.5 total points | 86% |
| Over 42.5 total points | 58% |
| Over 45.5 total points | 48% |
| Over 48.5 total points | 39% |
| Over 50.5 total points | 33% |
| New York Jets over 14.5 points | 71% |
| New York Jets over 20.5 points | 48% |
| New York Jets over 24.5 points | 32% |
| New York Jets over 27.5 points | 22% |
| New York Jets over 30.5 points | 15% |
| New England Patriots over 14.5 points | 83% |
| New England Patriots over 20.5 points | 62% |
| New England Patriots over 24.5 points | 46% |
| New England Patriots over 27.5 points | 34% |
| New England Patriots over 30.5 points | 23% |
Questions
Who is favoured, New England Patriots or New York Jets?
The model gives New England Patriots a 62% chance of winning and New York Jets 38%. These are estimates, not certainties.
What is the projected score for New England Patriots at New York Jets?
The model projects New York Jets 20.7, New England Patriots 24.3.
How is this prediction made?
It is a model estimate from predictapp, built from both teams' games this season and in past seasons. This one was made 2 Nov, 11:01 UTC and is updated as new information arrives.
Is this a tip?
No. It is an estimate of how likely each result is, not advice to bet. What you do with it is your decision.
Have New England Patriots and New York Jets played this season?
Yes, 1 times: Week 6: New England Patriots 26-19 New York Jets.
NFL and team names are used for identification only and are trademarks of their respective owners. SportHoot is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by the NFL or any team. Forecasts are model estimates for information only. 18+.