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Europa League: predictions, standings and stats

The numbers behind Europa League

Every table on this page is a past result over the dates shown, not a prediction.

Europa League next matches

  1. RennesOlympiacos F.C.

    · Rennes vs Olympiacos F.C.: head-to-head

    Home 45% · Draw 24% · Away 31%Full prediction
  2. AnderlechtSalzburg

    · Anderlecht vs Salzburg: head-to-head

    Home 41% · Draw 26% · Away 33%Full prediction
  3. Real SociedadLyon

    · Real Sociedad vs Lyon: head-to-head

    Home 46% · Draw 24% · Away 31%Full prediction
  4. Sparta PrahaAFC Bournemouth

    · Sparta Praha vs AFC Bournemouth: head-to-head

    Home 20% · Draw 22% · Away 58%Full prediction
  5. Crystal PalaceTSG Hoffenheim

    · Crystal Palace vs TSG Hoffenheim: head-to-head

    Home 43% · Draw 25% · Away 32%Full prediction
  6. AC MilanFerencvárosi

    · AC Milan vs Ferencvárosi: head-to-head

    Home 73% · Draw 17% · Away 10%Full prediction
  7. NEC NijmegenOmonia Nicosia

    · NEC Nijmegen vs Omonia Nicosia: head-to-head

    Home 55% · Draw 25% · Away 21%Full prediction
  8. Hapoel Be'er ShevaOFI

    · Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs OFI: head-to-head

    Home 57% · Draw 22% · Away 22%Full prediction
  9. Bayer LeverkusenMarseille

    · Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille: head-to-head

    Home 74% · Draw 14% · Away 12%Full prediction
  10. BenficaLech Poznań

    · Benfica vs Lech Poznań: head-to-head

    Home 80% · Draw 12% · Away 8%Full prediction
  11. SunderlandDinamo Zagreb

    · Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb: head-to-head

    Home 69% · Draw 18% · Away 14%Full prediction
  12. CelticBeşiktaş

    · Celtic vs Beşiktaş: head-to-head

    Home 21% · Draw 22% · Away 57%Full prediction
  13. Celta de VigoUnion Saint-Gilloise

    · Celta de Vigo vs Union Saint-Gilloise: head-to-head

    Home 25% · Draw 26% · Away 50%Full prediction
  14. AZJuventus

    · AZ vs Juventus: head-to-head

    Home 31% · Draw 27% · Away 42%Full prediction

Goals in Europa League

Over 2.5 Goals in the Europa League

Europa League over 2.5 goals rate across 2,482 fixtures: 54.39%. Average goals per match: 2.80. Over half of Europa League matches produce 3 or more goals, driven partly by group-stage mismatches. Knockout rounds tighten up, but the competition overall leans over on the 2.5 line.

Today's matches and what it means: Over 2.5 goals, Over 1.5 goals, Under 2.5 goals, Over 3.5 goals

Both teams to score in Europa League

BTTS in the Europa League

Europa League BTTS rate across 2,482 fixtures: 49.56%. Average goals per match: 2.80. Just under half of Europa League matches end with both teams scoring. The mix of mismatches in group stages and tighter knockout ties keeps the rate below most domestic leagues.

Today's matches and what it means: Both teams to score

Clean sheets in Europa League

Clean Sheet Predictions in the Europa League

Europa League clean sheet rate: 28.28% per team per fixture across 2,482 matches, or 0.57 clean sheets per match. The competition's mix of group-stage mismatches and cautious knockout legs produces a moderate clean sheet rate, similar to La Liga and Champions League.

Today's matches and what it means: Clean sheet

Europa League in numbers

Counted across 2,482 Europa League matches.

Both teams score
50%
Over 2.5 goals
54%
A team keeps a clean sheet
28%
Matches end in a draw
21%
Home wins
48%
Goals per match
2.80

Every Europa League club

Questions about Europa League

How are the Europa League forecasts made?

Each forecast is a model estimate built from calibrated probabilities and pre-match context: the expected goal difference (RWI), recent results, squad value and recent meetings. Every probability is tied to one fixture and the time it was produced.

Do the forecasts include draws in Europa League?

Yes. A draw is a real outcome in Europa League, so the full split always shows it. On a tight match you will see the draw sitting high, because that is what the numbers say.

What is the RWI?

RWI is the expected goal difference signal behind the soccer forecasts. It combines each team's attacking and defensive strength, the lineups, and how the league scores.

Is this a tipster? Do you give picks?

No. SportHoot publishes probabilities and statistics and explains what they mean. A probability is an estimate, not a promise, and you make your own decisions.

How do the forecasts compare to bookmakers?

The forecasting model was tested against bookmaker prices across several seasons and lands close to them overall. One deliberate difference is draws: the model shows a draw as the likeliest outcome more often than bookmakers do, because draws happen in about one match in four.

Is SportHoot affiliated with Europa League?

No. SportHoot is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by Europa League or any league named on the site. All league names are trademarks of their respective owners.

Home teams rule Europa League, until they don't

The home side wins 48% of Europa League matches, so you keep backing them. But 21% end in a draw, and the week the favorite slips it takes your bet with it. You never saw the real chance, or whether the price was fair. I spent years stuck right there.

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