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Over 2.5 goals: today's matches, stats and predictions

The numbers behind over 2.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals means three or more goals in the match, from either side. A 2-1 counts, a 1-1 does not.

Matches kicking off in the next 48 hours: 45. Each is below with both clubs' record.

Club and league figures on this page are past results with their match counts, not predictions.

Over 2.5 goals: matches in the next 48 hours

Matches with over 2.5 goals. Ordered by how often it happened across both clubs' last 12 months, most first. These are results, not predictions.

Each club's last 12 months, all competitions

  1. · Champions League

    Atlético de MadridOver 2.5 goals in 37 of 60 (62%)
    Bayern MunichOver 2.5 goals in 46 of 53 (87%)
    Atlético de Madrid vs Bayern Munich: head-to-head

  2. · Champions League

    Shakhtar DonetskNo record here
    Sporting CPOver 2.5 goals in 33 of 46 (72%)
    Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP: head-to-head

  3. · Champions League

    VillarrealOver 2.5 goals in 32 of 49 (65%)
    Paris Saint-GermainOver 2.5 goals in 37 of 50 (74%)
    Villarreal vs Paris Saint-Germain: head-to-head

  4. · Champions League

    BarcelonaOver 2.5 goals in 42 of 56 (75%)
    Aston VillaOver 2.5 goals in 34 of 55 (62%)
    Barcelona vs Aston Villa: head-to-head

  5. · Champions League

    GalatasarayOver 2.5 goals in 31 of 45 (69%)
    VfB StuttgartOver 2.5 goals in 34 of 51 (67%)
    Galatasaray vs VfB Stuttgart: head-to-head

  6. · Serie A

    SassuoloOver 2.5 goals in 24 of 38 (63%)
    FiorentinaOver 2.5 goals in 29 of 48 (60%)
    Sassuolo vs Fiorentina: head-to-head

  7. · Primera Division Peru

    Sport HuancayoOver 2.5 goals in 22 of 33 (67%)
    MelgarOver 2.5 goals in 18 of 32 (56%)
    Sport Huancayo vs Melgar: head-to-head

  8. · Primera Division Peru

    Sporting CristalOver 2.5 goals in 29 of 49 (59%)
    FC CajamarcaOver 2.5 goals in 20 of 31 (65%)
    Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca: head-to-head

  9. · Liga Portugal

    BenficaOver 2.5 goals in 35 of 49 (71%)
    AlvercaOver 2.5 goals in 15 of 33 (45%)
    Benfica vs Alverca: head-to-head

  10. · Superliga

    Universitatea ClujOver 2.5 goals in 26 of 42 (62%)
    FCSBOver 2.5 goals in 27 of 46 (59%)
    Universitatea Cluj vs FCSB: head-to-head

  11. · Champions League

    FeyenoordOver 2.5 goals in 26 of 42 (62%)
    Inter MilanOver 2.5 goals in 28 of 48 (58%)
    Feyenoord vs Inter Milan: head-to-head

  12. · Premier League

    Newcastle UnitedOver 2.5 goals in 34 of 49 (69%)
    EvertonOver 2.5 goals in 15 of 38 (39%)
    Newcastle United vs Everton: head-to-head

  13. · Primera Division Chile

    Deportes LimacheOver 2.5 goals in 20 of 30 (67%)
    Audax ItalianoOver 2.5 goals in 17 of 36 (47%)
    Deportes Limache vs Audax Italiano: head-to-head

  14. · Copa del Rey

    Anaitasuna FTNo record here
    Deportivo AlavésOver 2.5 goals in 24 of 43 (56%)
    Anaitasuna FT vs Deportivo Alavés: head-to-head

  15. · Liga BetPlay

    Atlético BucaramangaOver 2.5 goals in 21 of 44 (48%)
    Atlético NacionalOver 2.5 goals in 31 of 50 (62%)
    Atlético Bucaramanga vs Atlético Nacional: head-to-head

  16. · Superliga

    VoluntariOver 2.5 goals in 10 of 13 (77%)
    Farul ConstanțaOver 2.5 goals in 18 of 38 (47%)
    Voluntari vs Farul Constanța: head-to-head

  17. · Liga Pro Ecuador

    OrenseOver 2.5 goals in 25 of 42 (60%)
    Técnico UniversitarioOver 2.5 goals in 17 of 37 (46%)
    Orense vs Técnico Universitario: head-to-head

  18. · Super League Greece

    AtromitosOver 2.5 goals in 19 of 34 (56%)
    Volos NFCOver 2.5 goals in 15 of 31 (48%)
    Atromitos vs Volos NFC: head-to-head

  19. · Super Lig

    GençlerbirliğiOver 2.5 goals in 17 of 32 (53%)
    AlanyasporOver 2.5 goals in 17 of 33 (52%)
    Gençlerbirliği vs Alanyaspor: head-to-head

  20. · Champions League

    Manchester UnitedOver 2.5 goals in 23 of 41 (56%)
    RomaOver 2.5 goals in 24 of 49 (49%)
    Manchester United vs Roma: head-to-head
Show all 45 matches

  1. · Primera Division Uruguay

    AlbionOver 2.5 goals in 20 of 34 (59%)
    Deportivo MaldonadoOver 2.5 goals in 15 of 34 (44%)
    Albion vs Deportivo Maldonado: head-to-head

  2. · Liga BetPlay

    Deportivo PastoOver 2.5 goals in 19 of 39 (49%)
    Jaguares de CórdobaOver 2.5 goals in 19 of 35 (54%)
    Deportivo Pasto vs Jaguares de Córdoba: head-to-head

  3. · Primera Division Peru

    UTC CajamarcaOver 2.5 goals in 21 of 34 (62%)
    Deportivo GarcilasoOver 2.5 goals in 13 of 33 (39%)
    UTC Cajamarca vs Deportivo Garcilaso: head-to-head

  4. · Super League Greece

    KalamataOver 2.5 goals in 5 of 8 (63%)
    Iraklis ThessalonikiOver 2.5 goals in 3 of 8 (38%)
    Kalamata vs Iraklis Thessaloniki: head-to-head

  5. · Brasileirao Serie A

    BragantinoOver 2.5 goals in 21 of 51 (41%)
    SantosOver 2.5 goals in 31 of 53 (58%)
    Bragantino vs Santos: head-to-head

  6. · Primera Division Peru

    Alianza LimaOver 2.5 goals in 16 of 37 (43%)
    CiencianoOver 2.5 goals in 26 of 47 (55%)
    Alianza Lima vs Cienciano: head-to-head

  7. · Liga BetPlay

    Rionegro ÁguilasOver 2.5 goals in 18 of 37 (49%)
    Fortaleza CEIFOver 2.5 goals in 21 of 43 (49%)
    Rionegro Águilas vs Fortaleza CEIF: head-to-head

  8. · La Liga

    Deportivo A CoruñaOver 2.5 goals in 4 of 14 (29%)
    OsasunaOver 2.5 goals in 23 of 42 (55%)
    Deportivo A Coruña vs Osasuna: head-to-head

  9. · Liga Portugal

    Gil VicenteOver 2.5 goals in 18 of 34 (53%)
    Vitória GuimarãesOver 2.5 goals in 14 of 33 (42%)
    Gil Vicente vs Vitória Guimarães: head-to-head

  10. · Brasileirao Serie A

    ChapecoenseOver 2.5 goals in 19 of 32 (59%)
    MirassolOver 2.5 goals in 19 of 48 (40%)
    Chapecoense vs Mirassol: head-to-head

  11. · Liga Profesional de Futbol

    Independiente RivadaviaOver 2.5 goals in 21 of 41 (51%)
    BanfieldOver 2.5 goals in 14 of 33 (42%)
    Independiente Rivadavia vs Banfield: head-to-head

  12. · Brasileirao Serie A

    InternacionalOver 2.5 goals in 19 of 41 (46%)
    CoritibaOver 2.5 goals in 16 of 33 (48%)
    Internacional vs Coritiba: head-to-head

  13. · Primera Division Peru

    Comerciantes UnidosOver 2.5 goals in 17 of 33 (52%)
    ADTOver 2.5 goals in 14 of 33 (42%)
    Comerciantes Unidos vs ADT: head-to-head

  14. · Ligue 1

    LorientOver 2.5 goals in 13 of 32 (41%)
    BrestOver 2.5 goals in 17 of 32 (53%)
    Lorient vs Brest: head-to-head

  15. · Liga de Futbol Bolivia

    Real TomayapoOver 2.5 goals in 13 of 30 (43%)
    BloomingOver 2.5 goals in 18 of 37 (49%)
    Real Tomayapo vs Blooming: head-to-head

  16. · Serie A

    AtalantaOver 2.5 goals in 26 of 50 (52%)
    ParmaOver 2.5 goals in 14 of 38 (37%)
    Atalanta vs Parma: head-to-head

  17. · Primera Division Chile

    ConcepcionOver 2.5 goals in 8 of 25 (32%)
    PalestinoOver 2.5 goals in 20 of 37 (54%)
    Concepcion vs Palestino: head-to-head

  18. · Division 1 Paraguay

    2 de MayoOver 2.5 goals in 19 of 46 (41%)
    Sportivo TrinidenseOver 2.5 goals in 21 of 43 (49%)
    2 de Mayo vs Sportivo Trinidense: head-to-head

  19. · Liga BetPlay

    Deportivo PereiraOver 2.5 goals in 16 of 37 (43%)
    Deportes TolimaOver 2.5 goals in 25 of 61 (41%)
    Deportivo Pereira vs Deportes Tolima: head-to-head

  20. · Liga Pro Ecuador

    Mushuc RunaOver 2.5 goals in 18 of 37 (49%)
    MantaOver 2.5 goals in 13 of 38 (34%)
    Mushuc Runa vs Manta: head-to-head

  21. · Liga Profesional de Futbol

    Defensa y JusticiaOver 2.5 goals in 14 of 33 (42%)
    IndependienteOver 2.5 goals in 11 of 33 (33%)
    Defensa y Justicia vs Independiente: head-to-head

  22. · Division 1 Paraguay

    Nacional AsunciónOver 2.5 goals in 15 of 43 (35%)
    Sportivo San LorenzoOver 2.5 goals in 16 of 39 (41%)
    Nacional Asunción vs Sportivo San Lorenzo: head-to-head

  23. · Liga Profesional de Futbol

    Atlético TucumánOver 2.5 goals in 15 of 32 (47%)
    Argentinos JuniorsOver 2.5 goals in 11 of 39 (28%)
    Atlético Tucumán vs Argentinos Juniors: head-to-head

  24. · Liga Profesional de Futbol

    PlatenseOver 2.5 goals in 15 of 43 (35%)
    Central Cordoba SdEOver 2.5 goals in 12 of 35 (34%)
    Platense vs Central Cordoba SdE: head-to-head

  25. · Champions League

    Bodø / GlimtNo record here
    LOSC LilleOver 2.5 goals in 15 of 45 (33%)
    Bodø / Glimt vs LOSC Lille: head-to-head

Over 2.5 goals by league

Share of matches with over 2.5 goals

Leagues ranked on over 2.5 goals, with the share of matches and the number of matches counted
LeagueShare of matchesMatches counted
Bundesliga61.6%2,520
Eredivisie60.2%2,500
MLS59.2%4,162
Liga de Futbol Bolivia59.0%2,448
Belgian Pro League56.2%2,515
Saudi Pro League55.7%2,222
Premier League54.6%3,129
Super Lig53.1%2,841
Ligue 152.4%2,796
Serie A52.3%3,139
Liga MX51.5%2,763
Primera Division Chile50.2%2,177
Primera Division Peru49.7%2,790
Liga Portugal49.2%2,535
Liga Pro Ecuador47.4%2,041
La Liga47.1%3,148
Division 1 Paraguay47.0%2,201
Super League Greece46.0%1,971
Primera Division Uruguay45.1%2,570
Brasileirao Serie A43.9%3,369
Superliga43.3%2,536
Liga BetPlay40.4%3,645
Liga Profesional de Futbol38.0%3,555

League figures count every match on record in that league, so they reach further back than the club figures.

Over 2.5 goals: the clubs at both ends

Matches with over 2.5 goals. Clubs with at least 15 matches in the last 12 months, all competitions.

Most often

The ten clubs where it happened most often
ClubLeagueMatches
Bayern MunichBundesliga46 of 53 (87%)
Club BruggeBelgian Pro League39 of 47 (83%)
Orlando CityMLS29 of 36 (81%)
Real OruroLiga de Futbol Bolivia24 of 30 (80%)
Sporting KCMLS26 of 33 (79%)
PSVEredivisie33 of 42 (79%)
GuabiráLiga de Futbol Bolivia25 of 32 (78%)
Inter MiamiMLS32 of 42 (76%)
Portland TimbersMLS28 of 37 (76%)
BarcelonaLa Liga42 of 56 (75%)

Least often

The ten clubs where it happened least often
ClubLeagueMatches
Deportivo RiestraLiga Profesional de Futbol7 of 40 (18%)
San LorenzoLiga Profesional de Futbol8 of 41 (20%)
ArgeşSuperliga10 of 39 (26%)
Olympiacos F.C.Super League Greece12 of 44 (27%)
Argentinos JuniorsLiga Profesional de Futbol11 of 39 (28%)
Vélez SarsfieldLiga Profesional de Futbol10 of 35 (29%)
Deportivo CaliLiga BetPlay11 of 38 (29%)
Barracas CentralLiga Profesional de Futbol12 of 41 (29%)
Cerro LargoPrimera Division Uruguay11 of 37 (30%)
KocaelisporSuper Lig10 of 33 (30%)

How the model has done on over 2.5 goals

Matches from Aug 1, 2022 to Nov 2, 2026

What the forecasting model said before each match, set against what happened. Finished matches only. Every confidence band with at least 100 matches is shown.

Over 2.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals: what the model said, how many times it happened and how many matches
Model saidOn averageIt happenedMatches
20-30%28%99 (31%)323
30-40%36%2,321 (38%)6,072
40-50%45%7,107 (47%)15,242
50-60%55%7,984 (56%)14,233
60-70%64%4,411 (66%)6,723
70-80%73%814 (70%)1,164
80-90%83%87 (79%)110
See the full record

Over 2.5 goals: what it means

Over 2.5 goals means three or more goals in the match, from either side. A 2-1 counts, a 1-1 does not.

Why does the over keep letting you down?

Two attacking teams, so you took the over 2.5. It finished 1-1 and you lost, and you could not tell if it was a bad read or just luck. The problem is not the pick. It is that you never saw the real chance of three goals, or whether the price was fair. That is what the numbers on this page are for.

How the over/under number is worked out

The model does not guess the goal total. It reads it, and here is how.

  • ›It reads how many goals each team is likely to score, home and away, using RWI plus pre-match features
  • ›It adds the two together for the match total, instead of treating the total as one blurry number
  • ›The over/under chance comes out calibrated to real results, for 2.5 and the other lines
  • ›Every over/under chance comes with its fair price, so you know when the price is worth taking

Over 2.5 goals: questions

What does over 2.5 goals mean?

Over 2.5 goals means the combined total in the match is 3 or more. The .5 removes any tie on the line: you either clear 3 goals (over) or stay at 2 or fewer (under). Winning over scores start at 2-1, 3-0, or 2-2.

How are over/under goals forecasts made?

The model reads how many goals each team is likely to score, separately, using RWI ratings and pre-match features, then adds them for the match total. The result is a over/under probability, calibrated to real results.

What is a team total in soccer?

A team total is how many goals one specific team scores, not the match total. Over 1.5 for the home team means that team alone scores 2 or more. The model reads home and away scoring separately, so it can give a team total for every match too.

Does extra time count for over 2.5 goals?

No. Over/under covers regulation time only, 90 minutes plus the stoppage time the referee adds. Goals in extra time or penalties do not count.

Is this a tipster? Do you give picks?

No. SportHoot shows the probability and explains it. A probability is an estimate, not a pick, and you make your own decisions.

Is SportHoot affiliated with any league?

No. SportHoot is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or officially connected to any soccer league or governing body. All league names are trademarks of their respective owners.

Club and competition names are used for identification only and are trademarks of their respective owners. SportHoot is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by them. Club and league tables on this page are past results, not predictions.