Under 2.5 goals: today's matches, stats and predictions
The numbers behind under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals means two goals or fewer in the match. A 1-1 counts, a 2-1 does not.
Matches kicking off in the next 48 hours: 45. Each is below with both clubs' record.
Club and league figures on this page are past results with their match counts, not predictions.
Under 2.5 goals: matches in the next 48 hours
Matches with under 2.5 goals. Ordered by how often it happened across both clubs' last 12 months, most first. These are results, not predictions.
Each club's last 12 months, all competitions
· Champions League
Bodø / GlimtNo record hereLOSC LilleUnder 2.5 goals in 30 of 45 (67%)· Liga Profesional de Futbol
PlatenseUnder 2.5 goals in 28 of 43 (65%)Central Cordoba SdEUnder 2.5 goals in 23 of 35 (66%)· Liga Profesional de Futbol
Atlético TucumánUnder 2.5 goals in 17 of 32 (53%)Argentinos JuniorsUnder 2.5 goals in 28 of 39 (72%)· Division 1 Paraguay
Nacional AsunciónUnder 2.5 goals in 28 of 43 (65%)Sportivo San LorenzoUnder 2.5 goals in 23 of 39 (59%)· Liga Profesional de Futbol
Defensa y JusticiaUnder 2.5 goals in 19 of 33 (58%)IndependienteUnder 2.5 goals in 22 of 33 (67%)· Liga Pro Ecuador
Mushuc RunaUnder 2.5 goals in 19 of 37 (51%)MantaUnder 2.5 goals in 25 of 38 (66%)· Liga BetPlay
Deportivo PereiraUnder 2.5 goals in 21 of 37 (57%)Deportes TolimaUnder 2.5 goals in 36 of 61 (59%)· Division 1 Paraguay
2 de MayoUnder 2.5 goals in 27 of 46 (59%)Sportivo TrinidenseUnder 2.5 goals in 22 of 43 (51%)· Primera Division Chile
ConcepcionUnder 2.5 goals in 17 of 25 (68%)PalestinoUnder 2.5 goals in 17 of 37 (46%)· Serie A
· Liga de Futbol Bolivia
Real TomayapoUnder 2.5 goals in 17 of 30 (57%)BloomingUnder 2.5 goals in 19 of 37 (51%)· Ligue 1
· Primera Division Peru
Comerciantes UnidosUnder 2.5 goals in 16 of 33 (48%)ADTUnder 2.5 goals in 19 of 33 (58%)· Liga Profesional de Futbol
Independiente RivadaviaUnder 2.5 goals in 20 of 41 (49%)BanfieldUnder 2.5 goals in 19 of 33 (58%)· Brasileirao Serie A
InternacionalUnder 2.5 goals in 22 of 41 (54%)CoritibaUnder 2.5 goals in 17 of 33 (52%)· Brasileirao Serie A
ChapecoenseUnder 2.5 goals in 13 of 32 (41%)MirassolUnder 2.5 goals in 29 of 48 (60%)· Liga Portugal
Gil VicenteUnder 2.5 goals in 16 of 34 (47%)Vitória GuimarãesUnder 2.5 goals in 19 of 33 (58%)· La Liga
Deportivo A CoruñaUnder 2.5 goals in 10 of 14 (71%)OsasunaUnder 2.5 goals in 19 of 42 (45%)· Liga BetPlay
Rionegro ÁguilasUnder 2.5 goals in 19 of 37 (51%)Fortaleza CEIFUnder 2.5 goals in 22 of 43 (51%)· Super League Greece
KalamataUnder 2.5 goals in 3 of 8 (38%)Iraklis ThessalonikiUnder 2.5 goals in 5 of 8 (63%)
Show all 45 matches
· Brasileirao Serie A
BragantinoUnder 2.5 goals in 30 of 51 (59%)SantosUnder 2.5 goals in 22 of 53 (42%)· Primera Division Peru
Alianza LimaUnder 2.5 goals in 21 of 37 (57%)CiencianoUnder 2.5 goals in 21 of 47 (45%)· Primera Division Peru
UTC CajamarcaUnder 2.5 goals in 13 of 34 (38%)Deportivo GarcilasoUnder 2.5 goals in 20 of 33 (61%)· Liga BetPlay
Deportivo PastoUnder 2.5 goals in 20 of 39 (51%)Jaguares de CórdobaUnder 2.5 goals in 16 of 35 (46%)· Primera Division Uruguay
AlbionUnder 2.5 goals in 14 of 34 (41%)Deportivo MaldonadoUnder 2.5 goals in 19 of 34 (56%)· Champions League
Manchester UnitedUnder 2.5 goals in 18 of 41 (44%)RomaUnder 2.5 goals in 25 of 49 (51%)· Super League Greece
· Super Lig
GençlerbirliğiUnder 2.5 goals in 15 of 32 (47%)AlanyasporUnder 2.5 goals in 16 of 33 (48%)· Liga Pro Ecuador
OrenseUnder 2.5 goals in 17 of 42 (40%)Técnico UniversitarioUnder 2.5 goals in 20 of 37 (54%)· Superliga
VoluntariUnder 2.5 goals in 3 of 13 (23%)Farul ConstanțaUnder 2.5 goals in 20 of 38 (53%)· Liga BetPlay
Atlético BucaramangaUnder 2.5 goals in 23 of 44 (52%)Atlético NacionalUnder 2.5 goals in 19 of 50 (38%)· Copa del Rey
Anaitasuna FTNo record hereDeportivo AlavésUnder 2.5 goals in 19 of 43 (44%)· Primera Division Chile
Deportes LimacheUnder 2.5 goals in 10 of 30 (33%)Audax ItalianoUnder 2.5 goals in 19 of 36 (53%)· Premier League
Newcastle UnitedUnder 2.5 goals in 15 of 49 (31%)EvertonUnder 2.5 goals in 23 of 38 (61%)· Champions League
FeyenoordUnder 2.5 goals in 16 of 42 (38%)Inter MilanUnder 2.5 goals in 20 of 48 (42%)· Superliga
Universitatea ClujUnder 2.5 goals in 16 of 42 (38%)FCSBUnder 2.5 goals in 19 of 46 (41%)· Liga Portugal
· Primera Division Peru
Sporting CristalUnder 2.5 goals in 20 of 49 (41%)FC CajamarcaUnder 2.5 goals in 11 of 31 (35%)· Primera Division Peru
Sport HuancayoUnder 2.5 goals in 11 of 33 (33%)MelgarUnder 2.5 goals in 14 of 32 (44%)· Serie A
SassuoloUnder 2.5 goals in 14 of 38 (37%)FiorentinaUnder 2.5 goals in 19 of 48 (40%)· Champions League
GalatasarayUnder 2.5 goals in 14 of 45 (31%)VfB StuttgartUnder 2.5 goals in 17 of 51 (33%)· Champions League
BarcelonaUnder 2.5 goals in 14 of 56 (25%)Aston VillaUnder 2.5 goals in 21 of 55 (38%)· Champions League
VillarrealUnder 2.5 goals in 17 of 49 (35%)Paris Saint-GermainUnder 2.5 goals in 13 of 50 (26%)· Champions League
Shakhtar DonetskNo record hereSporting CPUnder 2.5 goals in 13 of 46 (28%)· Champions League
Atlético de MadridUnder 2.5 goals in 23 of 60 (38%)Bayern MunichUnder 2.5 goals in 7 of 53 (13%)
Under 2.5 goals by league
Share of matches with under 2.5 goals
| League | Share of matches | Matches counted |
|---|---|---|
| Liga Profesional de Futbol | 62.1% | 3,555 |
| Liga BetPlay | 59.6% | 3,645 |
| Superliga | 56.7% | 2,536 |
| Brasileirao Serie A | 56.1% | 3,369 |
| Primera Division Uruguay | 54.9% | 2,570 |
| Super League Greece | 54.0% | 1,971 |
| Division 1 Paraguay | 53.0% | 2,201 |
| La Liga | 53.0% | 3,148 |
| Liga Pro Ecuador | 52.6% | 2,041 |
| Liga Portugal | 50.8% | 2,535 |
| Primera Division Peru | 50.3% | 2,790 |
| Primera Division Chile | 49.8% | 2,177 |
| Liga MX | 48.5% | 2,763 |
| Serie A | 47.7% | 3,139 |
| Ligue 1 | 47.6% | 2,796 |
| Super Lig | 46.9% | 2,841 |
| Premier League | 45.4% | 3,129 |
| Saudi Pro League | 44.3% | 2,222 |
| Belgian Pro League | 43.8% | 2,515 |
| Liga de Futbol Bolivia | 41.0% | 2,448 |
| MLS | 40.8% | 4,162 |
| Eredivisie | 39.8% | 2,500 |
| Bundesliga | 38.4% | 2,520 |
League figures count every match on record in that league, so they reach further back than the club figures.
Under 2.5 goals: the clubs at both ends
Matches with under 2.5 goals. Clubs with at least 15 matches in the last 12 months, all competitions.
Most often
| Club | League | Matches |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Riestra | Liga Profesional de Futbol | 33 of 40 (83%) |
| San Lorenzo | Liga Profesional de Futbol | 33 of 41 (80%) |
| Argeş | Superliga | 29 of 39 (74%) |
| Olympiacos F.C. | Super League Greece | 32 of 44 (73%) |
| Argentinos Juniors | Liga Profesional de Futbol | 28 of 39 (72%) |
| Vélez Sarsfield | Liga Profesional de Futbol | 25 of 35 (71%) |
| Deportivo Cali | Liga BetPlay | 27 of 38 (71%) |
| Barracas Central | Liga Profesional de Futbol | 29 of 41 (71%) |
| Cerro Largo | Primera Division Uruguay | 26 of 37 (70%) |
| Kocaelispor | Super Lig | 23 of 33 (70%) |
Least often
| Club | League | Matches |
|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich | Bundesliga | 7 of 53 (13%) |
| Club Brugge | Belgian Pro League | 8 of 47 (17%) |
| Orlando City | MLS | 7 of 36 (19%) |
| Real Oruro | Liga de Futbol Bolivia | 6 of 30 (20%) |
| Sporting KC | MLS | 7 of 33 (21%) |
| PSV | Eredivisie | 9 of 42 (21%) |
| Guabirá | Liga de Futbol Bolivia | 7 of 32 (22%) |
| Inter Miami | MLS | 10 of 42 (24%) |
| Portland Timbers | MLS | 9 of 37 (24%) |
| Barcelona | La Liga | 14 of 56 (25%) |
How the model has done on under 2.5 goals
Matches from Aug 1, 2022 to Nov 2, 2026
What the forecasting model said before each match, set against what happened. Finished matches only. Every confidence band with at least 100 matches is shown.
Under 2.5 goals
| Model said | On average | It happened | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20% | 17% | 23 (21%) | 110 |
| 20-30% | 27% | 350 (30%) | 1,164 |
| 30-40% | 36% | 2,312 (34%) | 6,723 |
| 40-50% | 45% | 6,249 (44%) | 14,233 |
| 50-60% | 55% | 8,135 (53%) | 15,242 |
| 60-70% | 64% | 3,751 (62%) | 6,072 |
| 70-80% | 72% | 224 (69%) | 323 |
Under 2.5 goals: what it means
Under 2.5 goals means two goals or fewer in the match. A 1-1 counts, a 2-1 does not.
It is the other side of over 2.5: every match is one or the other. Some leagues and some clubs sit well on the low side, and the tables above show which.
The counts are each club's matches with two goals or fewer. The forecasting model gives a figure for this line on every match, and the record table shows how those figures have held up.
Under 2.5 goals: questions
Does a 1-1 count as under 2.5 goals?
Yes. Two goals in total stay under the line. A third goal, from either side, takes the match over.
Is under 2.5 the opposite of over 2.5?
Yes. Every match lands on one side. A club's under 2.5 count is its matches minus its over 2.5 count.
Are the club figures on this page predictions?
No. They are how many of each club's matches had under 2.5 goals over its last 12 months.
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