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Under 2.5 goals: today's matches, stats and predictions

The numbers behind under 2.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals means two goals or fewer in the match. A 1-1 counts, a 2-1 does not.

Matches kicking off in the next 48 hours: 45. Each is below with both clubs' record.

Club and league figures on this page are past results with their match counts, not predictions.

Under 2.5 goals: matches in the next 48 hours

Matches with under 2.5 goals. Ordered by how often it happened across both clubs' last 12 months, most first. These are results, not predictions.

Each club's last 12 months, all competitions

  1. · Champions League

    Bodø / GlimtNo record here
    LOSC LilleUnder 2.5 goals in 30 of 45 (67%)
  2. · Liga Profesional de Futbol

    PlatenseUnder 2.5 goals in 28 of 43 (65%)
    Central Cordoba SdEUnder 2.5 goals in 23 of 35 (66%)
  3. · Liga Profesional de Futbol

    Atlético TucumánUnder 2.5 goals in 17 of 32 (53%)
    Argentinos JuniorsUnder 2.5 goals in 28 of 39 (72%)
  4. · Division 1 Paraguay

    Nacional AsunciónUnder 2.5 goals in 28 of 43 (65%)
    Sportivo San LorenzoUnder 2.5 goals in 23 of 39 (59%)
  5. · Liga Profesional de Futbol

    Defensa y JusticiaUnder 2.5 goals in 19 of 33 (58%)
    IndependienteUnder 2.5 goals in 22 of 33 (67%)
  6. · Liga Pro Ecuador

    Mushuc RunaUnder 2.5 goals in 19 of 37 (51%)
    MantaUnder 2.5 goals in 25 of 38 (66%)
  7. · Liga BetPlay

    Deportivo PereiraUnder 2.5 goals in 21 of 37 (57%)
    Deportes TolimaUnder 2.5 goals in 36 of 61 (59%)
  8. · Division 1 Paraguay

    2 de MayoUnder 2.5 goals in 27 of 46 (59%)
    Sportivo TrinidenseUnder 2.5 goals in 22 of 43 (51%)
  9. · Primera Division Chile

    ConcepcionUnder 2.5 goals in 17 of 25 (68%)
    PalestinoUnder 2.5 goals in 17 of 37 (46%)
  10. · Serie A

    AtalantaUnder 2.5 goals in 24 of 50 (48%)
    ParmaUnder 2.5 goals in 24 of 38 (63%)
  11. · Liga de Futbol Bolivia

    Real TomayapoUnder 2.5 goals in 17 of 30 (57%)
    BloomingUnder 2.5 goals in 19 of 37 (51%)
  12. · Ligue 1

    LorientUnder 2.5 goals in 19 of 32 (59%)
    BrestUnder 2.5 goals in 15 of 32 (47%)
  13. · Primera Division Peru

    Comerciantes UnidosUnder 2.5 goals in 16 of 33 (48%)
    ADTUnder 2.5 goals in 19 of 33 (58%)
  14. · Liga Profesional de Futbol

    Independiente RivadaviaUnder 2.5 goals in 20 of 41 (49%)
    BanfieldUnder 2.5 goals in 19 of 33 (58%)
  15. · Brasileirao Serie A

    InternacionalUnder 2.5 goals in 22 of 41 (54%)
    CoritibaUnder 2.5 goals in 17 of 33 (52%)
  16. · Brasileirao Serie A

    ChapecoenseUnder 2.5 goals in 13 of 32 (41%)
    MirassolUnder 2.5 goals in 29 of 48 (60%)
  17. · Liga Portugal

    Gil VicenteUnder 2.5 goals in 16 of 34 (47%)
    Vitória GuimarãesUnder 2.5 goals in 19 of 33 (58%)
  18. · La Liga

    Deportivo A CoruñaUnder 2.5 goals in 10 of 14 (71%)
    OsasunaUnder 2.5 goals in 19 of 42 (45%)
  19. · Liga BetPlay

    Rionegro ÁguilasUnder 2.5 goals in 19 of 37 (51%)
    Fortaleza CEIFUnder 2.5 goals in 22 of 43 (51%)
  20. · Super League Greece

    KalamataUnder 2.5 goals in 3 of 8 (38%)
    Iraklis ThessalonikiUnder 2.5 goals in 5 of 8 (63%)
Show all 45 matches
  1. · Brasileirao Serie A

    BragantinoUnder 2.5 goals in 30 of 51 (59%)
    SantosUnder 2.5 goals in 22 of 53 (42%)
  2. · Primera Division Peru

    Alianza LimaUnder 2.5 goals in 21 of 37 (57%)
    CiencianoUnder 2.5 goals in 21 of 47 (45%)
  3. · Primera Division Peru

    UTC CajamarcaUnder 2.5 goals in 13 of 34 (38%)
    Deportivo GarcilasoUnder 2.5 goals in 20 of 33 (61%)
  4. · Liga BetPlay

    Deportivo PastoUnder 2.5 goals in 20 of 39 (51%)
    Jaguares de CórdobaUnder 2.5 goals in 16 of 35 (46%)
  5. · Primera Division Uruguay

    AlbionUnder 2.5 goals in 14 of 34 (41%)
    Deportivo MaldonadoUnder 2.5 goals in 19 of 34 (56%)
  6. · Champions League

    Manchester UnitedUnder 2.5 goals in 18 of 41 (44%)
    RomaUnder 2.5 goals in 25 of 49 (51%)
  7. · Super League Greece

    AtromitosUnder 2.5 goals in 15 of 34 (44%)
    Volos NFCUnder 2.5 goals in 16 of 31 (52%)
  8. · Super Lig

    GençlerbirliğiUnder 2.5 goals in 15 of 32 (47%)
    AlanyasporUnder 2.5 goals in 16 of 33 (48%)
  9. · Liga Pro Ecuador

    OrenseUnder 2.5 goals in 17 of 42 (40%)
    Técnico UniversitarioUnder 2.5 goals in 20 of 37 (54%)
  10. · Superliga

    VoluntariUnder 2.5 goals in 3 of 13 (23%)
    Farul ConstanțaUnder 2.5 goals in 20 of 38 (53%)
  11. · Liga BetPlay

    Atlético BucaramangaUnder 2.5 goals in 23 of 44 (52%)
    Atlético NacionalUnder 2.5 goals in 19 of 50 (38%)
  12. · Copa del Rey

    Anaitasuna FTNo record here
    Deportivo AlavésUnder 2.5 goals in 19 of 43 (44%)
  13. · Primera Division Chile

    Deportes LimacheUnder 2.5 goals in 10 of 30 (33%)
    Audax ItalianoUnder 2.5 goals in 19 of 36 (53%)
  14. · Premier League

    Newcastle UnitedUnder 2.5 goals in 15 of 49 (31%)
    EvertonUnder 2.5 goals in 23 of 38 (61%)
  15. · Champions League

    FeyenoordUnder 2.5 goals in 16 of 42 (38%)
    Inter MilanUnder 2.5 goals in 20 of 48 (42%)
  16. · Superliga

    Universitatea ClujUnder 2.5 goals in 16 of 42 (38%)
    FCSBUnder 2.5 goals in 19 of 46 (41%)
  17. · Liga Portugal

    BenficaUnder 2.5 goals in 14 of 49 (29%)
    AlvercaUnder 2.5 goals in 18 of 33 (55%)
  18. · Primera Division Peru

    Sporting CristalUnder 2.5 goals in 20 of 49 (41%)
    FC CajamarcaUnder 2.5 goals in 11 of 31 (35%)
  19. · Primera Division Peru

    Sport HuancayoUnder 2.5 goals in 11 of 33 (33%)
    MelgarUnder 2.5 goals in 14 of 32 (44%)
  20. · Serie A

    SassuoloUnder 2.5 goals in 14 of 38 (37%)
    FiorentinaUnder 2.5 goals in 19 of 48 (40%)
  21. · Champions League

    GalatasarayUnder 2.5 goals in 14 of 45 (31%)
    VfB StuttgartUnder 2.5 goals in 17 of 51 (33%)
  22. · Champions League

    BarcelonaUnder 2.5 goals in 14 of 56 (25%)
    Aston VillaUnder 2.5 goals in 21 of 55 (38%)
  23. · Champions League

    VillarrealUnder 2.5 goals in 17 of 49 (35%)
    Paris Saint-GermainUnder 2.5 goals in 13 of 50 (26%)
  24. · Champions League

    Shakhtar DonetskNo record here
    Sporting CPUnder 2.5 goals in 13 of 46 (28%)
  25. · Champions League

    Atlético de MadridUnder 2.5 goals in 23 of 60 (38%)
    Bayern MunichUnder 2.5 goals in 7 of 53 (13%)

Under 2.5 goals by league

Share of matches with under 2.5 goals

Leagues ranked on under 2.5 goals, with the share of matches and the number of matches counted
LeagueShare of matchesMatches counted
Liga Profesional de Futbol62.1%3,555
Liga BetPlay59.6%3,645
Superliga56.7%2,536
Brasileirao Serie A56.1%3,369
Primera Division Uruguay54.9%2,570
Super League Greece54.0%1,971
Division 1 Paraguay53.0%2,201
La Liga53.0%3,148
Liga Pro Ecuador52.6%2,041
Liga Portugal50.8%2,535
Primera Division Peru50.3%2,790
Primera Division Chile49.8%2,177
Liga MX48.5%2,763
Serie A47.7%3,139
Ligue 147.6%2,796
Super Lig46.9%2,841
Premier League45.4%3,129
Saudi Pro League44.3%2,222
Belgian Pro League43.8%2,515
Liga de Futbol Bolivia41.0%2,448
MLS40.8%4,162
Eredivisie39.8%2,500
Bundesliga38.4%2,520

League figures count every match on record in that league, so they reach further back than the club figures.

Under 2.5 goals: the clubs at both ends

Matches with under 2.5 goals. Clubs with at least 15 matches in the last 12 months, all competitions.

Most often

The ten clubs where it happened most often
ClubLeagueMatches
Deportivo RiestraLiga Profesional de Futbol33 of 40 (83%)
San LorenzoLiga Profesional de Futbol33 of 41 (80%)
ArgeşSuperliga29 of 39 (74%)
Olympiacos F.C.Super League Greece32 of 44 (73%)
Argentinos JuniorsLiga Profesional de Futbol28 of 39 (72%)
Vélez SarsfieldLiga Profesional de Futbol25 of 35 (71%)
Deportivo CaliLiga BetPlay27 of 38 (71%)
Barracas CentralLiga Profesional de Futbol29 of 41 (71%)
Cerro LargoPrimera Division Uruguay26 of 37 (70%)
KocaelisporSuper Lig23 of 33 (70%)

Least often

The ten clubs where it happened least often
ClubLeagueMatches
Bayern MunichBundesliga7 of 53 (13%)
Club BruggeBelgian Pro League8 of 47 (17%)
Orlando CityMLS7 of 36 (19%)
Real OruroLiga de Futbol Bolivia6 of 30 (20%)
Sporting KCMLS7 of 33 (21%)
PSVEredivisie9 of 42 (21%)
GuabiráLiga de Futbol Bolivia7 of 32 (22%)
Inter MiamiMLS10 of 42 (24%)
Portland TimbersMLS9 of 37 (24%)
BarcelonaLa Liga14 of 56 (25%)

How the model has done on under 2.5 goals

Matches from Aug 1, 2022 to Nov 2, 2026

What the forecasting model said before each match, set against what happened. Finished matches only. Every confidence band with at least 100 matches is shown.

Under 2.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals: what the model said, how many times it happened and how many matches
Model saidOn averageIt happenedMatches
10-20%17%23 (21%)110
20-30%27%350 (30%)1,164
30-40%36%2,312 (34%)6,723
40-50%45%6,249 (44%)14,233
50-60%55%8,135 (53%)15,242
60-70%64%3,751 (62%)6,072
70-80%72%224 (69%)323
See the full record

Under 2.5 goals: what it means

Under 2.5 goals means two goals or fewer in the match. A 1-1 counts, a 2-1 does not.

It is the other side of over 2.5: every match is one or the other. Some leagues and some clubs sit well on the low side, and the tables above show which.

The counts are each club's matches with two goals or fewer. The forecasting model gives a figure for this line on every match, and the record table shows how those figures have held up.

Under 2.5 goals: questions

Does a 1-1 count as under 2.5 goals?

Yes. Two goals in total stay under the line. A third goal, from either side, takes the match over.

Is under 2.5 the opposite of over 2.5?

Yes. Every match lands on one side. A club's under 2.5 count is its matches minus its over 2.5 count.

Are the club figures on this page predictions?

No. They are how many of each club's matches had under 2.5 goals over its last 12 months.

Club and competition names are used for identification only and are trademarks of their respective owners. SportHoot is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by them. Club and league tables on this page are past results, not predictions.