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Over 3.5 goals: today's matches, stats and predictions

The numbers behind over 3.5 goals

Over 3.5 goals means four or more goals in the match. A 3-1 counts, a 2-1 does not.

Matches kicking off in the next 48 hours: 45. Each is below with both clubs' record.

Club and league figures on this page are past results with their match counts, not predictions.

Over 3.5 goals: matches in the next 48 hours

Matches with over 3.5 goals. Ordered by how often it happened across both clubs' last 12 months, most first. These are results, not predictions.

Each club's last 12 months, all competitions

  1. · Champions League

    Atlético de MadridOver 3.5 goals in 21 of 60 (35%)
    Bayern MunichOver 3.5 goals in 39 of 53 (74%)
  2. · Champions League

    GalatasarayOver 3.5 goals in 22 of 45 (49%)
    VfB StuttgartOver 3.5 goals in 26 of 51 (51%)
  3. · Champions League

    BarcelonaOver 3.5 goals in 28 of 56 (50%)
    Aston VillaOver 3.5 goals in 21 of 55 (38%)
  4. · Super League Greece

    KalamataOver 3.5 goals in 5 of 8 (63%)
    Iraklis ThessalonikiOver 3.5 goals in 2 of 8 (25%)
  5. · Champions League

    Shakhtar DonetskNo record here
    Sporting CPOver 3.5 goals in 20 of 46 (43%)
  6. · Champions League

    VillarrealOver 3.5 goals in 21 of 49 (43%)
    Paris Saint-GermainOver 3.5 goals in 22 of 50 (44%)
  7. · Superliga

    Universitatea ClujOver 3.5 goals in 16 of 42 (38%)
    FCSBOver 3.5 goals in 22 of 46 (48%)
  8. · Champions League

    FeyenoordOver 3.5 goals in 18 of 42 (43%)
    Inter MilanOver 3.5 goals in 19 of 48 (40%)
  9. · Primera Division Peru

    Sporting CristalOver 3.5 goals in 18 of 49 (37%)
    FC CajamarcaOver 3.5 goals in 14 of 31 (45%)
  10. · Liga Portugal

    BenficaOver 3.5 goals in 22 of 49 (45%)
    AlvercaOver 3.5 goals in 9 of 33 (27%)
  11. · Premier League

    Newcastle UnitedOver 3.5 goals in 23 of 49 (47%)
    EvertonOver 3.5 goals in 9 of 38 (24%)
  12. · Primera Division Peru

    UTC CajamarcaOver 3.5 goals in 14 of 34 (41%)
    Deportivo GarcilasoOver 3.5 goals in 10 of 33 (30%)
  13. · Superliga

    VoluntariOver 3.5 goals in 6 of 13 (46%)
    Farul ConstanțaOver 3.5 goals in 12 of 38 (32%)
  14. · Champions League

    Manchester UnitedOver 3.5 goals in 14 of 41 (34%)
    RomaOver 3.5 goals in 16 of 49 (33%)
  15. · La Liga

    Deportivo A CoruñaOver 3.5 goals in 3 of 14 (21%)
    OsasunaOver 3.5 goals in 15 of 42 (36%)
  16. · Primera Division Peru

    Comerciantes UnidosOver 3.5 goals in 13 of 33 (39%)
    ADTOver 3.5 goals in 8 of 33 (24%)
  17. · Primera Division Peru

    Sport HuancayoOver 3.5 goals in 9 of 33 (27%)
    MelgarOver 3.5 goals in 11 of 32 (34%)
  18. · Primera Division Chile

    Deportes LimacheOver 3.5 goals in 14 of 30 (47%)
    Audax ItalianoOver 3.5 goals in 6 of 36 (17%)
  19. · Liga de Futbol Bolivia

    Real TomayapoOver 3.5 goals in 9 of 30 (30%)
    BloomingOver 3.5 goals in 10 of 37 (27%)
  20. · Brasileirao Serie A

    InternacionalOver 3.5 goals in 10 of 41 (24%)
    CoritibaOver 3.5 goals in 10 of 33 (30%)
Show all 45 matches
  1. · Liga Portugal

    Gil VicenteOver 3.5 goals in 9 of 34 (26%)
    Vitória GuimarãesOver 3.5 goals in 9 of 33 (27%)
  2. · Ligue 1

    LorientOver 3.5 goals in 8 of 32 (25%)
    BrestOver 3.5 goals in 9 of 32 (28%)
  3. · Primera Division Uruguay

    AlbionOver 3.5 goals in 11 of 34 (32%)
    Deportivo MaldonadoOver 3.5 goals in 7 of 34 (21%)
  4. · Super Lig

    GençlerbirliğiOver 3.5 goals in 8 of 32 (25%)
    AlanyasporOver 3.5 goals in 9 of 33 (27%)
  5. · Copa del Rey

    Anaitasuna FTNo record here
    Deportivo AlavésOver 3.5 goals in 11 of 43 (26%)
  6. · Brasileirao Serie A

    ChapecoenseOver 3.5 goals in 11 of 32 (34%)
    MirassolOver 3.5 goals in 9 of 48 (19%)
  7. · Liga BetPlay

    Deportivo PereiraOver 3.5 goals in 12 of 37 (32%)
    Deportes TolimaOver 3.5 goals in 12 of 61 (20%)
  8. · Serie A

    SassuoloOver 3.5 goals in 10 of 38 (26%)
    FiorentinaOver 3.5 goals in 11 of 48 (23%)
  9. · Liga Profesional de Futbol

    Independiente RivadaviaOver 3.5 goals in 12 of 41 (29%)
    BanfieldOver 3.5 goals in 6 of 33 (18%)
  10. · Liga BetPlay

    Deportivo PastoOver 3.5 goals in 7 of 39 (18%)
    Jaguares de CórdobaOver 3.5 goals in 11 of 35 (31%)
  11. · Liga Pro Ecuador

    Mushuc RunaOver 3.5 goals in 11 of 37 (30%)
    MantaOver 3.5 goals in 7 of 38 (18%)
  12. · Serie A

    AtalantaOver 3.5 goals in 15 of 50 (30%)
    ParmaOver 3.5 goals in 6 of 38 (16%)
  13. · Primera Division Peru

    Alianza LimaOver 3.5 goals in 7 of 37 (19%)
    CiencianoOver 3.5 goals in 13 of 47 (28%)
  14. · Super League Greece

    AtromitosOver 3.5 goals in 8 of 34 (24%)
    Volos NFCOver 3.5 goals in 7 of 31 (23%)
  15. · Brasileirao Serie A

    BragantinoOver 3.5 goals in 9 of 51 (18%)
    SantosOver 3.5 goals in 15 of 53 (28%)
  16. · Liga BetPlay

    Atlético BucaramangaOver 3.5 goals in 9 of 44 (20%)
    Atlético NacionalOver 3.5 goals in 12 of 50 (24%)
  17. · Primera Division Chile

    ConcepcionOver 3.5 goals in 3 of 25 (12%)
    PalestinoOver 3.5 goals in 9 of 37 (24%)
  18. · Division 1 Paraguay

    2 de MayoOver 3.5 goals in 9 of 46 (20%)
    Sportivo TrinidenseOver 3.5 goals in 8 of 43 (19%)
  19. · Liga BetPlay

    Rionegro ÁguilasOver 3.5 goals in 7 of 37 (19%)
    Fortaleza CEIFOver 3.5 goals in 8 of 43 (19%)
  20. · Liga Profesional de Futbol

    Defensa y JusticiaOver 3.5 goals in 6 of 33 (18%)
    IndependienteOver 3.5 goals in 6 of 33 (18%)
  21. · Champions League

    Bodø / GlimtNo record here
    LOSC LilleOver 3.5 goals in 8 of 45 (18%)
  22. · Liga Pro Ecuador

    OrenseOver 3.5 goals in 8 of 42 (19%)
    Técnico UniversitarioOver 3.5 goals in 6 of 37 (16%)
  23. · Division 1 Paraguay

    Nacional AsunciónOver 3.5 goals in 4 of 43 (9%)
    Sportivo San LorenzoOver 3.5 goals in 8 of 39 (21%)
  24. · Liga Profesional de Futbol

    PlatenseOver 3.5 goals in 4 of 43 (9%)
    Central Cordoba SdEOver 3.5 goals in 7 of 35 (20%)
  25. · Liga Profesional de Futbol

    Atlético TucumánOver 3.5 goals in 5 of 32 (16%)
    Argentinos JuniorsOver 3.5 goals in 3 of 39 (8%)

Over 3.5 goals: the clubs at both ends

Matches with over 3.5 goals. Clubs with at least 15 matches in the last 12 months, all competitions.

Most often

The ten clubs where it happened most often
ClubLeagueMatches
Bayern MunichBundesliga39 of 53 (74%)
Inter MiamiMLS26 of 42 (62%)
Orlando CityMLS22 of 36 (61%)
CincinnatiMLS26 of 43 (60%)
San DiegoMLS26 of 43 (60%)
Real OruroLiga de Futbol Bolivia18 of 30 (60%)
Al-QadsiahSaudi Pro League23 of 39 (59%)
ABBLiga de Futbol Bolivia18 of 31 (58%)
Go Ahead EaglesEredivisie22 of 38 (58%)
Portland TimbersMLS21 of 37 (57%)

Least often

The ten clubs where it happened least often
ClubLeagueMatches
Deportivo RiestraLiga Profesional de Futbol1 of 40 (3%)
KocaelisporSuper Lig1 of 33 (3%)
Estudiantes de Río CuartoLiga Profesional de Futbol1 of 31 (3%)
Barracas CentralLiga Profesional de Futbol2 of 41 (5%)
Argentinos JuniorsLiga Profesional de Futbol3 of 39 (8%)
Barcelona GuayaquilLiga Pro Ecuador4 of 51 (8%)
HuracánLiga Profesional de Futbol3 of 36 (8%)
Real PotosíLiga de Futbol Bolivia2 of 24 (8%)
Nacional AsunciónDivision 1 Paraguay4 of 43 (9%)
PlatenseLiga Profesional de Futbol4 of 43 (9%)

How the model has done on over 3.5 goals

Matches from Aug 1, 2022 to Nov 2, 2026

What the forecasting model said before each match, set against what happened. Finished matches only. Every confidence band with at least 100 matches is shown.

Over 3.5 goals

Over 3.5 goals: what the model said, how many times it happened and how many matches
Model saidOn averageIt happenedMatches
10-20%17%1,226 (18%)6,728
20-30%25%4,743 (26%)18,460
30-40%34%4,549 (35%)12,921
40-50%44%2,034 (43%)4,691
50-60%54%484 (54%)890
60-70%63%85 (61%)139

Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals: what the model said, how many times it happened and how many matches
Model saidOn averageIt happenedMatches
30-40%37%54 (39%)139
40-50%46%406 (46%)890
50-60%56%2,657 (57%)4,691
60-70%66%8,372 (65%)12,921
70-80%75%13,717 (74%)18,460
80-90%83%5,502 (82%)6,728
See the full record

Over 3.5 goals: what it means

Over 3.5 goals means four or more goals in the match. A 3-1 counts, a 2-1 does not.

Four goals is a high bar and most matches miss it. A few clubs clear it far more often than the rest, and the tables above show who.

The counts are each club's matches with four goals or more. The forecasting model gives a figure for this line on every match, and the record table shows how those figures have held up.

Over 3.5 goals: questions

Does a 2-2 count as over 3.5 goals?

Yes. Four goals in total clear the line, whoever scores them. A 2-1 or a 3-0 does not.

How often do matches go over 3.5 goals?

Less often than not. The club tables on this page show how many of each club's matches cleared the line, with the number of matches counted.

Are the club figures on this page predictions?

No. They are how many of each club's matches had over 3.5 goals over its last 12 months.

Club and competition names are used for identification only and are trademarks of their respective owners. SportHoot is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by them. Club and league tables on this page are past results, not predictions.