FA Cup: predictions, standings and stats
The numbers behind FA Cup
Every table on this page is a past result over the dates shown, not a prediction.
Goals in FA Cup
Over 2.5 Goals in FA Cup
FA Cup over/under 2.5 goal predictions come from a combined goals model. RWI expected goal difference, league scoring patterns, and team form are combined to project total goals and estimate the probability of 3 or more goals.
Today's matches and what it means: Over 2.5 goals, Over 1.5 goals, Under 2.5 goals, Over 3.5 goals
Both teams to score in FA Cup
BTTS in FA Cup
FA Cup BTTS predictions are powered by the same RWI-based model that covers every league on SportHoot. The model evaluates each team's attacking and defensive ratings before every fixture to estimate the probability that both teams score.
Today's matches and what it means: Both teams to score
Clean sheets in FA Cup
Clean Sheet Predictions in FA Cup
FA Cup clean sheet predictions use each team's defensive rating and attacking opponent strength to estimate the probability of a clean sheet for either side before each match.
Today's matches and what it means: Clean sheet
FA Cup in numbers
Counted across 7,024 FA Cup matches.
- Both teams score
- 56%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 63%
- A team keeps a clean sheet
- 24%
- Matches end in a draw
- 19%
- Home wins
- 45%
- Goals per match
- 3.25
Questions about FA Cup
How are the FA Cup forecasts made?
Each forecast is a model estimate built from calibrated probabilities and pre-match context: the expected goal difference (RWI), recent results, squad value and recent meetings. Every probability is tied to one fixture and the time it was produced.
Do the forecasts include draws in FA Cup?
Yes. A draw is a real outcome in FA Cup, so the full split always shows it. On a tight match you will see the draw sitting high, because that is what the numbers say.
What is the RWI?
RWI is the expected goal difference signal behind the soccer forecasts. It combines each team's attacking and defensive strength, the lineups, and how the league scores.
Is this a tipster? Do you give picks?
No. SportHoot publishes probabilities and statistics and explains what they mean. A probability is an estimate, not a promise, and you make your own decisions.
How do the forecasts compare to bookmakers?
The forecasting model was tested against bookmaker prices across several seasons and lands close to them overall. One deliberate difference is draws: the model shows a draw as the likeliest outcome more often than bookmakers do, because draws happen in about one match in four.
Is SportHoot affiliated with FA Cup?
No. SportHoot is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by FA Cup or any league named on the site. All league names are trademarks of their respective owners.
FA Cup scores in bunches, and it keeps burning you
FA Cup averages 3.3 goals a game, clears 2.5 in 64% of matches, and both teams score in 56%. You take the under on a tight-looking game, it ends 3-2, and you cannot tell if you misread it or just got unlucky. I spent years stuck right there.
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FA Cup and related competition names are trademarks of their respective owners. SportHoot is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by them.