AEK Athens vs Real Madrid: prediction and head-to-head
The numbers behind AEK Athens vs Real Madrid
AEK Athens and Real Madrid have no meeting on record here yet. Their first is on the schedule.
The tables on this page are past results; the forecast above is a model estimate.
AEK Athens vs Real Madrid prediction
Champions League ·
Real Madrid 65% to win
- AEK Athens win18%
- Draw16%
- Real Madrid win65%
Expected goals: AEK Athens 1.4, Real Madrid 2.6
Forecast updated 2 Nov, 06:34 UTC · These are model estimates, not certainties: any of the three results can still happen.
Match preview
Real Madrid go in as favourites: the model gives them a 65% chance of winning, with the draw at 16% and AEK Athens at 18%. Goals look likely, with over 2.5 goals at 77%, and expected goals of 1.4 for AEK Athens and 2.6 for Real Madrid. AEK Athens will be without Christos Alexiou, Dereck Kutesa and Frantzdy Pierrot. Real Madrid will be without Raúl Asencio, Ferland Mendy and Rodrygo. Every figure is an estimate, not a certainty: form, injuries and team news can still change the picture.
Team news
Players missing or in doubt for this game, from the latest reports.
AEK Athens
- Christos Alexiou: Suspended, expected back Jan 30
- Dereck Kutesa: Suspended, expected back Jan 30
- Frantzdy Pierrot: Suspended, expected back Jan 30
- Hakim Sahabo: Suspended, expected back Jan 30
- Martin Georgiev: Suspended, expected back Jan 30
Real Madrid
- Raúl Asencio: Injured, expected back Dec 31
- Ferland Mendy: Injured, expected back Nov 15
- Rodrygo: Injured, expected back Dec 30
AEK Athens vs Real Madrid: the next meeting
AEK Athens vs Real Madrid
· Champions League · AEK Athens at home
AEK Athens and Real Madrid side by side
Each club's last 12 months, all competitions
| Result | AEK Athens | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 27 won, 13 drawn, 5 lost in 45 | 36 won, 5 drawn, 13 lost in 54 |
| Goals scored per game | 2.0 | 2.2 |
| Goals conceded per game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Won | 60%27 of 45 | 67%36 of 54 |
| Drew | 29%13 of 45 | 9%5 of 54 |
| Lost | 11%5 of 45 | 24%13 of 54 |
| Both teams scored | 44%20 of 45 | 65%35 of 54 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78%35 of 45 | 87%47 of 54 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56%25 of 45 | 67%36 of 54 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38%17 of 45 | 35%19 of 54 |
| Kept a clean sheet | 49%22 of 45 | 26%14 of 54 |
| Did not score | 13%6 of 45 | 11%6 of 54 |
Everything on each club: AEK Athens, Real Madrid
AEK Athens and Real Madrid: the last five results
AEK Athens
- Lost0-2Away against PanathinaikosNov 1, 2026
- Won5-0Home against PanaitolikosOct 24, 2026
- Lost1-5Away against Manchester CityOct 20, 2026
- Lost1-3Away against Shakhtar DonetskOct 14, 2026
- Won3-0Home against OFIOct 10, 2026
AEK Athens goals first.
Real Madrid
- Won3-0Away against Racing SantanderNov 1, 2026
- Won2-1Away against BarcelonaOct 25, 2026
- Won4-1Home against RB LeipzigOct 21, 2026
- Won4-1Home against SevillaOct 18, 2026
- Won4-3Away against RomaOct 14, 2026
Real Madrid goals first.
Goals, both teams to score and clean sheets
The model's estimates for this match's goal markets.
| Market | Estimate |
|---|---|
| Both teams score | 68% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 91% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 77% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 58% |
| AEK Athens score | 74% |
| Real Madrid score | 93% |
| AEK Athens score 2 or more | 40% |
| Real Madrid score 2 or more | 75% |
| AEK Athens keep a clean sheet | 7% |
| Real Madrid keep a clean sheet | 26% |
Questions about AEK Athens vs Real Madrid
How is this prediction made?
It is a model estimate from predictapp, built from pre-match context: the expected goal difference between the two sides, recent results, squad value and recent meetings. This one was made 2 Nov, 06:34 UTC and is updated as new information arrives.
Is this a tip?
No. It is an estimate of how likely each result is, not advice to bet. What you do with it is your decision.
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