Barcelona vs Aston Villa: prediction and head-to-head
The numbers behind Barcelona vs Aston Villa
Barcelona and Aston Villa have no meeting on record here yet. Their first is on the schedule.
The tables on this page are past results; the forecast above is a model estimate.
Barcelona vs Aston Villa prediction
Champions League ·
Barcelona 73% to win
- Barcelona win73%
- Draw14%
- Aston Villa win13%
Expected goals: Barcelona 2.8, Aston Villa 1.1
Forecast updated 2 Nov, 06:34 UTC · These are model estimates, not certainties: any of the three results can still happen.
Match preview
Barcelona go in as favourites: the model gives them a 73% chance of winning, with the draw at 14% and Aston Villa at 13%. Goals look likely, with over 2.5 goals at 75%, and expected goals of 2.8 for Barcelona and 1.1 for Aston Villa. Barcelona will be without Xavi Espart, Dani Olmo and Eric García. Aston Villa will be without Taylor Harwood-Bellis, Aaron Wan-Bissaka and Matteo Ruggeri. Every figure is an estimate, not a certainty: form, injuries and team news can still change the picture.
Team news
Players missing or in doubt for this game, from the latest reports.
Barcelona
- Xavi Espart: Injured, expected back Dec 11
- Dani Olmo: Injured, expected back Nov 15
- Eric García: Injured, expected back Nov 8
- Andreas Christensen: Injured, expected back Nov 15
- Roony Bardghji: Injured, expected back May 9
Aston Villa
- Taylor Harwood-Bellis: Suspended, expected back Jan 27
- Aaron Wan-Bissaka: Injured, expected back Nov 19
- Matteo Ruggeri: Injured, expected back Nov 29
- Amadou Onana: Injured, expected back May 31
Barcelona vs Aston Villa: the next meeting
Barcelona vs Aston Villa
· Champions League · Barcelona at home
Barcelona and Aston Villa side by side
Each club's last 12 months, all competitions
| Result | Barcelona | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 45 won, 2 drawn, 9 lost in 56 | 33 won, 8 drawn, 14 lost in 55 |
| Goals scored per game | 2.8 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| Won | 80%45 of 56 | 60%33 of 55 |
| Drew | 4%2 of 56 | 15%8 of 55 |
| Lost | 16%9 of 56 | 25%14 of 55 |
| Both teams scored | 59%33 of 56 | 58%32 of 55 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 93%52 of 56 | 78%43 of 55 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75%42 of 56 | 62%34 of 55 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 50%28 of 56 | 38%21 of 55 |
| Kept a clean sheet | 34%19 of 56 | 29%16 of 55 |
| Did not score | 7%4 of 56 | 16%9 of 55 |
Everything on each club: Barcelona, Aston Villa
Barcelona and Aston Villa: the last five results
Barcelona
- Won6-1Home against Deportivo AlavésOct 31, 2026
- Lost1-2Home against Real MadridOct 25, 2026
- Lost2-4Away against Paris Saint-GermainOct 20, 2026
- Won5-2Away against Real BetisOct 17, 2026
- Won4-1Away against GalatasarayOct 13, 2026
Barcelona goals first.
Aston Villa
- Drew1-1Home against FulhamOct 31, 2026
- Won2-1Home against Manchester CityOct 24, 2026
- Won3-1Home against VikingOct 21, 2026
- Won1-0Away against Newcastle UnitedOct 17, 2026
- Won6-0Home against FenerbahçeOct 14, 2026
Aston Villa goals first.
Goals, both teams to score and clean sheets
The model's estimates for this match's goal markets.
| Market | Estimate |
|---|---|
| Both teams score | 62% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 90% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 56% |
| Barcelona score | 94% |
| Aston Villa score | 66% |
| Barcelona score 2 or more | 78% |
| Aston Villa score 2 or more | 31% |
| Barcelona keep a clean sheet | 34% |
| Aston Villa keep a clean sheet | 6% |
Questions about Barcelona vs Aston Villa
How is this prediction made?
It is a model estimate from predictapp, built from pre-match context: the expected goal difference between the two sides, recent results, squad value and recent meetings. This one was made 2 Nov, 06:34 UTC and is updated as new information arrives.
Is this a tip?
No. It is an estimate of how likely each result is, not advice to bet. What you do with it is your decision.
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